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Brief Analysis
Countering Russian and Assad Regime Responses to Safe Zones
For such zones to succeed, they must be backed with militarily enforced no-fly zones and a persuasive response to Moscow's inevitable small-scale violations and disinformation campaign.
Feb 17, 2016
◆
Anna Borshchevskaya
TWI Series on State(s) of Ideology
Explore the roles of Salafism, jihadism, nationalism, and other movements as drivers of conflict and alliance post-Arab Spring.
Feb 17, 2016
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Jacob Olidort
Soner Cagaptay
David Pollock
Said Amir Arjomand
Brief Analysis
Understanding Iran's Assembly of Experts Vote
The victors, winnowed from an especially large field, will serve until 2024 and therefore may play a role in choosing a new Supreme Leader.
Feb 16, 2016
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Patrick Schmidt
Brief Analysis
Intervention to Assist Fleeing Syrians: Who, What, Where, Why, and How
Establishment of humanitarian corridors, safe havens, safe zones, or buffer or no-fly zones could turn the tide of Syria's humanitarian crisis, but it could also pose numerous complications and create second- and third-order effects for the region.
Feb 16, 2016
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Col. Nora Marcos
TWI Series on Syrian Safe Havens/Zones
Understand the policy implications of humanitarian safe havens, safe zones, buffers, or no-fly zones in Syria with these assessments of the who, what, where, why, and how of the various options.
Feb 16, 2016
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Fabrice Balanche
Lt Col John R. Barnett
Anna Borshchevskaya
Nicholas Burns
Soner Cagaptay
Michael Eisenstadt
James Jeffrey
Col. Nora Marcos
Nadav Pollak
David Schenker
Andrew J. Tabler
Articles & Testimony
The Reality of Riyadh
Saudi Arabia today is trying to unite the Arab world, while countering Iran in Yemen, Syria, and elsewhere, and also coping with an oil price that remains stubbornly weak.
Feb 16, 2016
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Simon Henderson
Articles & Testimony
Russia's Grim Pattern in Syria
Once again, Moscow has expressed agreement with the United States on the broad principles for easing the Syrian conflict and then acted without regard to those principles.
Feb 16, 2016
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Dennis Ross
Brief Analysis
Desert Stretch: Saudi Arabia's Ambitious Military Operations
Riyadh's offer to deploy ground troops in Syria and reestablish air operations comes while its forces are still heavily committed in Yemen and a huge military exercise begins in the kingdom's north.
Feb 16, 2016
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Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
The Worst of the Syrian Refugee Crisis Is Coming for Europe
The Assad regime's Russian-aided military campaign and the onset of spring augur another mass refugee flow into the EU, and the only surefire way to stop it is by addressing the root of the crisis inside Syria.
Feb 12, 2016
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Fabrice Balanche
Articles & Testimony
Iran’s Last Chance to Join the International Community
Successive White House administrations have tried to weaken the Iranian mullahs’ grip on the country through war, sanctions, and diplomatic isolation. Each policy has failed eminently, and a considerable list of U.S. officials expects more of the same from President Obama’s new strategy of ‘veiled’ diplomacy, which attempts to foster
Feb 11, 2016
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Dani Tahrawi
Articles & Testimony
What Happens if Aleppo Falls?
Kathy Gilsinan interviewed Andrew J. Tabler on what an Assad victory would mean for the war and the West. The full text of the article, including graphics, is available on the Atlantic website. Kathy Gilsinan: I wanted to start with what the significance of Aleppo has been to the Syrian
Feb 11, 2016
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Andrew J. Tabler
Articles & Testimony
Five Years On, Egypt Lacks Introspection
The revolution of January 25, 2011 remains the greatest act of social reassessment in Egypt’s history. All involved parties agreed on the importance of change for Egypt’s future, and that this future required the introduction of increasingly modern means and values. Its actors were dedicated to bringing Egyptian citizens a
Feb 11, 2016
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Ahmad Al-Sawy
Articles & Testimony
Netanyahu Fights for Israel's Energy Future
Even with the low price of oil and natural gas, there are ample business and policy reasons for exploiting Israel's reserves quickly, so Netanyahu is pushing ahead despite ongoing political constraints.
Feb 11, 2016
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Simon Henderson
Articles & Testimony
Five Years After Mubarak's Fall, Lessons for Washington
By allowing events 6,000 miles away to outpace its decisionmaking, the Obama administration put itself in a lose-lose situation, which is why Egyptian and regional players regard U.S. policy during the uprising as a failure.
Feb 11, 2016
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Eric Trager
Brief Analysis
Washington's Self-Deterrence Problem in Syria
If Moscow can get away with boldly flouting U.S. interests in a key American security zone such as the Middle East, where might it interfere next, and at what cost to the international security system?
Feb 11, 2016
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James Jeffrey
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Aleppo and the Geneva III Trap
Ostensibly convened to develop a political solution to the five-year old Syrian crisis, the Geneva III talks were based on deceit. While diplomatic teams from major world capitals wrangled over the minutiae of the negotiation process, Moscow was preparing a major air and special forces offensive against opposition-held territory in
Feb 11, 2016
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Hassan Mneimneh
Articles & Testimony
The Shift in Saudi Foreign Policy
While many believe that Riyadh's Yemen campaign and oil policy are sowing the seeds of domestic instability, the kingdom's activist approach is likely to endure for the foreseeable future given Washington's recent track record.
Feb 10, 2016
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David Schenker
Articles & Testimony
What Vladimir Putin Is Really Up To in Syria
The last thing Putin wants is a U.S.-led safe haven inside Syria, since it would erode his leverage over Europe and raise the military costs of fighting on Assad's behalf.
Feb 9, 2016
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Dennis Ross
Video
Brief Analysis
The Future of the Kurdistan Region of Iraq
Mosul, Economic Crisis, and Self-Determination
A senior foreign policy advisor to Iraqi Kurdish President Barzani discusses the state of U.S.-Kurdish military cooperation, the situation in Iraq and Syria, Kurdistan's economic needs, and the region's future.
Feb 9, 2016
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Hemin Hawrami
David Pollock
Michael Knights
Articles & Testimony
Is ISIS Good at Governing?
The establishment of jihadi governance projects is becoming the new normal as ISIS and al-Qaida learn from past mistakes, but the long-term sustainability of these efforts remains unclear.
Feb 9, 2016
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Aaron Y. Zelin
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