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Brief Analysis
Terror from Damascus (Part II):
Hizballah and al-Qaeda Terrorist Activity in Syria
Secretary of State Colin Powell's recent talks in Damascus focused not only on Syrian sponsorship of Palestinian terrorist groups, but also on Syria's increasingly intimate ties with and support for Hizballah. Yet, Syrian support for terrorist groups of global reach does not end with Hizballah. Recently revealed intelligence on al-Qaeda
May 9, 2003
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Matthew Levitt
Articles & Testimony
Mideast Peace, One Day at a Time
In the last week the prospects for peace between Israelis and Palestinians appeared to be improving. The Palestinians approved Mahmoud Abbas as their first-ever prime minister, and he declared that terrorism threatened to destroy the Palestinian cause -- language one never heard from Yasir Arafat. Prime Minister Ariel Sharon of
May 8, 2003
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Dennis Ross
Brief Analysis
Terror from Damascus (Part I):
The Palestinian Terrorist Presence in Syria
Syrian sponsorship of terrorism topped the agenda of Secretary of State Colin Powell's recent trip to Damascus, and his visit was quickly followed by conflicting reports regarding the status of various terrorist headquarters there. The coming weeks will determine whether the Damascus offices of Hizballah, Hamas, Palestinian Islamic Jihad (PIJ)
May 7, 2003
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Matthew Levitt
Brief Analysis
Implementing the Roadmap:
Assessing the Prospective Monitoring Mechanism
With last week's formal unveiling of the Roadmap, the Arab-Israeli peace process has moved into a new phase that is its most internationalized in a quarter century. The establishment of the Roadmap's all-important "verification mechanism"—the structure of which has largely been worked out among the Quartet's U.S., European Union (EU)
May 6, 2003
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Robert Satloff
Brief Analysis
Hizballah on the Defensive
Nervous about recent Middle East developments and major threats looming in the future, Hizballah is taking defensive steps inside Lebanon and stepping up its rhetoric against the United States. Hizballah's Nightmare In almost all of his speeches, Hizballah secretary-general Hassan Nasrallah has spoken about the pride that his organization brought
May 6, 2003
Brief Analysis
Hamas Blood Money:
Mixing Good Works and Terror is No Formula for Peace
Within hours of Mahmoud Abbas's (Abu Mazen) confirmation as the new Palestinian prime minister and the presentation of the Quartet's roadmap to peace, two suicide bombers struck a seaside bar next to the U.S. embassy in Tel Aviv, killing three civilians and wounding sixty more. As is frequently the case
May 5, 2003
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Matthew Levitt
Brief Analysis
Hizballah's Message of Hate and Powell's Levant Visit
As Secretary of State Colin Powell prepares to visit Syria and Lebanon on May 3, his agenda will most likely address the war on terrorism. The most active support for terrorism from both Damascus and Beirut is for Hizballah. To understand what the group's aims and ambitions are, few sources
May 2, 2003
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Avi Jorisch
Articles & Testimony
Palestinian Prime Minister Will Go Nowhere If He Attempts a Solo Act
For the first time in Palestinian history, there is a Palestinian prime minister. Though the timing of the appointment can be attributed to the Bush administration's determination not to deal with Yasser Arafat and the pressure of the international community, the idea of having a prime minister came from Palestinian
May 2, 2003
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Dennis Ross
Brief Analysis
Assessing Mahmoud Abbas's PLC Address:
Many Messages, Many Audiences
Addressing the Palestinian Legislative Council Tuesday, new Palestinian Authority (PA) prime minister Mahmoud Abbas outlined a bold program of domestic reform and commitment to diplomacy that balanced loyalty to Yasir Arafat with an evident desire for fundamental political change. The speech's most positive aspects were Abbas's affirmation of negotiations as
May 1, 2003
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Robert Satloff
Brief Analysis
Challenges Facing Abu Mazen's Government
Mahmoud Abbas—better known as Abu Mazen—represents a moderate course of thinking in Palestinian politics and a marked departure from the policy of intransigence and duplicity that has characterized Yasir Arafat's tainted regime. Specifically, he has challenged the premise of emphasizing national unity before national responsibility; in other words, turning a
May 1, 2003
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Dennis Ross
David Makovsky
Articles & Testimony
Confronting Syrian Support for Terrorist Groups
After the unveiling of an American backed Israeli-Palestinian plan known as the road map earlier this month, US Secretary of State Colin Powell embarked on a trip to the Middle East. Significantly, however, he did not stop in Israel or the West Bank on this trip, but went straight to
May 1, 2003
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Matthew Levitt
Brief Analysis
Patterns of Terrorism 2002:
Terror, Counterterror, and State Sponsorship
Today, the State Department releases the 2002 edition of Patterns of Global Terrorism, its congressionally mandated annual accounting of international terrorism. The report chronicles a year marked by both devastating terrorist attacks and remarkable progress targeting al-Qaeda in the war on terror. However, against the backdrop of the increasingly successful
Apr 30, 2003
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Matthew Levitt
Articles & Testimony
Mideast Roadmap Leads to a Dead End
The United States is on the verge of embarking on a diplomatic campaign to implement an Israeli-Palestinian "roadmap" toward peace that risks sapping the political gains of victory in Iraq to advance a plan that has stunningly little chance of success. The basic idea of the roadmap, written jointly by
Apr 27, 2003
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Robert Satloff
Brief Analysis
Impact of Success in Iraq on Gulf States
The end of Saddam Husayn's regime offers several key benefits with regard to U.S. interests. World oil supplies will increase as Iraq -- which has not been a major oil exporter since the beginning of the 1980-1988 war with Iran -- raises its oil production capacity to its full potential
Apr 24, 2003
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Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
The Emergence of Resistance in Iraq
Whatever the long-term prospects for a stable and democratic Iraq, the potential exists for the development of resistance to that goal. This potential is rooted in both historical factors (e.g., Iraq's political culture; Iraqi distrust of the United States; enduring images of colonialism) and immediate circumstances (e.g., the collapse of
Apr 23, 2003
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Jeffrey White
Brief Analysis
U.S. Policy and Iraqi Oil:
The Challenges Ahead
This Thursday, the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) -- the oil producers' cartel of which Iraq is a founding member -- meets in Vienna to discuss production cuts intended to maintain the current, relatively high price of oil. The United States is not expected to send a representative
Apr 22, 2003
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Simon Henderson
Articles & Testimony
Drawing a Line in the Saudi Sand
With the Iraqi regime defeated and military victory near at hand, the United States and it allies are positioned to leverage greater cooperation in the war on terror from key Arab states, chief among them Saudi Arabia. For all its rhetoric, and its limited actions, Saudi Arabia remains part of
Apr 16, 2003
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Matthew Levitt
In-Depth Reports
The Post-Saddam Middle East:
A View from Israel
March and April 2003 will long be remembered as defining months in forging a new Middle East scene. Before addressing the now–commonly termed challenge of the “morning after,” we must look at the region as it has reacted during the war. This will be our point of departure in evaluating
Apr 14, 2003
Brief Analysis
Winning the Peace in the Middle East:
A Bipartisan Blueprint for Postwar U.S. Policy
On April 9, 2003, The Washington Institute released a major policy document, Winning the Peace in the Middle East: A Bipartisan Blueprint for Postwar U.S. Policy. Dennis Ross, Washington Institute director/Ziegler distinguished fellow, and Robert Satloff, the Institute's director of policy and strategic planning, discussed the principal recommendations of this
Apr 14, 2003
Articles & Testimony
The Next to Go:
Yasir Arafat
It has become de rigueur in Europe and the Arab world to proclaim that the problem in the Middle East is that the Bush administration is not "engaged" in restarting the Israeli-Palestinian peace process. Yet the United States has been engaged in important ways, and hopeful signs are now coming
Apr 14, 2003
◆
David Makovsky
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