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A Year of Terror
Feb 1, 2002
Brief Analysis
The <em>Karine-A</em> Affair:
A Strategic Watershed in the Middle East?
The Palestinian defense budget spending—relative to national income—is higher than that of any Arab country or Iran. This calculation is based on official data that exclude an important part of a state's defense budget—namely, procurement of weapons. The Oslo agreements prohibit the Palestinian Authority (PA) from procuring arms, yet they
Jan 30, 2002
Articles & Testimony
U.S. Should Get Ready to Break Ties with Arafat
Yasser Arafat sits in Ramallah a virtual prisoner. The master of the half measure is now paying the price for failing to make a strategic choice for peace. A year ago he could not say yes to the Clinton ideas -- ideas that would have given the Palestinians an independent
Jan 30, 2002
◆
Dennis Ross
Brief Analysis
The Future of the Multinational Force and Observers in Sinai
Growing U.S. military involvement in new locations such as Afghanistan, Uzbekistan, and the Philippines has raised concerns in the Pentagon about overstretching the military and has prompted a call to reassess the future of America's long-standing contribution to peacekeeping missions worldwide. One of the missions at risk of being curtailed
Jan 25, 2002
Brief Analysis
After the Ecevit Visit:
Can Turks Pull Together to Complete the Necessary Reforms?
The visit of Prime Minister Bulent Ecevit to the United States last week was a political and public relations success for his administration, but a few questions remain: Can the Turks continue to implement the economic reforms required by the International Monetary Fund, or will there be slippage when the
Jan 24, 2002
Brief Analysis
Syria and the War on Terrorism (Part II):
Challenges for U.S. Policy
With its longstanding support for terrorism, both pre- and post-September 11, Syria poses a unique challenge to U.S. antiterror strategy. Unlike Iran -- whose leaders orchestrate public chants of "Death to America, death to Israel" and thereby provide rhetorical context to their sponsorship of terrorism -- Damascus proclaims its desire
Jan 24, 2002
◆
Matthew Levitt
Brief Analysis
Syria and the War on Terrorism (Part I):
A Post–September 11 Assessment
As the Bush administration surveys options for the next phases in the war on terrorism, scant attention has been focused on Syria -- despite the fact that Dr. Bashar al-Asad's regime has been among the world's most active supporters of terrorism, even after September 11. Background Syria is a charter
Jan 23, 2002
◆
Matthew Levitt
Brief Analysis
Nuclear Arms Inspections in Iraq
Since September 11, there has been increased concern about terrorists using weapons of mass destruction (WMD). It is thus natural to return to the issue of Iraq, a country that has used chemical agents against Iran and its own citizens. Indeed, Iraq violated the Non-Proliferation Treaty before 1990 and, prior
Jan 17, 2002
Brief Analysis
<em>Karine-A:</em>
The Strategic Implications of Iranian-Palestinian Collusion
Revelations of Iranian-Palestinian collusion to smuggle fifty tons of weapons into the hands of Yasir Arafat's Palestinian Authority (PA) through the offices of Hizballah have profound strategic implications for the Middle East. For the Bush administration, responding appropriately to the Karine-A episode may have unpleasant repercussions for relations with key
Jan 15, 2002
◆
Robert Satloff
Brief Analysis
Ecevit to Washington:
Opportunities for U.S.-Turkish Relations
Visits by Turkish prime ministers to Washington have tended in years past to be low-profile events. With imagination and boldness on the American side, the January 16 meeting between President George W. Bush and Turkish prime minister Bulent Ecevit has the potential to be a watershed in a relationship that
Jan 10, 2002
◆
Mark Parris
Brief Analysis
The Seizure of Gaza-Bound Arms (Part II):
Military Implications
Alongside the diplomatic efforts to reach a ceasefire with Israel, the Palestinian Authority (PA) has been involved—since the beginning of the second intifada—in the indigenous production of weapons and ammunition and in repeated attempts to smuggle arms on a massive scale into the territories under its control. To thwart these
Jan 8, 2002
Brief Analysis
The Seizure of Gaza-Bound Arms (Part I):
Political Implications
Israeli naval commandos seized the Gaza-bound freighter Karine-A in the Red Sea last Thursday, exposing a cargo hold containing fifty tons of munitions. The seizure took place in international waters some 300 miles off of Israel's southern coast, between Sudan and Saudi Arabia. The ship's captain, Omar Akkawi, later participated
Jan 8, 2002
◆
David Makovsky
Brief Analysis
Assessing the $959 Million in Accelerated Economic Aid to Egypt
In a brief January 3 statement, the White House announced that Egypt is receiving $959 million in accelerated economic aid, the bulk of which was evidently disbursed in the closing days of 2001. While an important sign of continued U.S. support for the Hosni Mubarak government, this sudden and massive
Jan 7, 2002
◆
Patrick Clawson
Brief Analysis
The Hamas Ceasefire:
Historical Background, Future Foretold?
The arrival of U.S. envoy General Anthony Zinni in Jerusalem today comes during a relative lull in the terrorism and violence that has characterized the Israeli-Palestinian scene since the eruption of the al-Aqsa intifada in September 2000. This lull is at least partly due to the December 21 decision of
Jan 3, 2002
◆
Seth Wikas
In-Depth Reports
Iran's Nuclear Policy and the IAEA:
An Evaluation of Program 93+2
Thwarting Iran's ambitions to acquire nuclear weapons has been a key focus of nuclear nonproliferation efforts since the early 1990s. These efforts were given new urgency by President George W. Bush's January 29, 2002, State of the Union address, which identified Iranian nuclear weapons development as a threat that the
Jan 1, 2002
Articles & Testimony
The Tehran Temptation
Should the United States seek a rapprochement with Iran? After more than two decades of enmity, this question is now very much before us. Speaking at the United Nations in early November, the Iranian president, Mohammed Khatami, announced that the "nation of Iran has no problem with the people and
Jan 1, 2002
Articles & Testimony
The Other Iraq
In the safe haven of Iraqi Kurdistan, the Jews and Israel are remembered fondly, if increasingly vaguely. "They call that lack of restraint?" the former Iraqi army officer exclaimed, while watching the BBC's coverage of the Al-Aqsa Intifada on satellite TV last winter. "If this demonstration were held in Baghdad
Dec 31, 2001
Brief Analysis
Assessing Arafat's Performance in the Fight against Terror
On December 16, Palestinian television broadcast a pre-recorded speech in Arabic by Palestinian Authority (PA) Chairman Yasir Arafat calling for "a complete cessation of any operation or actions, especially suicide attacks." Since he said many of the right words, it is important to clarify what would constitute a "100 percent
Dec 21, 2001
◆
Matthew Levitt
Brief Analysis
Inspections in Iraq:
A Test for Saddam, Not a Good Solution for WMD
Like that of its predecessor, the Bush administration's policy toward Iraq appears to focus on the threat posed by weapons of mass destruction (WMD) in the hands of Saddam Husayn's regime. Some suggest that U.S. policy should emphasize the resumption of inspections, suspended since 1998. However, there are strong reasons
Dec 20, 2001
◆
Patrick Clawson
Brief Analysis
How to Unseat Saddam (Part II)
This two-part essay, prepared for the Foreign Policy Research Institute ( www.fpri.org), is a condensed version of an article that appears in the Winter 2001–2002 issue of the National Interest. Read Part I. II. Psyops and Propaganda Activities Psyops and propaganda activities that aim to diminish Saddam in the eyes
Dec 19, 2001
◆
Michael Eisenstadt
Pagination
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