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Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Electoral Law: Signaling a Short-Lived Run for Iraq’s Independent MPs?
A change to the Sainte-Laguë representation system will significantly hinder the ability of smaller parties and independent candidates to win seats in Iraq's next elections.
Mar 16, 2023
◆
Ashleigh Whelan
Mohanad Adnan
Articles & Testimony
The Saudi-Iran Deal Reflects a New Global Reality
Leaders in the Middle East feel more threatened by the competition between China and the United States than by the individual powers themselves, so Washington needs to adapt accordingly.
Mar 16, 2023
◆
Michael Singh
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Nineveh Plains Christians Defend Against the Babiliyoun Militia
An Iran-backed militia run by a notorious human rights abuser was kicked out of a Christian town after it tried to replace local police leaders.
Mar 16, 2023
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Yaqoub Beth-Addai
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Militia Spotlight
Brief Analysis
Clarifying the Status of Previous Iran-Saudi Agreements
The steps taken to actually implement Riyadh and Tehran’s new normalization accord bear close watching given the uncertainties surrounding their 1998 and 2001 agreements.
Mar 16, 2023
◆
Faris Almaari
Brief Analysis
China’s Track Record on Middle East Diplomacy
Beijing has responded to regional conflicts with a bevy of multilateral forums, peace plans, and envoys, but without the deeper commitments and follow-through required to resolve them.
Mar 15, 2023
◆
Carol Silber
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Mainstreaming Hashd Commanders (Part 1): Advanced Education for Senior Militiamen
U.S.-designated terrorists and human rights abusers are beginning to receive senior ranks, staff college certification, and national security degrees at Iraqi and Arab military schools.
Mar 15, 2023
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Michael Knights
Amir al-Kaabi
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Militia Spotlight
Brief Analysis
What Beijing’s Iran-Saudi Deal Means—and What It Doesn’t
China brokered the agreement, but this does not signal a new Beijing-led order in the Middle East—in fact, it could make regional tensions worse.
Mar 15, 2023
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Henry Rome
Grant Rumley
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Mainstreaming Hashd Commanders (Part 2): Fifty-Fold Increase in Officer Training
This year has seen a massive increase in the training of Iraqi militia officers at Defense Ministry academies, and a dedicated PMF training college might be developed under expanded legislation.
Mar 15, 2023
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Amir al-Kaabi
Michael Knights
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Militia Spotlight
Articles & Testimony
Four Possible Scenarios for Tunisia’s Political Crisis
As waves of protest rock the country following mass arrests of political opponents, what will happen next?
Mar 14, 2023
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Karim Mezran
Sabina Henneberg
Brief Analysis
Youth Frustrations, PA Legitimacy Crisis Are Amplifying West Bank Violence
The PA’s weakening grip over its territory, coupled with the rise of a young generation frustrated with their political leaders, has helped accelerate the vicious cycle of Palestinian attacks and IDF crackdowns.
Mar 14, 2023
◆
Moran Stern
Video
Brief Analysis
Breaking Through the Fog of War:
The Challenges and Responsibilities of Reporting Under Fire in 2023
Four veteran journalists offer their insights from the frontlines of different combat zones, including Middle East conflicts and the Ukraine war.
Mar 16, 2023
◆
Missy Ryan
Tracy Wilkinson
Deborah Amos
Hanin Ghaddar
Video
Articles & Testimony
Middle East Matters, Episode One: The Murder of Lokman Slim: Justice Delayed in Lebanon
Watch a special conversation about the murder of Lebanese activist and writer Lokman Slim between veteran Lebanese journalist Hanin Ghaddar and Slim's widow and colleague, Monika Borgmann.
Mar 14, 2023
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Hanin Ghaddar
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Middle East Matters
Articles & Testimony
With Saudi-Iran Diplomacy, Is China Pushing the US Aside in the Middle East?
The surprise development may have more to do with resolving the Yemen war than rebuking the Biden administration, but the full implications will take time to register.
Mar 13, 2023
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Simon Henderson
Articles & Testimony
A Year of War in Ukraine
As the conflict enters year two, it remains unclear if the West has fully internalized the right lessons about Moscow, its partners in the “Global South,” or the parameters of long-term victory.
March 2023
◆
Anna Borshchevskaya
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Saied’s Tunisia Is Politicizing Counterterrorism Again
His government is using CT tools to go after the political opposition, but the ongoing lull in jihadist activity may give Washington some breathing room to press him on these issues.
Mar 9, 2023
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Aaron Y. Zelin
Articles & Testimony
How Europe Is Quietly Putting ‘Strategic Autonomy’ into Practice
The hard lessons learned in Syria have given European leaders the confidence and tools they needed to respond forcefully in Ukraine.
Mar 9, 2023
◆
Louis Dugit-Gros
Video
Brief Analysis
The National Security Implications of Israel's Judicial Debate
A panel of former senior Israeli officials discusses how the convulsive domestic debate may affect vital issues related to military preparedness, Iranian nuclear advancement, Palestinian terrorism, and more.
Mar 8, 2023
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David Makovsky
Shimrit Meir
Yaakov Amidror
Uzi Dayan
Zohar Palti
Articles & Testimony
Securing or Insecuring Israel? Assessing the Israel-Lebanon Maritime Agreement
Taking stock of last year’s deal shows that while there were plenty of good reasons for Washington and Jerusalem to accept it, improving Israel’s long-term security was not one of them.
Mar 7, 2023
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David Schenker
Brief Analysis
Iran’s Currency Collapse May Not Lead to Diplomatic Desperation
The rial keeps plummeting, but policymakers should not assume this will spur Tehran to scale back its nuclear negotiating demands.
Mar 7, 2023
◆
Henry Rome
Articles & Testimony
It Is Time for a New Hezbollah Policy
Growing domestic blowback presents a strategic opportunity to alter the balance of power in Lebanon, shrink Iran’s long-range influence, and promote true political diversity within the Shia community.
Mar 7, 2023
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Hanin Ghaddar
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