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Brief Analysis
Closing Washington’s China Gap with Middle East Partners
For the first time in decades, America’s top strategic priority diverges from that of its key regional partners, but Washington can close the gap by increasing their understanding of China and removing the blinders from their threat perceptions.
Aug 14, 2023
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Michael Singh
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Tracking Iranian Soft Power Influence in the KRI
The Islamic Republic of Iran over several years has gained a significant foothold in Iraq, spreading its influence and agenda throughout Iraqi daily life.
Aug 11, 2023
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Nawras Jaff
Brief Analysis
Can the Lebanese Army Prevent a Hezbollah-Christian Conflict?
Given the military’s behavior during a recent confrontation and the spike in Christian anger toward Hezbollah, Washington should consider fine-tuning its assistance to the LAF, cutting off units that are not committed to protecting the people.
Aug 11, 2023
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Hanin Ghaddar
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Nujaba Leads the "Big Three" Reaction to Iraq's Telegram Ban
While one leading militia spearheaded online vitriol against a social media ban that affected its affiliates, Asaib Ahl al-Haq and Kataib Hezbollah seemed more inclined to compromise.
Aug 10, 2023
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Hamdi Malik
◆
Militia Spotlight
Brief Analysis
Firing PA Governors: Precursor to Change or Internal Power Play?
Although Abbas’s latest edict might hold consequences for Fatah politics, the PA’s public standing, and West Bank militancy, a measure of skepticism about its significance is warranted.
Aug 10, 2023
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Ghaith al-Omari
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Militia Reactions to Iraq's Suspension of Telegram
The official ban on their favorite social media app may be temporary, but their response has highlighted divisions within the Shia militia milieu.
Aug 9, 2023
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Amir al-Kaabi
Michael Knights
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Militia Spotlight
Brief Analysis
Lebanon’s Port Risks: The Need for Action Against Substandard Ships
On the anniversary of the 2020 Beirut explosion, Lebanese authorities have done nothing to decrease the risks posed by deficient vessels like the one implicated in the port disaster.
Aug 9, 2023
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Noam Raydan
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
How American-Style Education Influences Iraq’s Private Sector
To grow, the Iraqi economy needs a more robust private sector, which in turn needs young Iraqi workers with business-ready skill sets. American-style universities are filling the gap.
Aug 9, 2023
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May Kadow
Maps & Graphics
In-Depth Reports
A "System of Systems" Approach to Countering Drones:
Examining Recent Operations from the Middle East to Ukraine
Military officials are seeking not a silver bullet but instead advances based on existing layered, interoperable systems.
Aug 7, 2023
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Eric Feely
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Iraqi Kurds Face Legitimacy Issues Amid Election Deadlock and Internal Division
The Kurdistan Region of Iraq (KRI) has been heading for unprecedented political and financial uncertainties as a result of the growing disputes between the two ruling parties and the central government’s moves to erode the KRI’s autonomous status.
Aug 7, 2023
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Bekir Aydoğan
Articles & Testimony
Deterring Russia’s Horizontal Escalation in Syria
To dissuade Moscow from further provocations that endanger coalition forces, the West needs to demonstrate that it has other military and political options in Syria.
Aug 3, 2023
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Andrew J. Tabler
Articles & Testimony
Lebanon Is a Global Sanctuary for Criminals
Even if much-needed prosecutions against Hezbollah members are deemed too dangerous at present, donors must still pressure Beirut to extradite other individuals charged with crimes abroad, starting with banking official Riad Salameh.
Aug 2, 2023
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David Schenker
Articles & Testimony
Economic and Security Conditions in Lebanon
Lebanon’s current problems stem from persistent economic and political corruption, and Hezbollah remains the de facto enforcer of this mafia-like status quo.
Jul 2023
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Matthew Levitt
Articles & Testimony
Why I Think President Biden Erred by Wading Into Israel’s Domestic Crisis
The history is clear—well-intentioned intervention in an ally’s domestic politics often triggers bigger problems, and the president’s stance could conjure a self-fulfilling prophecy about the erosion of U.S.-Israel ties.
Jul 29, 2023
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Robert Satloff
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
How a Small Saudi City Explains China’s Role in the Saudi-Iran Agreement
China's recent mediation efforts between Riyadh and Tehran were motivated by a combination of strategic outlook and economic interest in the Middle East, signaling a gradual shift away from its traditional "free-riding" approach.
Jul 31, 2023
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Essa Nahari
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Israel and Algeria: Protests, Politics, and Colonialism
Exploring the parallels in the Israeli and Algerian experiences provides insight into the future of democracy in both countries.
Jul 28, 2023
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Bruce Maddy-Weitzman
Video
Brief Analysis
Sudan's Civil War: Mediation Challenges and the U.S. Role
Three experts assess the conflict’s effects on regional humanitarian and security issues, outlining the requirements for a durable ceasefire.
Jul 28, 2023
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Yasir Zaidan
Reem Abbas
Alex Rondos
Brief Analysis
The Iran Deal’s October Sunsets: Sanctions Without Snapback
Facing the imminent expiration of UN sanctions but unwilling to trigger “snapback,” the EU and Britain should unilaterally extend some of their own restrictions on Tehran.
Jul 28, 2023
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Henry Rome
Louis Dugit-Gros
Articles & Testimony
The Wrong Message at the Wrong Time
Although some of the arguments for decreasing U.S. military assistance to Israel stem from understandable impulses, implementing such ideas now would only embolden enemies and make conflict more likely.
Jul 27, 2023
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Dennis Ross
Articles & Testimony
Guns, Drugs, and Smugglers: A Recent Heightened Challenge at Israel’s Borders with Jordan and Egypt
A dataset covering case-by-case information underscores the problems that authorities in each country face as they cooperate to clamp down on criminals and secure their shared frontiers.
Jul 2023
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Matthew Levitt
Lauren von Thaden
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