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Articles & Testimony
Jordan's Economy Was Always Shaky -- the Refugee Crisis Has Only Made Things Worse
If the kingdom wants its latest economic reform plan to succeed, it will have to change the culture of its labor force, which is a difficult proposition at best.
Dec 5, 2016
◆
David Schenker
Brief Analysis
Hezbollah's 'Diplomats' Go Operational
Officials in Washington and abroad should pay close attention to the group's self-styled 'ambassadors,' who are increasingly being implicated in criminal and terrorist activities around the world.
Dec 2, 2016
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Matthew Levitt
Brief Analysis
Responding to Iran's Arms Smuggling in Yemen
Tehran is ramping up its sanction-busting military support to the Houthis, necessitating a coordinated international response to close off Red Sea access to antigovernment forces.
Dec 2, 2016
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Michael Knights
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Would an Oil Production Freeze Save Algeria?
November 30, 2016 OPEC’s non-official meeting in Algeria during the end of September was the most prominent event for a country in dire economic crisis. The importance of the meeting stems from a series of visits by Algerian Energy Ministry Noureddine Boutarfa to major petroleum-producing in an attempt to implement
Nov 30, 2016
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Yacine Boudhane
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
From Security Solutions to Political Resolution: The Innovative Algerian Counterterrorism Approach
In the war on terrorism, intelligence gathering is integral for any and all counterterrorism policies and/or operations. The effectiveness of this apparatus, however, is based largely on the sustained coordination of military, police, and judicial sectors of law-enforcement. With the constant threat of al Qaeda looming domestically, Algeria has increased
Nov 30, 2016
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Hakim Gherieb
Articles & Testimony
How Trump Could Surprise the World on Israeli-Palestinian Peacemaking
Reconciling Israeli security with Palestinian sovereignty will likely require a fresh U.S. approach, so the incoming administration would be wise to heed certain lessons from past failures.
Nov 30, 2016
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Dennis Ross
Brief Analysis
Beginning of the End for East Aleppo
The Assad regime and Russia seem eager to establish full control of the city before the Trump administration takes office, essentially presenting the new president with a fait accompli on the war's most notorious front.
Nov 30, 2016
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Fabrice Balanche
Brief Analysis
Iraq Can't Commit to OPEC's Oil Output Deal
Despite pressure from OPEC to cap its oil production, the Iraqi government can neither afford a cut nor enforce it upon the Kurdistan Regional Government.
Nov 29, 2016
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Bilal Wahab
Brief Analysis
Kuwait's Snap Election Revives Parliamentary Opposition, But Not Reform
While the new legislature is hardly a harbinger of deep reform, broader inclusiveness, or greater personal freedoms, it should be considered another welcome exception to the 'rule' that Arab democracy tends to produce instability, Islamist control, or sectarian oppression.
Nov 28, 2016
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David Pollock
Brief Analysis
OPEC Meeting Is More About Regional Rivalry Than Production Cuts
Saudi Arabia's reluctance to show weakness toward Iran likely means no real agreement will result from this week's OPEC meeting.
Nov 28, 2016
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Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
Fatah's General Conference: Clarifying Succession and Managing Dissent
After numerous postponements, the upcoming conference could inject energy into the aging movement and stabilize its ranks, but not if the internal elections exclude large constituencies or come across as rigged.
Nov 28, 2016
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Ghaith al-Omari
Articles & Testimony
A Syria Policy for Trump: How Washington Can Get to a Settlement
Continued passivity would only reinforce the perception that the United States is acquiescing to Russia and Iran’s regional plans, so the incoming administration should prepare a series of robust diplomatic and military steps.
Nov 28, 2016
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Andrew J. Tabler
Dennis Ross
Brief Analysis
Iran May Be Using Iraq and Syria as a Bridge to Lebanon
While liberating territory from the Islamic State is vital, the consequences of ceding portions of Iraq and Syria to de facto Iranian control could be just as dire as leaving them in jihadist hands.
Nov 23, 2016
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Hanin Ghaddar
Brief Analysis
Status of the Syrian Rebellion: Numbers, Ideologies, and Prospects
An in-depth look at how many fighters are still arrayed against the Assad regime, which ideology they subscribe to, and whether more moderate actors can still seize the mantle from extremist factions.
Nov 22, 2016
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Fabrice Balanche
Brief Analysis
Iran and China Are Strengthening Their Military Ties
Amid uncertainties about the incoming U.S. administration's approach to the Middle East and the nuclear deal, Tehran and Beijing appear to be entering a new era in their strategic partnership, including the potential transfer of advanced weapon systems down the road.
Nov 22, 2016
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Farzin Nadimi
In-Depth Reports
Narratives of Reform in the UAE
UAE success stories are legion: Vast oil resources have made the United Arab Emirates one of the wealthiest states per capita in the world. Emirati rulers have pursued economic and social development projects of epic proportions, and citizen support for the country's leadership is believed to be high. Yet, when
Nov 21, 2016
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Lori Plotkin Boghardt
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Prospects for Reform in Kuwait
If left 'unmanaged,' future political movements in Kuwait may fall back to the more familiar and well-organized tribal Islamist leadership rivaled by leftist groups.
Nov 21, 2016
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Mijbel Al-Talli
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Lebanon’s Presidential Elections: How Shifting Power Dynamics Delivered a Win for Iran
The increase in the power of Hezbollah and Iran is a danger to Lebanese democracy. Even so, the selection of a new president will hopefully set the stage for parliamentary elections to finally occur after three years of delay.
Nov 18, 2016
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Scott Mastic
Articles & Testimony
Gli Obiettivi di Putin in Siria e Medio Oriente
An Italian-language article on Russian interests in Syria and the broader Middle East, originally published in the influential monthly defense publication Airpress. Download the PDF to read the full article.
Nov 18, 2016
◆
Anna Borshchevskaya
Articles & Testimony
Strength in a Tougher World
Some foreign policy guidelines for the incoming administration as it prepares for a world that has become more competitive and less susceptible to U.S. influence.
Nov 18, 2016
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Michael Singh
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