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Policy Analysis
All Policy Analysis by Nikolay Kozhanov
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Brief Analysis
The Trump-Putin Sideline and the Syria Conflict
Whatever the two leaders discuss at the G20 summit, the Trump administration must work urgently to develop a new Syria strategy that articulates a clear vision for the country's future and the U.S. readiness to protect it.
Jul 6, 2017
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Nikolay Kozhanov
Brief Analysis
Iran's Politicians Focus on 2013 Presidential Elections, not Nuclear Issue
The growing political struggle over the 2013 presidential elections in Iran may substantially divert the attention of the Islamic regime from external issues and hamper the progress of nuclear talks.
Mar 18, 2013
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Nikolay Kozhanov
Brief Analysis
Russian Oil Sales to China May Impact Iran
A Russian state oil company is sharply increasing its exports to China, with potential negative consequences for Tehran.
Jan 28, 2013
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Nikolay Kozhanov
Brief Analysis
Iran Struggles Unsuccessfully for Influence in Central Asia
On the sidelines of the Non-Aligned Movement summit in Tehran, Iranian officials will consult with Central Asian republics in another failed attempt to strengthen the Islamic Republic's position and counter what they see as dangerous U.S. influence in the region.
Aug 28, 2012
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Nikolay Kozhanov
Brief Analysis
Russia's Modest Hopes for the Moscow Summit with Iran
Despite widespread skepticism, Russian authorities still hope that the upcoming P5+1 summit will be another small step toward settlement of the Iranian nuclear issue.
Jun 14, 2012
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Nikolay Kozhanov
Brief Analysis
Russia's Response to the Massacres in Syria
Although many Russian officials are unsure about who exactly committed the recent massacres, the incidents are nevertheless a serious stress test for Russian-Syrian relations.
Jun 13, 2012
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Nikolay Kozhanov
In-Depth Reports
Russia's Relations with Iran:
Dialogue without Commitments
Under current conditions, it would be naive to expect Russia to severely curtail its relations with Tehran or officially support the West's stance on the nuclear question. Given Iran's importance as a regional player, Moscow simply cannot afford confrontation with its southern neighbor. At the same time, Russia's pragmatic, cost-benefit
Jun 11, 2012
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Nikolay Kozhanov
Brief Analysis
Jun 3, 2012
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Nikolay Kozhanov
Brief Analysis
Russian Foreign Policy after Putin's Return
Contrary to expectations, Russia's positions on Iran and Syria are unlikely to harden during Putin's third presidential term, which starts next week.
May 2, 2012
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Nikolay Kozhanov
Brief Analysis
Russia's Position on Iran's Nuclear Program
In the April 14 talks in Istanbul, Russia demonstrated once again that it could be a team player. But Moscow's cooperative front with the other members of the P5+1 group originates not in a pure desire to resolve the Iranian nuclear issue but rather in a bid to gain leverage
Apr 19, 2012
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Nikolay Kozhanov
Brief Analysis
Russian Energy Strategy Makes Partners of Rivals
On April 2-4, a high-ranking delegation from Islamabad visited Moscow to discuss whether Russian energy giant Gazprom will help construct the ambitious gas pipeline between Pakistan and Iran. Although the outcome of the talks is still unknown, analysts suggest that the Russian company's involvement in the project would align perfectly
Apr 16, 2012
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Nikolay Kozhanov
Brief Analysis
Iran's Majlis Elections: Whoever Wins, the West Loses
Iran's upcoming parliamentary elections, while vigorously contested, offer no hope for improving U.S.-Iranian relations.
Feb 28, 2012
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Nikolay Kozhanov