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All Policy Analysis by Robert Rabil
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Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Can Federalism Work in Lebanon?
For those promoting federalism in Lebanon, a historical analysis of the country's geographic and ethnosectarian divisions demonstrates the necessity of inclusive discussion and collective engagement.
Mar 20, 2023
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Robert Rabil
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
The Armenian Genocide, Maronite Starvation, and the Lessons in Past Atrocities
In addition to the Armenian genocide, the world should recognize the forced starvation of Lebanon's Maronites during the First World War.
May 12, 2021
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Robert Rabil
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Contextualizing Jihad and Takfir in the Shi’a Conceptual Framework
The nuances of jurisprudential difference between Sunni and Shi’a concepts of jihad have been more or less shaped by the history of the Shi’a community and by the approach of the Shi’a religious scholars to politics. Though the Shi’a concept of jihad has not infrequently aligned with that of Sunnism
Aug 31, 2018
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Robert Rabil
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Contextualizing Jihad and Takfir in the Sunni Conceptual Framework
The concepts of jihad and the charge of unbelief on a Muslim or non-Muslim known as takfir have evoked mixed and dreaded reactions among many in Western countries, where the concepts often make headlines and are presented without context to those who may not have personal interactions with mainstream interpretations
Aug 31, 2018
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Robert Rabil
Video
Brief Analysis
Salafism in Lebanon
Facing a leadership crisis, Lebanon's Sunnis must contend with a vigorous Salafi movement in which the activist and jihadist elements are increasingly hard to distinguish from each other.
Feb 20, 2015
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Robert Rabil
Brief Analysis
Lebanon's Presidential Crisis
As the end of the Lebanese presidential term neared and then passed on November 23, domestic and international forces have ratcheted up their involvement in electing the country's new president. But the political focus of the presidential elections has shifted from democratic and constitutional ideals to concerns about preventing civil
Nov 26, 2007
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Robert Rabil
Brief Analysis
Why a Multinational Force is Essential in Lebanon
As Lebanon plunges deeper into ruin and chaos as a result of Hizballah’s “gang war” tactics against Israel’s expanded military campaign to degrade the power of the Islamist party, Hizballah, Syria, and its allies in Lebanon are devising plans to subvert an international agreement on a multinational force to guard
Aug 4, 2006
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Robert Rabil
Brief Analysis
'Trust Allah, Not Nasrallah':
The Hizballah Crisis Reshapes Lebanese Politics
With the ongoing clashes between Israel and Hizballah raging without respite and Lebanon sustaining significant human and material losses, the sociopolitical scene in Beirut is bursting with both centrifugal and centripetal forces. While these forces threaten the country with implosion, they are sparking a national debate on Lebanese national identity
Aug 2, 2006
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Robert Rabil
Brief Analysis
Khaddam's Revelations:
Is the Asad Regime Unraveling?
Abdul Halim Khaddam, who was vice-president of Syria from 1984 to June 2005, gave an explosive interview to the Dubai-based al-Arabia TV on December 30 implicating the Syrian leadership, including President Bashar al-Asad, in the assassination of former Lebanese prime minister Rafiq Hariri. Khaddam's action widened irrevocably the crack in
Jan 6, 2006
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Robert Rabil
Brief Analysis
Reinforcing Lebanon's Sovereignty
The United States has been lobbying the UN Security Council to pass a new resolution about reinforcing Lebanon's sovereignty, building on the October 25, 2005, report by UN envoy Terje Roed-Larsen on the implementation of UN Security Council Resolution 1559. That resolution, adopted on September 2, 2004, called for the
Nov 8, 2005
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Robert Rabil
Brief Analysis
Syria's Response to the Mehlis Report
The long-awaited report by the international commission investigating the assassination of former Lebanese prime minister Rafiq Hariri was released on October 21. Overseen by UN chief investigator Detlev Mehlis, the report concluded, "Given the infiltration of Lebanese institutions and society by the Syrian and Lebanese intelligence services working in tandem
Oct 24, 2005
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Robert Rabil
Brief Analysis
The Countdown for Bashar al-Asad and Lebanon
On September 25, 2005, Lebanese journalist May Chidiac nearly lost her life in yet another car bomb attack on prominent Lebanese figures who are critical of Syria. Led by German prosecutor Detlev Mehlis, the international commission charged with investigating the murder of former Lebanese prime minister Rafiq Hariri is expected
Oct 4, 2005
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Robert Rabil
Brief Analysis
Impact of the UN Investigation into the Hariri Assassination
On September 17, the United Nations (UN) report on the assassination of former Lebanese prime minister Rafiq Hariri is due to be handed to UN secretary-general Kofi Annan. It may be delayed by a few months, however, to allow the international community to insist that Syrian officials be questioned and
Sep 9, 2005
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Robert Rabil
Brief Analysis
Lebanon:
At the Crossroads between Democracy and Rogue State
Lebanon’s ongoing parliamentary elections—held in a staggered format through June 19—reflect a new, complex reality for the country. Although free from Syrian tutelage and gerrymandering, the results have been much less encouraging than had been hoped when Syrian troops withdrew. Background: Past Elections The 1990 Taif Accord offered an imperfect
Jun 17, 2005
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Robert Rabil
Brief Analysis
Baath Party Congress in Damascus:
How Much Change in Syria?
Syrian leaders hope that significant reforms introduced at the Baath Party's Tenth Regional Congress on June 6 will allow them to fend off both domestic challenges and foreign threats. Among the important issues on the Congress' agenda is the status of the Baath Party itself. Obsolete Ideology Since he assumed
Jun 2, 2005
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Robert Rabil
Brief Analysis
How Is Syria Ruled?
On the heels of its military withdrawal from Lebanon, Syria is preparing for the Tenth Regional Congress of the Baath Party, the first such congress in five years and only the second in twenty years. Prior to the regional congress, scheduled for June, the party will hold a national pan-Arab
May 9, 2005
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Robert Rabil
Brief Analysis
Syrian Strategy in Lebanon
As Syrian troops continue to withdraw from parts of Lebanon, three bomb attacks have occurred within eight days in predominantly Christian areas: a March 19 car bomb wrecked the front of a building in New Jdeideh, wounding nine; a March 22 bomb ripped through an elite shopping center in Kaslik
Mar 28, 2005
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Robert Rabil
Brief Analysis
The Role of International Monitors and Observers in the Lebanese Elections
President George W. Bush recently stated, “The elections in Lebanon must be fully and carefully monitored by international observers.” Already, Lebanese prime minister Omar Karami has issued a de facto invitation to former president Jimmy Carter to fulfill that role. Some skepticism is warranted, particularly with regard to the notion
Mar 22, 2005
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Patrick Clawson
Robert Rabil
Brief Analysis
From Beirut to Algiers:
The Arab League’s Role in the Lebanon Crisis
Arab leaders meet in Algiers on March 22 for an Arab League summit, at a moment of high tension within Lebanon over the pace and extent of Syria’s military withdrawal and the future domestic political map. Despite the important roles many of the summiteers have played in urging Damascus to
Mar 21, 2005
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Robert Rabil
Brief Analysis
Syria and the Polarization of Lebanese Politics
The assassination of former Lebanese prime minister Rafiq Hariri in a massive bombing in Beirut a few days ago came at a time of growing Lebanese opposition to Syria’s fifteen-year "trusteeship" (occupation) of the country. Lebanese politics have become polarized by the September 2004 term extension of the pro-Syrian president
Feb 18, 2005
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Robert Rabil