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Articles & Testimony
The Houthi War Machine: From Guerrilla War to State Capture
The Houthis are more than capable of becoming a ‘southern Hezbollah’ on the Red Sea, a threat that continues to drive the Gulf coalition’s coastal campaign.
Sep 10, 2018
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Michael Knights
Articles & Testimony
On Syria, the U.S. Can Drive a Hard Bargain with Russia
Putin gives nothing away without a price. To protect America’s interests, neither should Trump.
Sep 9, 2018
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Dennis Ross
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Iran’s Military Propaganda: Failures and Successes
While propaganda plays a major role in forming local and international public opinion, it may also be deployed as a tool of “soft deterrence,” designed to tilt the calculations and military strategies of other countries in another country’s favor. Iran’s financial investment in its media presence, with dozens of satellite
Sep 9, 2018
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Firas Elias
Brief Analysis
Israeli Gas Is Almost Ashore, But Challenges Remain
Environmental concerns, uncertainty over export routes, and future security risks overshadow the latest progress in bringing the Leviathan field online.
Sep 7, 2018
◆
Simon Henderson
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Ayatollah Khamenei: Shifting from Velayat-e Faqih to Military Control
Almost forty years after its inception, the project of the Islamic Republic has failed. Ayatollah Khamenei has in essence admitted that an Islamic state is not complete in Iran. Nor is Iranian society unequivocally Islamic in the manner that the revolution intended: rather the Iranian government merely follows and applies
Sep 7, 2018
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Frzand Sherko
Articles & Testimony
Survey of Terrorist Groups and Their Means of Financing
A former Treasury official discusses how governments, banks, and other entities need to adapt constantly just to keep up with the evolving financial tactics used by terrorists and their supporters.
Sep 7, 2018
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Katherine Bauer
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Sanctions May Lead to Regime Change in Iran, but What Then?
The continually escalating war of words between Iran and the United States suggests that the Middle East will have much at stake in the coming months as sanctions take effect. The U.S. administration has made repeated assertions that “regime change” and “military action” against Iran are not on the agenda
Sep 6, 2018
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Abdelillah Bendaoudi
Brief Analysis
UNRWA Funding Cutoff: What Next?
Despite the attendant risks and public outcry, Washington’s decision to halt all aid to the agency could spur some reform without drastically affecting its core humanitarian services.
Sep 6, 2018
◆
James G. Lindsay
Brief Analysis
IRGC Navy Leadership Change May Not Signal Imminent Behavior Change
Despite the appointment of a radical anti-American commander, Iran’s naval forces are unlikely to resume frequent provocations without a strategic shift at the very top of the regime.
Sep 5, 2018
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Farzin Nadimi
Articles & Testimony
Afghanistan Central to Pompeo’s Meeting with Pakistani PM
President Trump is likely expecting some progress to emerge from this week’s diplomacy, but ongoing concerns with Islamabad’s stances on terrorism, Iran, and other issues mean he shouldn’t hold his breath.
Sep 4, 2018
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Simon Henderson
Articles & Testimony
The al-Qaeda of Today Has Changed Since 9/11 and the U.S Must Adapt
Washington needs to do a better job of defeating the group's local political strategy and fighting the war holistically.
Sep 4, 2018
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Daniel Green
Articles & Testimony
Hezbollah’s Criminal and Terrorist Operations in Europe
As authorities consider correcting a past mistake and designating the group in its entirety, long-held assumptions about its European activities must be put to rest.
Sep 2, 2018
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Matthew Levitt
Articles & Testimony
The Rise of the Cyber-Mercenaries
What happens when private Middle Eastern firms have cyberweapons as powerful as those owned by governments?
Sep 1, 2018
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Neri Zilber
Articles & Testimony
Hezbollah’s International Presence and Operations
An in-depth look at the terrorist group's ongoing activities in a multitude of countries, and the steps that government agencies are taking to counter them.
Aug 31, 2018
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Matthew Levitt
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Contextualizing Jihad and Takfir in the Shi’a Conceptual Framework
The nuances of jurisprudential difference between Sunni and Shi’a concepts of jihad have been more or less shaped by the history of the Shi’a community and by the approach of the Shi’a religious scholars to politics. Though the Shi’a concept of jihad has not infrequently aligned with that of Sunnism
Aug 31, 2018
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Robert Rabil
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Contextualizing Jihad and Takfir in the Sunni Conceptual Framework
The concepts of jihad and the charge of unbelief on a Muslim or non-Muslim known as takfir have evoked mixed and dreaded reactions among many in Western countries, where the concepts often make headlines and are presented without context to those who may not have personal interactions with mainstream interpretations
Aug 31, 2018
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Robert Rabil
Brief Analysis
Taking It Slow at Jordan’s Nasib Border Crossing with Syria
Besides raising security concerns, rushing to reopen the crossing would yield far fewer economic benefits than implementing recommended IMF reforms.
Aug 30, 2018
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Ben Fishman
Brief Analysis
Iran’s Response to Sanctions? Ignore Them
The current Iranian narrative—that economic problems stem from domestic mistakes rather than foreign pressure—complicates the U.S. policy of using sanctions to force change.
Aug 29, 2018
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Patrick Clawson
Articles & Testimony
Trump Wants to Help Israel by Cutting Aid to Palestinians. Why Are Some Israelis Worried?
Top IDF officials believe cuts could deepen the economic crisis in the West Bank and Gaza, put thousands of Palestinians out of work, and ultimately lead to violence.
Aug 29, 2018
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Neri Zilber
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Protests in Southern Algeria: Causes and Repercussions
Protesters in the Algerian province of Ouargla took unprecedented action late last month and boycotted a concert on July 27 by holding communal evening prayers at the concert venue. The protesters hoisted placards condemning the marginalization, exclusion, and discrimination practiced against them for decades. These developed into calls for broader
Aug 29, 2018
◆
Ahmed Marwane
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