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Brief Analysis
Egyptian Elections: Beyond Winning
The legitimacy of Egypt’s next president will depend on the credibility of tomorrow’s elections, yet credibility may not be enough for many Egyptians.
May 22, 2012
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David Schenker
Brief Analysis
Presidential Elections Will Not End Egyptian Instability
Washington has little ability to influence the outcome of this week's election, in which most leading candidates appear disinclined to maintain strong relations with the United States. But it can encourage the Egyptian military to minimize the likelihood of another uprising.
May 22, 2012
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Eric Trager
Articles & Testimony
Avoiding the Containment Trap with Iran
In one of the most memorable lines of his March 4, 2012, speech on the Middle East, President Obama declared, "Iran's leaders should understand that I do not have a policy of containment; I have a policy to prevent Iran from obtaining a nuclear weapon." However, containment is rarely a
May 22, 2012
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Michael Singh
Brief Analysis
Too Early to Expect a Breakthrough on Iran
While the upcoming talks in Baghdad are unlikely to lead to a breakthrough, Washington should use them to determine whether a deal is ultimately possible.
May 22, 2012
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Dennis Ross
Brief Analysis
The Baghdad Nuclear Talks: Three Steps to Help Diplomacy Succeed
Although Washington may be tempted to take whatever progress it can get from this week's nuclear talks, the only agreement worth having is one that resolves Western concerns about Iran's nuclear activities while lessening the threat of military conflict.
May 22, 2012
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Michael Singh
Brief Analysis
Syria's Crisis Reaches Beirut
The latest clashes in Beirut show that as long as the Syrian conflict persists, Lebanon's internal security will be increasingly at risk.
May 21, 2012
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Andrew Engel
Articles & Testimony
Arab Spring Heats Up Kurdish Issue
Middle Eastern states have shifted alliances over the Kurdish question in the wake of the Arab Spring and the withdrawal of U.S. military forces from Iraq.
May 21, 2012
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Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
Prospects for Success in the Iran Nuclear Negotiations
While Tehran may be preparing the ground for an interim agreement on terms the West would accept, any deal-in-principle would have to be finalized, put into practice, and followed by fuller agreements.
May 18, 2012
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Patrick Clawson
Mehdi Khalaji
Brief Analysis
Syrian Opposition Targets the Regime Online
Syrian activists have stepped up their social media efforts and cyber attacks against the Assad regime, and Washington should take more steps to support them.
May 18, 2012
Brief Analysis
Syrian Jihadis: Real and Exaggerated
Damascus may be exaggerating the strength of the Syrian jihadi group Jabhat al-Nusra.
May 17, 2012
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Aaron Y. Zelin
Andrew J. Tabler
Brief Analysis
Secret Hamas Elections Point to Internal Struggle
The ongoing Hamas elections will strengthen the military wing, weaken Khaled Mashal, make reconciliation with the PA more difficult, preserve close collaboration with Iran, and, perhaps, forge closer ties with Egypt.
May 16, 2012
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Ehud Yaari
Articles & Testimony
The Ayatollah of Rejection May Be Contemplating Compromise
Khamenei's dilemma: To compromise he must save face; but, to save face, he must not compromise.
May 14, 2012
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Mehdi Khalaji
Articles & Testimony
Flooding Out Terror? Turkey's Ilisu Dam Project
The Ilisu Dam project could enter the annals of counterterrorism as history's first "hydro-victory."
May 14, 2012
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Soner Cagaptay
Altay Otun
Brief Analysis
Gulf Arab Leaders Meet to Discuss Syria and Iran
The upcoming GCC meeting in Riyadh reflects concern about events in Syria, fear of Iran, and anxieties about Washington's policies.
May 11, 2012
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Simon Henderson
Articles & Testimony
Winter or Spring: Islamists, the Military, and Post-Revolution Politics in Egypt
The following is an excerpt from an article that appeared in Middle East Insights (vol. 3, no. 3). To read the full article, download the PDF. The so-called "Arab Spring" has forever changed the face of the Middle East, and it's not finished. While the revolts that toppled longtime autocrats
May 11, 2012
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David Schenker
Articles & Testimony
The Iranian Security Threat in the Western Hemisphere:
Learning from Past Experience
World attention on Iran centers on the threats to international security posed by the country’s nuclear program. As Iran presses on in its efforts to become a nuclear power, the regime in Tehran also employs an aggressive foreign policy that relies heavily on the deployment of clandestine assets abroad to collect intelligence and support foreign operations, all of which are aimed at furthering Iranian foreign policy interests. From a U.S. perspective, Iran’s massive diplomatic presence in the Western Hemisphere presents a particularly acute problem. In response to Iran’s abuse of the diplomatic system, the international community should collectively press our friends and allies in Latin America to severely restrict the size of Iran’s diplomatic missions to the minimum needed to conduct official business.
May 10, 2012
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Matthew Levitt
Articles & Testimony
Sanctions Are Only a Stop-Gap
The question is not whether sanctions have worked but whether the strategy they serve is correct.
May 9, 2012
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Patrick Clawson
Articles & Testimony
The Ayatollah Contemplates Compromise
The new talks have put Khamenei in a perilous position: compromising is as dangerous for him as digging in his heels.
May 9, 2012
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Mehdi Khalaji
Brief Analysis
Changes in Israeli Policy after the Netanyahu-Mofaz Deal
Israel's new national unity government strengthens both Binyamin Netanyahu and Shaul Mofaz, but it will ultimately be judged by whether it makes progress on its foreign and domestic policy agenda.
May 9, 2012
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David Makovsky
Video
Brief Analysis
Egypt in Transition: What Happened to the Liberal Youths of Tahrir Square?
On May 9, Mahmoud Salem addressed a Policy Forum at The Washington Institute. Mr. Salem, a renowned Egyptian blogger better known as "Sandmonkey," is a longtime analyst of Egyptian political affairs and advocate for free speech and democracy. He ran as a parliamentary candidate last year on the ticket of the Free Egyptians Party. The following is a rapporteur's summary of his remarks.
May 9, 2012
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Mahmoud Salem
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