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Brief Analysis
The Red-Hot Blue Line
As the Israel-Lebanon frontier teeters on the brink, Washington and its partners need to urgently exhaust all diplomatic options to prevent war—but without resorting to false remedies or giving Beirut and the LAF a pass for their worsening collusion.
Jan 11, 2024
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Assaf Orion
Brief Analysis
David Pollock: A Retrospective
David’s endless optimism, insightful and entertaining anecdotes, and thoughtful comments on his colleagues’ work were all defining features of his time at The Washington Institute. His mentorship will undoubtedly continue to inspire the dozens of young professionals who worked with him, continuing his legacy.
Jan 11, 2024
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Catherine Cleveland
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
RSF’s Battle Successes in Sudan: The Consequences of Legitimizing Hemedti
The group’s success on the battlefield against the Sudanese armed forces is riven by Hemedti’s personal aspirations bolstered by regional players that see him as a new ally in a future Sudanese state.
Jan 10, 2024
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Areej Elhag
Articles & Testimony
There Is a Lot More Egypt Could Do for Gaza
Sisi’s red line against absorbing displaced Palestinians won’t budge, but Egypt can certainly host crucial initiatives that help them rebuild Gaza, train security personnel, desalinate water, and replace jobs Israel is no longer willing to provide.
Jan 9, 2024
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David Schenker
Articles & Testimony
How to Keep Hamas From Bouncing Back
Decades ago, Saleh al-Arouri helped the group realize that external support networks were essential to recovering from serious setbacks, and this playbook lives on despite his death.
Jan 9, 2024
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Matthew Levitt
Articles & Testimony
The “Axis of Resistance” Strategy in the Israel-Hamas War
Tehran has faced few consequences for the wartime actions of its proxies, so the United States and its allies should step up their sanctions and gray-zone operations against the regime.
Jan 9, 2024
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Ido Levy
Brief Analysis
Jordan’s Escalating Border Threats Amid Regional Upheaval
The kingdom is taking a firm hand against drug trafficking, weapons smuggling, drone infiltrations, and other threats, but it still needs enhanced defense capabilities and other crucial assistance from Washington.
Jan 9, 2024
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Abdullah Hayek
Ahmad Sharawi
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Renewing the KRG’s Opposition Parties for 2024 Parliamentary Elections
As the February 2024 elections approach, the quest for a new political era in Iraqi Kurdistan is encountering formidable challenges.
Jan 8, 2024
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Renwar Najm
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
In the Shadow of Hezbollah-Israel Escalation, Poll Shows Slim Majority of Lebanese Still Want Focus on Domestic Reforms over “Foreign Wars”
The question of Hezbollah’s role in the conflict—or relative lack thereof—is a matter of interpretation within Lebanon. In contrast, support for Hamas is more widespread across Lebanese society, although very positive views are especially concentrated in the Shia community.
Jan 8, 2024
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Catherine Cleveland
Brief Analysis
Not Day After, Day During: Blinken Visits Israel
His trip will not bridge all bilateral differences over the war, but its success can be measured by how it deals with urgent short-term issues while deferring key postwar matters.
Jan 8, 2024
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David Makovsky
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
The Devastating Impact of Lebanon’s Environmental Failures
International cooperation and support—with appropriate safeguarding measures to prevent the misappropriation of funds—are crucial for Lebanon to effectively combat environmental degradation and work toward a more sustainable future.
Jan 8, 2024
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Peter S. Germanos
Samara Azzi
Articles & Testimony
Algeria Takes a Seat on the UN Security Council
Twenty years after its last term, Algiers returns to make its mark, potentially affecting U.S. efforts on Gaza, Ukraine, the Western Sahara dispute, and more.
Jan 8, 2024
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Sabina Henneberg
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Yemeni Honey Production: An Ancient Craft Drawing Modern Attention
There is no question that promoting economic growth and improving the ability of Yemenis to make a living is one approach to breaking the cycle of poverty and violence in the country, but progress should also be tied to Yemeni culture and to environmental challenges to make it more sustainable.
Jan 8, 2024
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Muneer Bin Wabar
Articles & Testimony
The World Prepares for Gaza War Escalation
The players have climbed another rung on the escalatory ladder in Iraq, Lebanon, and the Red Sea, exacerbating worries about a wider regional conflict and more serious economic effects.
Jan 7, 2024
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David Schenker
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Iranian-Made Quds-2 Cruise Missile Photographed in Iraq
Recently used in Houthi attacks from Yemen, this missile family could give Iraqi militias the capacity to target sites in Israel if they choose to escalate their campaign of solidarity with Hamas.
Jan 5, 2024
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Alex Almeida
Michael Knights
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Militia Spotlight
Brief Analysis
Terrorist Bombings in Iran: Implications and Potential Responses
Although an Islamic State branch claimed the deadly blasts near a restive border zone, Tehran was quick to blame Israel and the United States, promising “severe retaliation” akin to what followed Qasem Soleimani’s death in 2020.
Jan 5, 2024
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Farzin Nadimi
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Who Are Nujaba and Why Did the U.S. Just Strike Them?
The group's cadres are the most reckless of Iran's terrorist proxies in Iraq and have been the proximate cause of almost all recent U.S. strikes.
Jan 4, 2024
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Michael Knights
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Militia Spotlight
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
With Attention on Gaza, Russia and China Continue Economic and Military Inroads in Arab States
In the last two months, China has continued its regional economic expansion, making concentrated progress with energy and development deals. Though less pervasive, Russia, too, has added to its economic portfolio in the region.
Jan 4, 2024
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Ana Estrada Hamm
Rebecca Redlich
Frances McDonough
Articles & Testimony
How Hamas Built an Army
Although the group’s conventional military capabilities seemingly peaked on October 7, an underperforming army is still an army, so the IDF has little choice but to continue ground operations until it can shift to a counterterrorism-centered strategy.
Jan 2, 2024
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Ido Levy
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Babiliyoun Movement Hijacks All Four Christian Minority Seats
A group led by U.S.-sanctioned figure Rayan al-Kildani escaped accountability from Iraqi Christian communities by abusing the courts and buying non-Christian votes.
Jan 2, 2024
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Yaqoub Beth-Addai
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Militia Spotlight
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