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Brief Analysis
The Consequences of $100 Oil
Over the next few days, oil is likely to break the $100 per barrel mark -- a price that will further raise U.S. consumer costs and conflict with economic measures such as the October 31 interest rate cut. Ironically, good news, such as predictions of greater economic growth, is just
Nov 2, 2007
◆
Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
Presidential Elections in Lebanon:
Consensus or Conflagration?
On October 31, Saad Hariri, leader of the "March 14" majority bloc in the Lebanese parliament, met with opposition leader Michel Aoun, head of the Hizballah-allied Free Patriotic Movement (FPM), the largest Maronite Christian party in Lebanon. Discussions focused on the September 25-November 25 presidential elections, which will decide whether
Nov 1, 2007
◆
David Schenker
Articles & Testimony
Everybody's Kurdish Problem
On November 5, Turkish Prime Minister Recep Tayyip Erdogan will meet US President George W. Bush to discuss likely action against the Kurdistan Workers Party (PKK). The recent spike in terror attacks on Turkey by the PKK from northern Iraq and subsequent Turkish shelling have heightened expectations that Turkey could
Nov 1, 2007
Articles & Testimony
Could Hamas Target the West?
Read the full text of this article (PDF). This article was adapted from the chapter of the same name in the author's book, Hamas: Politics, Charity, and Terrorism in the Service of Jihad (Yale, 2006). On 22 March 2004, Israeli security forces assassinated Hamas founder Sheikh Ahmed Yasin. His deputy
Nov 1, 2007
Brief Analysis
Democracy in Slow Motion:
Oman Goes to the Polls
Tomorrow, around 400,000 Omani men and women are expected to vote in elections for eighty-five seats on the nation's Majlis al-Shura, or Consultative Council. Among the conservative Arab states of the Persian Gulf region, Oman -- a key U.S. ally and exporter of oil and gas, strategically positioned opposite Iran
Oct 26, 2007
◆
J. Scott Carpenter
Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
Larijani's Resignation:
Implications for Iranian Nuclear Policy and Internal Politics
The October 20 announcement of Ali Larijani's resignation as Iran's chief nuclear negotiator and secretary of the Supreme National Security Council (SNSC) has intensified pressure on President Mahmoud Ahmadinezhad. Faced with criticism over the resignation, Tehran ensured that Larijani attended the Iran-European Union (EU) nuclear talks in Rome on October
Oct 25, 2007
◆
Mehdi Khalaji
Brief Analysis
Iran Sanctions:
Can They Be Effective?
Today, the State and Treasury Departments announced a new package of sweeping unilateral sanctions targeting multiple entities in Iran, including three banks, the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) and its Qods Force, the Ministry of Defense and Armed Forces Logistics, several IRGC-affiliated companies, and eight individuals. Can such sanctions be
Oct 25, 2007
◆
Matthew Levitt
Brief Analysis
Transforming U.S. Efforts to Fight Transnational Terrorist Networks
The FBI recently announced that it is engaged in a comprehensive realignment of its counterterrorism division -- the largest such reorganization since the September 11 attacks. Although the proposed reorganization is unlikely to achieve the desired fundamental transformation, it should improve the bureau's ability to combat the increasingly complex threat
Oct 24, 2007
◆
Michael Jacobson
Brief Analysis
Promoting Arab Democracy (or Not):
What the Past Should Tell Us about the Future (Part II)
On October 3, 2007, Robert Satloff, Kenneth Wollack, Lorne Craner, and Michael Mandelbaum addressed a Policy Forum at The Washington Institute. Dr. Satloff is executive director of the Institute. Mr. Wollack is president of the National Democratic Institute for International Affairs and chairman of the board for the U.S. Committee
Oct 24, 2007
◆
Robert Satloff
Michael Mandelbaum
Major PKK Positions in Northern Iraq: West (JPG)
A map of PKK positions in the western portion of northern Iraq. Copyright 2007 The Washington Institute
Oct 24, 2007
Major PKK Positions in Northern Iraq: East (JPG)
A map of PKK positions in the eastern portion of northern Iraq. Copyright 2007 The Washington Institute
Oct 24, 2007
Brief Analysis
The PKK and the Armenian Genocide Resolution:
U.S.-Turkish Relations at a Critical Juncture
On October 21, Kurdistan Workers Party (PKK) operatives carried out an attack from northern Iraq into Turkey, killing twelve Turkish soldiers. This incident followed the killing of more than thirty people in recent weeks, including an incident in which the PKK pulled a dozen civilians off a public bus and
Oct 23, 2007
◆
Soner Cagaptay
Articles & Testimony
Stagecraft, Not Statecraft:
Diagnosing Bush's Failure in Iraq
From "Mission Accomplished" to his September trip to Anbar province, President Bush has excelled at stagecraft when it comes to Iraq. Pulling rabbits out of hats and waving scarves like a diplomatic David Copperfield, he has staged events and shaped imagery to build support for his strategies, while undercutting his
Oct 22, 2007
◆
Dennis Ross
In-Depth Reports
The Bush Administration and the Peace Process:
Annapolis and Beyond
On October 21, 2007, David Makovsky, Daniel Kurtzer, Jim Hoagland, and Dennis Ross addressed The Washington Institute's Weinberg Founders Conference. The following is a summary of their remarks. In a spirited discussion moderated by Dennis Ross and David Makovsky of The Washington Insitute, former U.S. ambassador to Egypt and Israel
Oct 21, 2007
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Dennis Ross
In-Depth Reports
Palestinian Politics after the Hamas Coup
On October 21, 2007, Ehud Yaari and Sari Nusseibeh addressed The Washington Institute's Weinberg Founders Conference. The following is a brief summary of their remarks. Ehud Yaari, an Israel-based Washington Institute fellow and journalist, and Sari Nusseibeh, president of al-Quds university and co-chairman of the Israeli-Palestinian Science Organization, had quite
Oct 21, 2007
◆
Ehud Yaari
In-Depth Reports
Vice President Cheney:
Address to The Washington Institute's Weinberg Founders Conference
On October 21, 2007, Vice President Richard Cheney delivered a special address to The Washington Institute's 2007 Weinberg Founders Conference. The following is a transcript of his remarks. The vice president was introduced by Institute Executive Committee member Roger Hertog. Thank you very much, Roger. Thanks for the kind words
Oct 21, 2007
In-Depth Reports
Israeli-Palestinian Views on Peace:
What Polls Can and Cannot Tell Us
On October 20, 2007, Nader Said, David Makovsky, and David Pollock addressed The Washington Institute's Weinberg Founders Conference. Dr. Said is director of the Development Studies Program at Birzeit University and team leader for the UN Palestine Human Development Report. Mr. Makovsky is a senior fellow at The Washington Institute
Oct 20, 2007
◆
David Makovsky
David Pollock
In-Depth Reports
Israel-Hizballah-Syria:
Lessons from the Last War, Preventing the Next One
On October 20, 2007, Nicholas Blanford and Maj. Gen. Moshe Kaplinsky addressed The Washington Institute's Weinberg Founders Conference. The following is a summary of their remarks. In a civil but spirited debate, Nicholas Blanford, a Beirut correspondent who has spent much of his time reporting and following Hizballah, and Maj
Oct 20, 2007
In-Depth Reports
America's Future Direction in Iraq
On October 21, 2007, J.D. Crouch and Antony Blinken addressed The Washington Institute's Weinberg Founders Conference. Mr. Crouch formerly served as assistant to the president and deputy national security advisor. Mr. Blinken is a majority staff director of the Senate Foreign Relations Committee and senior foreign policy advisor to the
Oct 20, 2007
In-Depth Reports
Turkish Foreign Policy:
Western or Not?
Oct 20, 2007
◆
Soner Cagaptay
Asli Aydintasbas
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