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Brief Analysis
Assessing Palestinian-Israeli Violence:
Two Years On
The intifada is not yet over; thus, the Israeli-Palestinian situation has the potential to deteriorate or to improve. Several key changes have taken place over the past two years, affecting the lives of both Israelis and Palestinians. First, the violence that has been exercised by both sides has reversed the
Oct 3, 2002
◆
David Makovsky
Brief Analysis
Algeria's GSPC and America's 'War on Terror'
Last week, intensified Islamist violence prompted Algerian president Abdelaziz Bouteflika to launch his military's largest counteroffensive against radical Islamic elements in five years. The target of this ongoing operation is the Salafist Group for Preaching and Combat (GSPC), a breakaway faction of the Armed Islamic Group (GIA). GSPC deserves special
Oct 2, 2002
◆
Jonathan Schanzer
Brief Analysis
Enhancing the Turkish-American Alliance:
The Campaign for Iraq and Other Possibilities
Assistant Secretary of State Elizabeth Jones was in Ankara Monday to discuss foreign policy issues including Iraq with her Turkish counterparts. Interestingly, Iraq's vice premier Tariq Aziz visited Ankara yesterday for the same purpose. These trips come at a crucial time as Washington prepares for a confrontation with Saddam Husayn
Oct 2, 2002
◆
Soner Cagaptay
In-Depth Reports
Targeting Terror:
U.S. Policy toward Middle Eastern State Sponsors and Terrorist Organizations, Post-September 11
INTRODUCTION In the first year of the U.S.-led war on terror, a proliferation of reports and studies have analyzed al-Qaeda and Osama bin Laden from every conceivable angle -- and with good reason. On September 11, 2001, nineteen al-Qaeda operatives stunned the world with four synchronized suicide hijackings, a terrorist
Oct 1, 2002
◆
Matthew Levitt
Brief Analysis
Shaping a New UN Draft Resolution on Iraq
The United States and Britain are consulting with the other three permanent members of the UN Security Council (Russia, France, and China) before introducing a new draft resolution on Iraq. Much attention has been given to whether the resolution will explicitly authorize the use of force. At least as important
Sep 27, 2002
◆
Patrick Clawson
Articles & Testimony
The Arab 'Street' Poses No Real Threat to U.S.
Congressional friends of Israel, from both parties, offered hard-to-swallow advice to Israel's leaders this week. If attacked by Iraq, they counseled, sit tight and let America fight your fight. Retaliation would inflame Arabs and other Muslims, they warned, and may even provoke menacing riots against U.S. embassies and interests. Pretty
Sep 27, 2002
◆
Robert Satloff
Brief Analysis
November Elections in Turkey:
Assessing the Ban on Justice and Development Party Leader Tayyip Erdogan
As the United States considers a possible military campaign in Iraq, Turkey is preoccupied with its upcoming elections. Although a party with roots in Islamism will be a major contender in the November 3 elections, it is unlikely that Turkey's approach to the Iraq issue will change much, regardless of
Sep 25, 2002
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Soner Cagaptay
Articles & Testimony
Tubes of Mass Destruction
As the advance towards war against Iraq continues, the Bush administration has started lobbing missiles at hardline liberals ever unconvinced about the threat Saddam Hussein poses to his region and the world. The administration's game presumably is to make these diehards change their minds and to win over skeptical members
Sep 23, 2002
◆
Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
Battling for the 'Hearts and Minds' of Middle Easterners, Post–September 11:
A Year-End Assessment
On September 9, 2002, Martin Kramer and Mouafac Harb addressed The Washington Institute's Special Policy Forum with Robert Satloff. Dr. Kramer is the Wexler-Fromer fellow at the Institute, editor of Middle East Quarterly, and author of the Institute's best-selling publication Ivory Towers on Sand: The Failure of Middle Eastern Studies
Sep 23, 2002
◆
Martin Kramer
Brief Analysis
The Wazzani Water Dispute:
More Tension along the Israel-Lebanon Border
According to the September 17, 2002, issue of Ha'aretz, a delegation of American water experts toured the Wazzani River in southern Lebanon on September 16 to review Lebanese government projects aimed at directing water to nearby villages. Ever since the Israel Defense Forces (IDF) unilaterally withdrew from southern Lebanon in
Sep 20, 2002
Brief Analysis
U.S.-Turkish Interests:
Convergence and Divergence
The U.S.-Turkish security relationship is becoming increasingly important to the stability of the Middle East. The two countries have long enjoyed a friendship based on mutual economic and military interests. Many perceive this to be an ideal relationship between the West and the Islamic world. Americans certainly have an interest
Sep 20, 2002
Articles & Testimony
We're Losing the Battle for Hearts and Minds
With high-profile arrests from upstate New York to faraway Karachi, recent days have been good for the good guys in the "war on terrorism." But in one critical arena -- the battle for hearts and minds in the Middle East, known in Beltway-speak as "public diplomacy" -- the United States
Sep 20, 2002
◆
Robert Satloff
Brief Analysis
Syrian Sponsorship of Global Terrorism:
The Need for Accountability
On September 18, 2002, Matthew Levitt, the Institute's senior fellow in terrorism studies, testified before the House Subcommittee on the Middle East and South Asia, Committee on International Relations. The following is a summary of his remarks. Read the full testimony. With its longstanding support for terrorism, Syria poses an
Sep 19, 2002
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Matthew Levitt
Brief Analysis
How to Build a New Iraq after Saddam
On September 3, 2002, Ellen Laipson and Rend Rahim Francke, contributors to The Washington Institute monograph How to Build a New Iraq after Saddam, addressed the Institute's Special Policy Forum. Ms. Laipson is president and CEO of the Henry L. Stimson Center in Washington. She also served as vice-chairman of
Sep 19, 2002
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Ellen Laipson
Articles & Testimony
Syrian Sponsorship of Global Terrorism:
The Need for Accountability
Testimony before the House Committee on International Relations, Subcommittee on the Middle East and South Asia. The following statement borrows heavily from the author's monograph Targeting Terror: U.S. Policy toward Middle Eastern State Sponsors and Terrorist Organizations, Post–September 11 (The Washington Institute, 2002). As the Bush administration surveys it options
Sep 18, 2002
◆
Matthew Levitt
Brief Analysis
Turkish Election Preview:
Fragmentation of the Center
The people of Turkey go to the polls on November 3, 2002, amid a great deal of political and economic uncertainty. Possible outcomes range from a coherent pro-European Union (EU) coalition to a dramatic change following an outright electoral victory by a party attractive to Islamist voters. In Turkey, the
Sep 18, 2002
◆
Patrick Clawson
Brief Analysis
Battling for Hearts and Minds in the Middle East:
A Critique of U.S. Public Diplomacy, Post–September 11
On September 9, 2002, Robert Satloff, The Washington Institute's director of policy and strategic planning, addressed the Institute's Special Policy Forum with Martin Kramer and Mouafac Harb. The following is an edited and expanded version of Dr. Satloff's remarks. Read a summary of Dr. Kramer and Mr. Harb's remarks. In
Sep 17, 2002
◆
Robert Satloff
Brief Analysis
Iraqi Regime Change and the Kurdistan Regional Government
Since it became an autonomous region in 1991, Kurdistan has taken advantage of its relative freedom from the tyranny of Baghdad. As a result, Kurdish culture has blossomed, media outlets have boomed, and the number of schools, physicians, and universities in the region has increased dramatically. In comparison to its
Sep 17, 2002
Brief Analysis
The Middle East:
A Turkish Perspective
The November 3, 2002, Turkish parliamentary elections are unlikely to produce any significant change in Turkish foreign policy, upon which there is a national consensus. The statements of all the political parties support Turkey's European orientation, and they also share a similar stance on Iraq. The new government may bring
Sep 11, 2002
Brief Analysis
WMD Inspections in Iraq:
A Trap or an Opportunity?
President George W. Bush's speech to the UN General Assembly on September 12 is expected to lay out U.S. policy on Iraq. There are strong arguments against raising the issue of arms inspections at all during this speech, and even stronger arguments for proposing a specific deadline for resuming inspections
Sep 9, 2002
◆
Patrick Clawson
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