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Brief Analysis
Findings from the State Department's Annual Terrorism Report (Part 2):
The Rise of ISIL
The group's establishment of a territorial "caliphate," the emergence of an unprecedented foreign fighter phenomenon, and the rise of violent extremist social media and lone offender attacks have fundamentally transformed the global terrorist threat.
Jun 19, 2015
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Matthew Levitt
Ryan Youkilis
Brief Analysis
Findings from the State Department's Annual Terrorism Report (Part 1):
Hezbollah and Iran
Contrary to recent intelligence assessments by other agencies, the State Department's latest report documents Hezbollah and Iran's ongoing, deep involvement in terrorist activities.
Jun 19, 2015
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Matthew Levitt
Kelsey Segawa
Brief Analysis
Judging Whether the Iran Deal Is Acceptable
In the nuclear negotiations, Tehran wants to have its cake and eat it too by obtaining sanctions relief while preserving the option to build a nuclear weapon in the future; the U.S. goal must be to deny Iran this capability.
Jun 18, 2015
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Michael Singh
Brief Analysis
Syria's Druze Under Threat
Recent attacks on the Syrian Druze community threaten to further roil sectarian tensions, radicalize Druze elements, and potentially draw Israel into the civil war.
Jun 17, 2015
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Noam Raydan
Matthew Levitt
Brief Analysis
Riyadh Looks to Moscow
Prince Muhammad's visit to Russia will increase speculation that Saudi Arabia's relationship with the United States is changing.
Jun 17, 2015
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Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
How to Make Sure Iran's One-Year Nuclear Breakout Time Does Not Shrink
The final deal needs to specify the total enrichment capacity of Iran's installed centrifuges, mandate a robust verification regime, and include other restrictions to the nuclear program's size and content.
Jun 17, 2015
◆
Olli Heinonen
Simon Henderson
Articles & Testimony
The War Against ISIL: In Search of a Viable Strategy
Washington has several options beyond a major ground commitment, including more drones and special forces in Iraq, a true effort to arm and organize the Syrian opposition, and a willingness to recognize longer-term regional threats posed by al-Qaeda affiliates and Iran.
Jun 15, 2015
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Michael Eisenstadt
Brief Analysis
Gas Issue Dominates Cyprus-Israel Agenda
As Israeli and Cypriot officials meet in Jerusalem, energy-thirsty Egypt remains the obvious market for their offshore gas exports, but such deals risk Turkish ire.
Jun 15, 2015
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Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
Iran Seen from Beijing
China views Iran as a central element in its much-touted Silk Road Economic Belt, which aims to extend Beijing's influence overland through Central Asia to the Persian Gulf and Europe.
Jun 11, 2015
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Kevjn Lim
In-Depth Reports
Post-Jasmine Tunisia
One of the more dramatic Arab Spring plotlines has been the rapid turn of fortune for Islamist movements throughout the region. If the tumult of 2011 initially paved the way for Islamist parties to assume power in places like Tunisia, Egypt, and Morocco, by 2014 the pendulum had swung decidedly
Jun 10, 2015
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Sarah Feuer
Articles & Testimony
An Opportunity, and Lesson, in Negotiating With Iran
A foreign policy fracas erupted last week when an Obama administration official slammed a New York Times story asserting that growth in Iran’s stockpile of enriched uranium–reported in an International Atomic Energy Agency update on Tehran’s compliance with its international obligations–presented an obstacle to negotiations over a U.S.-Iran nuclear agreement
Jun 9, 2015
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Michael Singh
Brief Analysis
Fencing Out Terrorism: Precedents for Kenya's Security Barrier
When faced with mounting instability, violence, or other threats next door, several countries have sought to bolster their borders with long, elaborate security barriers, but maintaining and patrolling these walls can be a challenge.
Jun 9, 2015
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Sarah Gilkes
Kelsey Segawa
Brief Analysis
What Turkey's Election Results Mean
The outcome has dealt a blow to the AKP's longstanding dominance and Erdogan's goal of implementing a presidential system, with potential implications for the economy, Syria policy, and the Kurdish movement.
Jun 8, 2015
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Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
The Administration Should Not Meet With the Muslim Brotherhood in Washington
Washington should avoid engaging an organization that calls for "jihad" and "martyrdom" in fighting a strategic ally.
Jun 5, 2015
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Eric Trager
Articles & Testimony
Why Drip-Feeding U.S. Support Won't Work in Iraq
Without more decisive steps and a greater commitment of forces, the United States cannot expect to achieve its goals against the Islamic State.
Jun 5, 2015
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Michael Knights
Brief Analysis
OPEC's Weakness Is a Reality Check for Saudi Arabia
The June 5 meeting of OPEC oil ministers is expected to produce no change in policy, prompting questions of how long Riyadh can sustain its current spending.
Jun 4, 2015
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Simon Henderson
Articles & Testimony
With Nisman Dead, AMIA Case Falls Down the Rabbit Hole
Rather than acting on the mountain of existing evidence uncovered by a tragically slain prosecutor, Argentina is allowing an Iranian fugitive to undermine its investigation into a mass terrorist attack in downtown Buenos Aires.
Jun 4, 2015
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Matthew Levitt
Articles & Testimony
Implications of the Iran Nuclear Agreement for U.S. Policy in the Middle East
Any agreement should be judged not only by its verifiable nuclear restraints, but also by the credibility of U.S. readiness to contain the regime's asymmetrical military, ideological, religious, economic, and diplomatic moves in the region.
Jun 3, 2015
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James Jeffrey
Brief Analysis
Have International Sanctions Crippled Iran's Auto Industry?
The major industry has been better prepared than expected, but it still suffers from lack of liquidity and sluggish growth due to banking restrictions and other inefficiencies.
Jun 3, 2015
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Nahid Kalbasi
Articles & Testimony
The Next Step in Erdogan's Dance with the Kurds
The rise of a Kurdish party could undermine the Turkish president's earlier efforts to court the minority -- and may save democracy... Read the full version of this article on the Wall Street Journal website.
Jun 3, 2015
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Soner Cagaptay
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