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Brief Analysis
Lessons from the Front Line in the Battle for 'Hearts and Minds':
My Two Years in Morocco
Morocco is a nation of nearly 30 million people, part Arab, part Berber, and overwhelmingly Muslim, yet distant enough from Iraq and the Israeli-Palestinian arena so that those issues, while relevant, are not all-consuming. Hence, it provides an excellent vantage point from which to assess the ideological battle between radical
Aug 2, 2004
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Robert Satloff
Articles & Testimony
Lessons of Oslo's Failure Must Be Learned for Peace to Bloom
Nobody spent more time with Palestinian Authority President Yasser Arafat during the years of the Oslo peace process than I did. Why didn't I see that he was incapable of ending the conflict with Israel? Certainly there were those who claimed he could not be trusted and would never make
Aug 1, 2004
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Dennis Ross
Articles & Testimony
Sadrist Revolt Provides Lessons for Counterinsurgency in Iraq
The first serious challenge to Coalition forces in Iraq from Shiite elements began on 4 April 2004. Moqtada al-Sadr's organisation and its militia, the Mahdi Army, initiated demonstrations and attacks on Coalition forces and facilities in Baghdad's Sadr City and across southern Iraq. Coinciding with the siege of Falluja and
Aug 1, 2004
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Jeffrey White
Brief Analysis
The al-Qaeda Challenge to Saudi Arabia
As a result of the 2001 U.S. invasion of Afghanistan, the al-Qaeda network now consists of small, local, and autonomous affiliate groups that attack domestic and Western targets alike. Ties between affiliate groups and the former al-Qaeda core is largely informal. For example, recent attacks have been claimed by affiliates
Jul 29, 2004
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Jonathan Schanzer
Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
Palestinian Fragmentation:
Case Study of Jenin and Nablus
One of the most serious implications of four years of incessant violence and terrorism is the fragmentation of Palestinian society. Notwithstanding the debate over the impact of the Israeli presence in the territories, Palestinian quality of life cannot improve without radical reform in the structure of the Palestinian Authority (PA)
Jul 28, 2004
Brief Analysis
The Democratic Party's Platform and the Middle East
The 2004 Democratic Party platform, "Strong at Home, Respected in the World," which will be formally adopted today at the party's convention in Boston, reflects the prominence of foreign policy in this year's election. Indeed, nearly half the document is devoted to strengthening American security policy after September 11 and
Jul 27, 2004
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Ben Fishman
Brief Analysis
Egypt's New Cabinet:
Will New Faces Generate Change?
For the seventh time since President Hosni Mubarak took office twenty-three years ago, a new Egyptian cabinet has been sworn in. The ceremony took place on July 14, 2004, with the aim of addressing the tremendous challenges posed by a deteriorating economy and by growing internal and external pressure for
Jul 27, 2004
Brief Analysis
Genocide in Sudan?
Rwanda Revisited? More than a decade after the genocide in Rwanda, international attention has once again shifted to the specter of tragedy in Africa, this time in the Darfur region of western Sudan. For more than a year, government-backed Janjaweed militias have been responsible for thousands of acts of murder
Jul 26, 2004
Brief Analysis
Assessing the Current Challenge to Arafat
Palestinian Authority (PA) chairman Yasir Arafat is facing a serious challenge to his authority, perhaps the most serious since he arrived in the territories from Tunis a decade ago this month. Yesterday, the Palestinian Legislative Council (PLC) voted by a 43-4 margin to accept the resignation of Prime Minister Ahmed
Jul 22, 2004
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David Makovsky
Articles & Testimony
Fixing Turkish-Israeli Relations
Turkish Prime Minister Recep Tayyip Erdogan's May 20 demarche calling Israeli acts in Rafah "state terrorism" signals that the iceberg awaiting the crash of Turkish-Israeli relations has now surfaced. Jerusalem needs to act immediately to avoid a fallout with Ankara. Turkish-Israeli relations face a potential crisis. On the Turkish side
Jul 22, 2004
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Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
Lessons from the Sunni Triangle
The Mission of the 82nd Airborne Division in Iraq Like all U.S. forces in Iraq, the 82nd Airborne Division was worked hard in 2003-2004. Beginning in February 2003, the division's headquarters were split between Afghanistan and Iraq. From February 2003 to April 2004, at least two maneuver brigades from the
Jul 20, 2004
Brief Analysis
The Broader Threat from Sunni Islamists in the Gulf
On July 14, 2004, Bahraini security forces arrested seven suspected terrorists accused of planning "to carry out bombings on some government, economic, and tourist facilities to spread chaos and fear and harm the national economy and foreign investments." The arrests targeted a group of Sunni radicals of the extremist Salafi
Jul 19, 2004
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Michael Knights
Articles & Testimony
Fence Gives Israel Chance for Peace
Israel has rejected last week's ruling of the International Court of Justice. The court issued a nonbinding advisory opinion Friday that Israel's barrier is an impediment to peace. However, given the violence of the last four years between Israelis and Palestinians and the distrust that violence has engendered, the barrier
Jul 13, 2004
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David Makovsky
Articles & Testimony
Kurds on the Way to Turkey:
How Israel Can Prevent a Crisis in Its Relations with Ankara
(translated from Hebrew) Turkish prime minister Recep Tayyip Erdogan's May 20 demarche calling Israeli acts in Rafah "state terrorism" signals that Jerusalem needs to act immediately to avoid fallout with Ankara. Today, the Turkish-Israeli relationship faces a potential crisis. On the Turkish side, the readiness of the public to accept
Jul 13, 2004
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Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
Prospects of Israeli Disengagement:
A Status Report
There is no doubt that Prime Minister Ariel Sharon is absolutely determined to carry out disengagement despite the political problems within his own party. The demographic issue of ensuring a long-term Jewish democratic majority in Israel and the associated political pressure has fueled his determination to proceed with disengagement. Sharon
Jul 8, 2004
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Dennis Ross
Wendy Sherman
Brief Analysis
Unilaterally Constructed Barriers in Contested Areas
The International Court of Justice (ICJ) in The Hague is expected to issue an advisory opinion this Friday, July 9, on the international legality of Israel's security fence. Although advisory opinions are often sought from the ICJ before an international body has made up its mind on an issue, the
Jul 8, 2004
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David Makovsky
Brief Analysis
Israel's Security Fence:
Effective in Reducing Suicide Attacks from the Northern West Bank
The International Court of Justice is expected to rule this Friday, July 9, on the legality of Israel's security fence. The Palestinians strongly oppose the security fence, claiming that the fence negatively affects them. Israel is now seeking to address their concerns through a variety of means relating to the
Jul 7, 2004
Brief Analysis
Implications of U.S. Dependence on Middle East Oil
Reasons for Concern The subject of energy and oil dependence should be at the top of the U.S. national security agenda. There are several reasons for concern. First, the world demand for oil is growing rapidly. Chinese and Indian development alone will push oil consumption up in the near future
Jul 7, 2004
Brief Analysis
Reflections on Tin-Cupping for the Iraq War
A Different Iraq Although the United States had been engaged in a similar reconstruction effort in Iraq not more than twelve years before the recent war in that country, the Iraq of 2003 was fundamentally different from the Iraq of 1991, which meant that the reconstruction effort this time around
Jul 6, 2004
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Dov Zakheim
Articles & Testimony
Egypt's New Role
While the world remains riveted on Iraq, Egypt has signaled a new -- even unprecedented -- readiness to play an intensive leading role in ending the Israeli-Palestinian war. In Egyptian eyes, Israeli Prime Minister Ariel Sharon's intention to withdraw from the Gaza Strip has created an opening, and Egypt is
Jul 2, 2004
◆
Dennis Ross
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