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Brief Analysis
Russia Returns to the Middle East Scene?
A good indicator of Russia's role in the Middle East is that Israeli prime minister Ehud Barak had no plans to return to Israel to be present for Boris Yeltsin's visit there even before Yeltsin stepped down as Russian president. The Israeli leader preferred to remain in the United States
Jan 11, 2000
Brief Analysis
Europe's Critical Dialogue with Iran:
An Assessment
Iranian foreign minister Kamal Kharrazi arrived in London on Sunday to start a new initiative to break Iran further out of isolation. Europe has sought to engage Iran as the best way to promote Iranian moderation and reform. With Iran's parliamentary elections approaching next month, there will almost certainly be
Jan 10, 2000
Brief Analysis
A Syria-Israel Summit:
Prospects for Peace
RAGHIDA DERGHAM Peace for Syria is not a tactical move. Pursuing a breakthrough is now declared Syrian policy, and Damascus does not back down from its declared policy. Today, Syria is giving the logic of negotiation precedence over the logic of resistance in its quest to liberate the Golan Heights
Jan 7, 2000
Brief Analysis
The South Lebanon Army and Syria-Israel Talks
While Israeli Prime Minister Ehud Barak and Syrian Foreign Minister Faruq al-Shara are talking peace at Shepherdstown, the fighting in south Lebanon still goes on. Last time the two leaders met in Washington in December, the party was almost spoiled after a stray shell fired by South Lebanese Army (SLA)
Jan 6, 2000
Brief Analysis
Removing Syria from the List of State Sponsors of Terrorism:
Between Peace and Counterterrorism
With Syrian-Israeli peace talks underway in Shepherdstown, W.Va., media attention has focused on the shape of a possible peace agreement and the potential for U.S. financial assistance to the parties. Virtually no attention, however, has been paid to the principal legal obstacle in the way of U.S. aid to one
Jan 5, 2000
◆
David Schenker
Articles & Testimony
Make Syria Pay a Price for Peace
The millennial year opened on a high note for U.S. diplomacy, with Syria-Israel peace talks convening yesterday in Shepherdstown, W.Va. Unlike the other two participants, however, Washington has so far not indicated what it wants from these negotiations or what it is willing to pay to get it. Although Washington
Jan 4, 2000
◆
Robert Satloff
In-Depth Reports
Palestinian Democracy and Governance:
An Appraisal of the Legislative Council
Jan 1, 2000
◆
David Schenker
In-Depth Reports
Who Rules Iran:
The Structure of Power in the Islamic Republic
A landmark study that offers clear and understandable answers to fundamental questions about the most complex facets of the Iranian regime, probing the lines between hardliners and reformers, revolutionary and national interests, theocracy and electoral politics, and more.
Jan 1, 2000
◆
Wilfried Buchta
In-Depth Reports
Holier Than Thou:
Saudi Arabia's Islamic Opposition
Although Saudi Arabia is popularly perceived as the most religious of Arab countries, the question of who in the kingdom determines its dominant Islamic discourse has been the subject of controversy since the state's founding. The formation of Saudi Arabia in the early twentieth century involved the unique harnessing of
Jan 1, 2000
Articles & Testimony
The Next Turbulent Zone
After a half-decade in which the Balkans, Central Africa, and East Asia were the hottest spots on the globe, the Middle East--including North Africa--is likely to assert itself over the next five years as a zone of turbulence. Some of the turmoil will be fueled by the irredentism left over
Jan 1, 2000
◆
Robert Satloff
In-Depth Reports
The Oil Kingdom at 100:
Petroleum Policymaking in Saudi Arabia
Jan 1, 2000
Brief Analysis
Israeli-Lebanese Negotiations:
The Palestinian Refugee Issue
Syrian foreign minister Faruq al-Shara's recent announcement that Damascus and Beirut will sign peace treaties with Israel together is not surprising, considering Syria's hegemony in Lebanon. But while Israel, Syria, and the United States have expressed guarded optimism about the latest resumption of peace talks, Lebanon has been more reserved
Dec 28, 1999
Brief Analysis
The Struggle for Power within Sudan's Top Leadership
On December 22, Sudanese president Umar Hasan Ahmad al-Bashir met Egyptian president Hosni Mubarak in Cairo on Bashir's first visit there in six years. The day before, he met the leaders of four other Sudanese neighbors (Libya, Eritrea, Uganda, and the Democratic Republic of Congo) in Tripoli, Libya. These visits
Dec 23, 1999
Brief Analysis
Iran and the Prospects for Syria-Israel Peace
Iran--Syria's closest ally since the fall of the Soviet Union--has perhaps the most to fear from the prospect of Syria-Israel peace. Indeed, Tehran seems to have been caught off guard by Syrian president Hafiz al-Asad's decision to reenter negotiations, and Tehran is accordingly viewing with great concern Syria's apparent readiness
Dec 22, 1999
Brief Analysis
Is Qadhafi Changing His Spots?
In the past ten days, Libyan leader Mu‘ammar Qadhafi has made progress in his efforts to achieve international respectability. After fifteen years, a British ambassador, Richard Dalton, arrived in Tripoli pledging to help Libya return to the “mainstream of the international community.” And Colonel Qadhafi’s status as mediator of thorny
Dec 21, 1999
◆
Ray Takeyh
Brief Analysis
Syrian-Israeli Negotiations and Turkey
When Syrians, Americans, and Israelis sat down in Washington this week, they may as well have kept an empty chair for a fourth key player in this equation--Turkey. Turkish water, in particular, will likely be needed to facilitate a Syrian-Israeli deal, but history suggests that Ankara will not provide that
Dec 17, 1999
◆
Alan Makovsky
Brief Analysis
The Power Struggle in Iran:
Is Peaceful Reform Possible?
On December 8, 1999, Wilfried Buchta—author of the forthcoming book Who Rules Iran?, to be published by The Washington Institute in conjunction with the Konrad Adenauer Foundation—addressed the Institute’s Special Policy Forum. The following is a rapporteur’s summary of his remarks. The Iranian revolution has endured years of internal turmoil
Dec 16, 1999
Brief Analysis
Turkey:
Europe-Bound?
The European Unions (EU) naming of Turkey as a full-fledged candidate for membership is of historic significance. The first-ever Muslim-majority candidate, Turkey differs significantly from current EU member-states not only in religion, but also in culture, history, and the wide range of regional security threats it faces. U.S. diplomacy was
Dec 15, 1999
◆
Alan Makovsky
Brief Analysis
Hizballah's 'Destructive Ambiguity':
A Violent Context for Syria-Israel Negotiations
As Syria and Israel begin negotiations in Washington today, conflict and violence again flared in southern Lebanon, where large-scale raids by Hizballah against twenty Israeli and South Lebanon Army (SLA) posts prompted Israeli retaliatory air strikes. Given that one of Israel’s chief goals in the peace talks is the pacification
Dec 15, 1999
Brief Analysis
Where Is Asad?
The Renewed Struggle for Succession in Syria
U.S. president Bill Clinton and Israeli prime minister Ehud Barak will lead their respective national delegations at this week’s historic set of Syria-Israel peace talks, but Syrian president Hafiz al-Asad is sending his foreign minister in his stead. By keeping himself at one remove from the talks, Asad retains certain
Dec 14, 1999
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