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Articles & Testimony
Ending the War
Laying the groundwork for an eventual Hamas surrender would break the current binary choice between more destructive conflict and an ineffectual ceasefire.
Dec 1, 2023
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Robert Satloff
Dennis Ross
Brief Analysis
Rising Temperatures at Dubai’s COP28 Meeting
The conference agenda extends well beyond climate issues, with implications for regional rivalries, U.S.-Emirati relations, and Israeli wartime diplomacy.
Nov 30, 2023
◆
Simon Henderson
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Kataib Hezbollah Publicly Mocks Asaib Ahl al-Haq for Cowardice
After AAH officials sought a halt to the verbal attacks, KH doubled down with a cutting public insult.
Nov 30, 2023
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Ameer al-Kaabi
Michael Knights
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Militia Spotlight
Brief Analysis
Why China Is Taking Sides Against Israel—and Why It Will Likely Backfire
Beijing’s sharply anti-Israel response to the Gaza conflict, prompted by its increased focus on challenging Washington, exposes the limits of its diplomatic reach in the Middle East and the broader tensions in its foreign policy strategy.
Nov 29, 2023
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Michael Singh
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Rayan al-Kildani Faces Election Backlash in the Months After Wedding Hall Fire
Popular anger against this self-claimed "Christian leader" has grown since the tragic September fire in the Nineveh Plains region, casting a shadow over his election hopes.
Nov 29, 2023
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Yaqoub Beth-Addai
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Militia Spotlight
Articles & Testimony
The Road to October 7: Hamas’ Long Game, Clarified
An in-depth look at the group’s post-2007 activities confirms that it was steadily preparing the ground (and the population) for war while lulling foreign officials into awaiting a moderation that would never come.
Oct-Nov 2023
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Devorah Margolin
Matthew Levitt
Articles & Testimony
The Hamas-Iran Relationship
As details emerge of potential direct links to the attack on Israel, one thing is clear: Hamas would not have been able to plan and conduct such an operation without years of Iranian training, Iranian weapons, and hundreds of millions of dollars in Iranian funding.
Nov 2023
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Matthew Levitt
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Sultan’s Landmark Speech to the Majlis Oman: A Window into Oman’s Economic Reforms
Haitham spoke both as a sovereign and as a prime minister accounting for progress.
Nov 27, 2023
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Jonathan Campbell-James
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Profile: Ansar Allah al-Awfiya (19th PMF Brigade)
One of the top Iraqi proxies for Iran's IRGC-Qods Force, this Sadrist breakaway faction has long garrisoned the Syrian border and killed Iraqi protesters to demonstrate its loyalty.
Nov 27, 2023
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Ameer al-Kaabi
Michael Knights
Hamdi Malik
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Militia Spotlight: Profiles
Articles & Testimony
Putin’s Alignment in Middle East Should Signal to Israel It’s Time for a Change of Allegiance
As Russia leans into support for Israel’s enemies, officials should look for ways to show Moscow that the threat of escalation goes both ways—including through outreach to Ukraine.
Nov 27, 2023
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Anna Borshchevskaya
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Militia Hair-Pulling Over Who Are "The Truest Muqawama"
Amid their ceasefire in solidarity with events in Gaza, Iraqi "resistance" leaders went back to their old habits of diminishing each other and spilling their secrets, with interesting results.
Nov 26, 2023
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Hamdi Malik
Michael Knights
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Militia Spotlight
Brief Analysis
Balancing U.S. Relations in North Africa Without Undermining the Abraham Accords
The Biden administration needs to tread carefully in engaging Algeria, since preserving UN negotiations on Western Sahara and protecting Morocco’s crucial relations with Washington and Israel are paramount to U.S. regional interests
Nov 22, 2023
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Sabina Henneberg
Amine Ghoulidi
Articles & Testimony
How the Washington Post Turned a Feel-Good Story into an Anti-Israel Attack
Despite not taking the time to speak with Israeli officials or even verify key details on the ground, reporters proceeded with a heavily slanted piece that raised further questions about the paper’s wartime editorial policies.
Nov 21, 2023
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Robert Satloff
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Turkish Drone War Damages SDF Infrastructure in NE Syria, Restricts Counterterrorism Efforts
The international community and the Global Coalition should pressure Turkey to cease its drone attacks and help to address the destruction of facilities and infrastructure installations.
Nov 21, 2023
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Mazloum Abdi
Brief Analysis
Will an Iraqi Front Open in the Hamas-Israel War?
The risky tit-for-tat strikes between U.S. and militia forces are one symptom of a wider competition between rival actors in Iraq—one that American and European officials should work together on containing.
Nov 21, 2023
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Bilal Wahab
Selin Uysal
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
The United States Is Rapidly Losing Arab Hearts and Minds Through Gaza War, While Competitors Benefit
According to new polling, the percentage of six Arab publics who believe America has had a positive role in the war amounts to just 7%.
Nov 21, 2023
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Munqith Dagher
Karl Kaltenthaler
Articles & Testimony
Houthi Ship Seizure, OPEC+ Meeting, and COP28 Plans Could Spike Oil Prices
As Iran-backed proxies continue targeting Israeli and U.S. interests, mounting public anger in the Gulf states might spur leaders to announce production cuts at this week’s cartel meeting.
Nov 20, 2023
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Simon Henderson
Articles & Testimony
Iraq’s Delicate Balancing Act With Iran and the U.S.
Despite reassuring U.S. officials during recent meetings, it is unclear whether Prime Minister Sudani can indefinitely placate an angry public or prevent Tehran’s militia proxies from further escalating the situation.
Nov 19, 2023
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Bilal Wahab
Maps & Graphics
Articles & Testimony
OFAC Designates Iraqi Militiamen (Part 1): Kataib Hezbollah Commanders
Washington has signaled that its patience is wearing thin with the group's pivotal role in two dozen attacks on U.S. forces in Iraq and Syria in a month.
Nov 17, 2023
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Michael Knights
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Militia Spotlight
Maps & Graphics
Articles & Testimony
OFAC Designates Iraqi Militiamen (Part 2): KSS and Abu Ala al-Walai
Kataib Sayyid al-Shuhada's designation for terrorist activities is long overdue, reflecting its important ongoing role in attacks on U.S. forces in northern Iraq and eastern Syria.
Nov 17, 2023
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Michael Knights
◆
Militia Spotlight
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