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Brief Analysis
Russian Views on the Middle East: A Trip Report
Two Washington Institute experts share their findings from recent visits to Russia, where they discussed a wide range of regional issues with current and former officials, leading analysts, and other citizens.
Jun 3, 2016
◆
James Jeffrey
Anna Borshchevskaya
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Raqqa Will Not Fall Until Arab Tribes Fight the Islamic State
The tribes in eastern Syria have been driven in different directions by the Assad regime, outside actors, and their own self-interest, leaving the coalition with a complex web to untangle before it can fully uproot IS.
Jun 3, 2016
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Fabrice Balanche
Articles & Testimony
How Netanyahu Could Surprise Us Again
The heated criticism of his government's rightward shift is obscuring the fact that Arab officials continue to work with Israel on various important initiatives, creating room for potential diplomatic developments that could render outside peacemaking forays moot.
Jun 2, 2016
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David Pollock
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Middle East Borders 100 Years After Sykes-Picot: Towards Mono-Nationalism or Pluralism?
A recent Foreign Policy article argued against holding the Sykes-Picot agreement accountable for the current turmoil in the Middle East. While the author may have gone too far in absolving the treaty and its signatories from all blame, it is certainly true that the borders this document ultimately helped develop
Jun 2, 2016
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Maurizio Geri
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Who to Blame for the Absence of a Kurdish State after Sykes Picot?
Last month, many Kurds mourned the 100th anniversary of the Sykes-Picot agreement, signed on May 16 1916, which laid down the foundation for today’s nation states in the Middle East. Arguably, no single ethnic group despises this agreement more than the Kurds, who often view it as a moratorium on
Jun 1, 2016
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Yerevan Saeed
In-Depth Reports
Iraq's Imperiled Democracy
This essay, the sixth in a series exploring prospects for political reform throughout the Middle East, analyzes the unique perils facing democratic governance in Iraq, particularly the dangerous Islamist alternatives masquerading under the guise of theocracy.
Jun 1, 2016
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Nathaniel Rabkin
Brief Analysis
Bahrain's Game of Detainee Diplomacy With Washington
The government in Manama, the headquarters of the U.S. Fifth Fleet, blames Iran for supporting the Shiite opposition and downplays the threat of Sunni extremist support for the Islamic State.
Jun 1, 2016
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Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
Losing by Winning: The Rupture of the Israeli Center
The new Israeli government reflects the country's increasing polarization and leaves Netanyahu with limited room for maneuver, making it difficult for him to preempt the growing momentum behind efforts to internationalize the Palestinian issue.
May 31, 2016
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David Makovsky
Dennis Ross
Brief Analysis
Assessing the New AKP Cabinet
Turkey's incoming government reflects the regionalization of political power, outsize influence from religious schools, and the sidelining of Kurds and women, as well as pointing to the emergence of an exclusive governing-party system.
May 31, 2016
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Soner Cagaptay
Cem Yolbulan
Brief Analysis
Iran's Parliamentary Speaker Election Is No Step Forward for Rouhani
Ali Larijani's projected victory likely won't help Rouhani, who needs ample support from parliament in order to bolster his chances of winning next year's presidential election.
May 27, 2016
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Mehdi Khalaji
Brief Analysis
Iran's Air Force Overshadowed by the IRGC
A recent crash highlights the air force's struggles to maintain its readiness and budget at a time when Revolutionary Guard leaders are pushing for a deterrence posture based solely on their own ballistic missile arsenal.
May 27, 2016
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Farzin Nadimi
Brief Analysis
The Aerial Delivery of Humanitarian Aid in Syria: Options and Constraints
While airlift operations may provide temporary relief for a number of besieged and hard-to-reach communities, urgently enhancing the military capabilities of moderate opposition groups is ultimately the only way to effectively counter the Assad regime's use of food as a weapon.
May 27, 2016
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Michael Eisenstadt
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Northern Syria’s New Democratic Federal System
On March 17, the PYD declared the establishment of the Founding Council of Democratic Federal System in Rojava and announced the declaration of a democratic federal system for northern Syria. Analyzing the result of this declaration can provide a better view of the PYD’s strategic policies and goals and how
May 27, 2016
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Frzand Sherko
In-Depth Reports
A History of Hezbollah Activities in the Arabian Gulf Region
Iran has long used Hezbollah and other radical Shi'a groups to project power across the Gulf. The CIA noted this trend in an 1986 assessment in which it concluded that "Iran uses international terrorism to achieve specific foreign policy objectives. Therefore it should not be surprising that despite the recent
May 26, 2016
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Matthew Levitt
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Water Issues Are Crucial to Stability in Syria's Euphrates Valley
Regardless of who drives the Islamic State out of the Euphrates Valley agricultural zone, they will need to address the legacy of failed regime irrigation policies that are once again creating tension among local tribes.
May 26, 2016
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Fabrice Balanche
Brief Analysis
The PKK Could Spark Turkish-Russian Military Escalation
Russia and Syria's dormant ties with the group have been reawakened by the civil war, raising the prospect of dangerous weapons proliferation and potential escalation into direct conflict with Turkey.
May 25, 2016
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Andrew J. Tabler
Soner Cagaptay
Articles & Testimony
A New Formula in the Battle for Fallujah
The campaign is Iraq's latest attempt to push militia and coalition forces into a single battlespace, and lessons from past efforts have seemingly improved their tactics.
May 25, 2016
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Michael Knights
Articles & Testimony
The Southern Front in Syria
By supporting rebel progress in the south, Washington could put more pressure on Assad and his allies at relatively low cost, and perhaps turn the wavering Druze fully against the regime.
May 24, 2016
◆
Ehud Yaari
Brief Analysis
Erdogan's Nationalist Path to a Full Presidential System
By further hardening his approach toward Kurdish nationalism at home and in Syria, Erdogan hopes to woo Turkish ultranationalists and legally enshrine his executive power, but his efforts could clash with U.S. policy on the war next door.
May 24, 2016
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Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
The Islamic State Is Targeting Syria's Alawite Heartland -- and Russia
The group's choice of targets is a clear sign of its intention to inflame Sunni/Alawite tensions, raise the price of Moscow's intervention, and assert its symbolic leadership over the rebellion.
May 24, 2016
◆
Fabrice Balanche
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