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Articles & Testimony
Trump Can’t Sit This One Out
Despite his latest tweets about staying out of the Syria crisis, Trump has a history of working with Turkey on these issues and has several carrots to offer HTS as well.
Dec 11, 2024
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Soner Cagaptay
Articles & Testimony
For Israel, a Strategic Win and New Headaches
Despite the welcome blow to Iran's axis, Israel’s must now protect its border communities in the Golan and ensure that the Assad regime's strategic weapons don't end up in the wrong hands.
Dec 11, 2024
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Assaf Orion
Brief Analysis
Syria Is the First Major Aftershock of October 7—With More to Come?
From stability in Jordan to the future of Kurdish autonomy, Lebanese sovereignty, and Iranian nuclear proliferation, officials must prepare quickly to prevent or manage—and in some cases even encourage—further shocks in the Middle East.
Dec 11, 2024
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Zohar Palti
Articles & Testimony
Iran’s New Presidency
Policymakers would be wise to view Pezeshkian’s rise not as a development that will change Iran, but as a reflection of a regime that is struggling to stave off domestic troubles.
Dec 10, 2024
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Michael Singh
Articles & Testimony
Why Al-Assad Fell
The dictator’s rigidity at the negotiating table and within Syrian society left him with scant support when he needed it most, giving Washington a window for pushing a Syrian-led transition and cutting Iran’s axis for good.
Dec 10, 2024
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Andrew J. Tabler
Articles & Testimony
Hezbollah Post October 7—Beaten But Still Dangerous
The group has been greatly diminished by a year of war, but the Lebanese people won’t feel the difference unless the international community pushes Beirut and the LAF to reestablish trust and authority.
Dec 10, 2024
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Hanin Ghaddar
Articles & Testimony
With Assad Gone—What’s Next?
In addition to carefully managing moves on the Golan, Israel should focus on facilitating humanitarian assistance to the Druze, mending relations with Turkey, and convincing Trump to maintain America’s military presence in Syria.
Dec 9, 2024
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Ehud Yaari
Brief Analysis
Expanding C-SIPA to Britain Signals Continued Commitment to Integration
By adding Britain ahead of Trump’s inauguration, the parties hope to sustain the agreement’s vision of building an integrated defense structure and forming a network of trusted partners for economic and technological development.
Dec 9, 2024
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Elizabeth Dent
Brief Analysis
Syria Crisis Leaves Islamic State Prisons and Detention Camps Vulnerable
Even as global attention is turned toward major transition questions in Damascus, the international community cannot lose focus on the fight against the Islamic State—an essential part of which is ensuring the security of northeastern detention facilities.
Dec 9, 2024
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Devorah Margolin
Articles & Testimony
Russia’s Overstretched Military Faces Challenges from Syria to Ukraine
The West should move quickly to exploit Moscow's long series of bad strategic moves.
Dec 6, 2024
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Anna Borshchevskaya
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
The Ideological Constraints of the Islamic Republic
As long as the Islamic Republic’s decisions are dictated by rigid ideological imperatives, any shift in Tehran toward pragmatism in response to the new Trump Administration will likely be superficial at best.
Dec 6, 2024
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Masoud Zamani
Video
Brief Analysis
The (Next) Battle for Northwest Syria: U.S. Policy Implications
The director of the Syrian Emergency Task Force joins three Washington Institute experts to discuss the stunning rebel advances in the west.
Dec 6, 2024
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Andrew J. Tabler
Anna Borshchevskaya
Aaron Y. Zelin
Mouaz Moustafa
Brief Analysis
Back to the Future in Lebanon? Ceasefire Lessons from 2006
The former head of Israel’s “tripartite” delegation reflects on the slow-rolling failures that followed the 2006 ceasefire—lessons that can help authorities overcome similar obstacles to the new agreement.
Dec 6, 2024
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Assaf Orion
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
The Importance of a Joint IMF and EU Agreement for Tunisia: Learning from Greece's Economic Turnaround
By choosing a pathway to stability and growth through international partnership, Tunisia can mitigate its exposure to external shocks and create a more resilient economic environment for its citizens.
Dec 5, 2024
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Ghazi Ben Ahmed
Brief Analysis
The Lebanon Ceasefire: Managing Israeli Public Expectations and U.S. Coordination
In addition to assuaging public fears about the agreement, officials will need to reach a shared understanding with Washington about how to enforce its terms and respond to Hezbollah violations.
Dec 5, 2024
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David Makovsky
Articles & Testimony
Remaining, Waiting for Expansion (Again): The Islamic State’s Operations in Iraq and Syria
Despite the group's expansion in other parts of the world, its original base in Iraq and Syria remains relevant due to the area's uncertain status quo and the looming prospect of U.S. military withdrawals.
Dec 5, 2024
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Aaron Y. Zelin
Video
Brief Analysis
The Hezbollah-Israel Ceasefire and U.S. Leadership: What Comes Next
Four experts discuss the agreement’s detailed security provisions, the prospects for successful implementation, and the potential impact on other regional players.
Dec 4, 2024
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David Schenker
Hanin Ghaddar
Assaf Orion
Matthew Levitt
Brief Analysis
Mismanagement Makes Iran Vulnerable to a Different Type of U.S. Pressure
The country faces shortages of gasoline, natural gas, and electricity that make it newly susceptible to pressure against its oil product imports, not just its oil exports.
Dec 4, 2024
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Patrick Clawson
Brief Analysis
The Trump Administration Will Have Avenues for Constructive Palestinian Engagement
Mahmoud Abbas seems willing to work with the incoming administration, but will his final legacy be one of diplomatic success, or will he be forced to return to his only remaining tool of “political resistance”?
Dec 3, 2024
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Neomi Neumann
Brief Analysis
How Washington Can Salvage Iraq’s Counter Terrorism Service
CTS is the most successful U.S. partner force in Iraq, which is why Iran-backed terrorist groups are trying to penetrate and corrupt it.
Dec 3, 2024
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Michael Knights
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