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In-Depth Reports
Contextualizing Israeli Concerns about the Iran Nuclear Deal
Few issues have so polarized U.S. and Israeli leaders as the prospective accord with Iran regarding its nuclear program. Between Obama’s “historic opportunity” and Netanyahu’s “historic mistake” lie differing threat perceptions, divergent worldviews and regional assessments, and a deep deficit of trust. From an Israeli perspective, the U.S. administration has
Jun 2, 2015
◆
Michael Herzog
Brief Analysis
The Islamic State's Saudi Chess Match
By attacking Shiite targets in Yemen and Saudi Arabia and potentially drawing Iran into the fray, the group is playing a complicated game aimed at delegitimizing the royal family and destabilizing the kingdom.
Jun 2, 2015
◆
Aaron Y. Zelin
Video
Brief Analysis
Iranian Influence in Iraq: Between Balancing and Hezbollahzation?
Three Iraq experts probe the rising influence of Shiite militias -- many backed by Iran -- on Iraq's security and political landscapes.
Jun 1, 2015
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Michael Knights
Phillip Smyth
Ahmed Ali
Articles & Testimony
Ramadi 2015 vs. Burma 1942: Spin vs. Grit
The blame game appears so blatant that one might even conclude the administration is intent on throwing in the towel against ISIS.
Jun 1, 2015
◆
James Jeffrey
Brief Analysis
Iraqi Shiite Foreign Fighters on the Rise Again in Syria
As regime and Hezbollah forces experience manpower and projection problems in Syria, Iran-backed Iraqi Shiite militias may be reassuming a greater combat role.
May 29, 2015
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Phillip Smyth
Articles & Testimony
Why the Saudis Just Blacklisted Two Lebanese Militants
The assignment of skilled senior operatives to support Houthi rebels in Yemen underscores the importance that Hezbollah attributes to its activities in the Arabian Peninsula.
May 29, 2015
◆
Matthew Levitt
Brief Analysis
The Crisis of the Assad Regime
Damascus faces a long decline unless major factors change relating to regime strategy, additional resources from allies, or a collapse in rebel unity of effort.
May 28, 2015
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Jeffrey White
Articles & Testimony
Anbar First, Mosul Never? Iraq's Strategy for Defeating ISIS
Since regaining Tikrit, the Iraqi government has seemingly listened to Washington's advice about delaying an undermanned campaign to retake Mosul, focusing instead on marshalling sufficient cross-sectarian forces in western Anbar province.
May 27, 2015
◆
Michael Knights
Brief Analysis
Khamenei's Nuclear Instructions: Public Versus Private
Leaked statements indicate that the Supreme Leader's private views on nuclear compromise are more flexible than his tough public posture, so the negotiators may be able to ignore his stated redlines on inspections.
May 26, 2015
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Mehdi Khalaji
In-Depth Reports
Can Erdogan Stay at the Helm?
Turkey's next parliamentary vote is set for June 7, and if predictions hold, the ruling Justice and Development Party (AKP) will continue a run of dominance that began in 2002. Important issues remain, nonetheless. If the Kurdish nationalist Peoples' Democratic Party (HDP) crosses the 10-percent electoral threshold necessary for parliamentary
May 26, 2015
◆
Soner Cagaptay
Articles & Testimony
A Policy to Defeat Both ISIL and Iran
The Middle East state system is under relentless pressure, and preserving it will require a long-term vision for shoring up U.S. allies, rolling back ISIL, and countering the Iranians.
May 26, 2015
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Samuel Berger
Stephen Hadley
James Jeffrey
Dennis Ross
Robert Satloff
Articles & Testimony
BDS's Useless Politics of Confrontation
Although Israel should not be immune to critique, efforts to delegitimize its very existence are dangerous to American campuses and the prospects for a peaceful two-state solution.
May 22, 2015
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David Makovsky
Raquel Saxe
Brief Analysis
No Voice of Reconciliation: Khamenei Targets the West
The Supreme Leader's latest statements, harping on "unreasonable" demands, are not preparing the Iranian public for compromise.
May 21, 2015
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Mehdi Khalaji
Articles & Testimony
Taking Advantage of the Fall of Ramadi
An Iraqi journalist explains why resolving the political causes underlying the expansion of ISIS is just as important as combating the group militarily.
May 20, 2015
◆
Ali Alnaemi
In-Depth Reports
Deterring an Iranian Nuclear Breakout
Whether or not the P5+1 and Tehran reach a nuclear deal, deterring an Iranian breakout, most likely at clandestine sites, will remain a core U.S. imperative for the foreseeable future. Although the U.S. intelligence community has a strong record of detecting clandestine nuclear programs, it has often failed to correctly
May 20, 2015
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Michael Eisenstadt
Brief Analysis
Hezbollah's Victory in Qalamoun: Winning the Battle, Losing the War
The group will no doubt continue helping the Assad regime hang on, but the war's heavy attrition, Syria's demographic realities, and rebel gains elsewhere in the country all point to a seemingly inevitable fall.
May 20, 2015
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David Schenker
Oula A. Alrifai
Articles & Testimony
Egypt's Muslim Brotherhood Gets a Facelift
The movement's young leaders are turning to explicitly violent 'revolutionary' tactics in order to stay relevant, but they are escalating a fight they are unlikely to win.
May 20, 2015
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Eric Trager
Marina Shalabi
Articles & Testimony
After Abbas, An Abyss
President Abbas has long ensured that no new leaders would come to the fore as realistic successors, but while this may have helped him consolidate control over a fractious polity, it is potentially ruinous as a national strategy.
May 20, 2015
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Ghaith al-Omari
Neri Zilber
Articles & Testimony
Egypt Two Years After Morsi
Although the Obama administration is right to be concerned about Egypt's domestic political trajectory, conditioning the bilateral strategic relationship on Cairo's progress toward democracy will only make matters worse under the current circumstances.
May 20, 2015
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Eric Trager
Brief Analysis
Retaking Ramadi: U.S. Assistance and Shiite-Sunni Cooperation
Washington can help by providing additional airpower and advisory assistance, but Iraqis must take the lead in combining various Sunni and Shiite forces into an effective Anbar counteroffensive.
May 19, 2015
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Michael Knights
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