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Brief Analysis
Economics and the Renewal of Jordan-Israel Ties
When King Hussein meets with President Clinton this week, most media speculation will surround provocative comments he has made reportedly urging direct dialogue between the United States and Iraq. In the tradition of "good news is no news," little attention will be focused on one of the more upbeat developments
Mar 16, 1998
Articles & Testimony
Developments in the Middle East
Testimony before the Senate Committee on Foreign Relations, Subcommittee on Near East and South Asian Affairs Mr. Chairman, It is an honor to participate in this timely and important hearing on a subject of vital national interest. I thank you for the opportunity to present my views to this Committee
Mar 11, 1998
◆
Robert Satloff
Brief Analysis
Assessing the Oslo Stalemate:
Problems and Solutions
Two Problems: "There are two main reasons why the peace process has stalemated. The first is obvious - Oslo has yet to produce very much peace. Here, one needs to go to basics. In absolute terms, more Israelis have died in the four years since Oslo than did during the
Mar 11, 1998
◆
Robert Satloff
Brief Analysis
Israel:
Between the Gulf Crisis and the Peace Process
The assassination of Yitzhak Rabin was a watershed event for Israel, and the country has not settled down since. This event had implications for the political system, the role of the ultra orthodox, and the public mood as well as the peace process. Israel at fifty is a country coming
Mar 11, 1998
Brief Analysis
The United Nations and the Middle East
Establishing the Guidelines for Settlement. The United Nations has been dealing with various aspects of the Arab-Israeli conflict since its inception. There are two basic UN resolutions that have had a direct bearing on shaping the future of the Middle East. First is General Assembly Resolution 181 (1947), the partition
Mar 9, 1998
◆
Dore Gold
Brief Analysis
U.S. Objectives in Iraq:
Rollback vs. Containment
The terms rollback and containment surfaced during the Cold War. Rollback was always preferred to containment, but until Ronald Reagan's success in the 1980's, the Soviets were too strong. For this reason, the United States essentially settled for containment during the Cold War. By contrast, Iraq has a regime that
Mar 6, 1998
Brief Analysis
Iran and Weapons of Mass Destruction
Despite the recent focus on Iraqi weapons of mass destruction (WMD), Iran poses a greater long-term threat to U.S. interests in the Persian Gulf. Iran possesses a large chemical weapons (CW) arsenal consisting primarily of first generation (World War I era) agents, and it is believed to have a nerve
Mar 4, 1998
◆
Michael Eisenstadt
Brief Analysis
Iraq's Weapons of Mass Destruction (WMD):
Unresolved Issues
The agreement hammered out by UN Secretary General Kofi Annan and Iraqi President Saddam Hussein resolving (at least temporarily) the most recent crisis over access to suspected WMD-related sites in Iraq fails to address the fundamental problem the international community faces in Iraq: Baghdad's continued refusal to comply with UN
Feb 27, 1998
◆
Michael Eisenstadt
Brief Analysis
'Oil for Food' or the End of Sanctions?
While Kofi Annan's diplomacy has received headlines, another Security Council action last week-approval of United Nations Security Council Resolution (UNSCR) 1153 on February 20-was subject to remarkably little scrutiny. This resolution, designed to expand the existing oil-for-food program with Iraq, was intended to blunt criticism from Arab and others as
Feb 26, 1998
◆
Patrick Clawson
Brief Analysis
Assessing the UN-Iraq Accord:
Impact on Iraq, UNSCOM, and U.S. Policy
The Memorandum of Understanding (MOU) signed by United Nations (UN) Secretary General Kofi Annan and Iraqi Deputy Prime Minister Tariq Aziz marks a turning point in the approach of the international community toward the regime of Saddam Hussein, and the activities of the UN Special Commission (UNSCOM) and International Atomic
Feb 24, 1998
◆
Michael Eisenstadt
Brief Analysis
The Second Les Aspin Memorial Lecture:
Israeli-Palestinian Negotiations—Peace, But Not Now
Les Aspin was an extraordinary man. His life was consumed with ideas, and he spent much of his time trying to come up with ways to improve policy. He was always interested in the Middle East, and because of his interest, this memorial lecture will discuss how to improve the
Feb 18, 1998
Brief Analysis
Iraq's Nuclear Weapons Program:
Past, Present, and Future Challenges
Iraq's nuclear program consisted of two elements: a long-range program dating back to the early 1980's and a crash program initiated after the 1990 invasion of Kuwait. Has Iraq not invaded Kuwait, its long-range nuclear program, involving the enrichment of uranium by various means, probably would have yielded a small
Feb 18, 1998
Brief Analysis
The U.S. Role in the Peace Process:
A Perspective
Amid continuing difficulties in the Palestinian-Israeli peace process, focus has shifted to the role of the United States. There is a good deal of confusion concerning what the United States can and cannot do. The evolving role of the United States can be examined through a number of specific and
Feb 17, 1998
Articles & Testimony
The Case for Hitting Hard at Saddam
Now that a broad consensus has emerged in government circles on the need to use force against Saddam Hussein, Washington should stay the course. It should not be deterred by last-minute Russian or French diplomacy, by inconclusive United Nations debates or-perhaps the biggest obstacle of all-by its own self-doubts. Iraq
Feb 8, 1998
◆
Alan Makovsky
Brief Analysis
Iraq's Biological Warfare Program:
Past, Present, and Future Challenges
1974: Iraqi BW program begun at Salman Pak as the al-Hazan Ibn al-Hathem Institute under the Ministry of Higher Education and Scientific Research. Funded by Iraqi Intelligence Ministry, first employees are Ministry of Defense personnel (subsequent employees recruited from universities). Initially a joint effort to produce weapons for both clandestine
Feb 6, 1998
Brief Analysis
Algeria:
Between Democracy and Terrorism
Contrary to most media reportage, the constitutional crisis in Algeria in 1991-1992 was not the engine that ignited terrorism. Acts of terrorism by groups and individuals claiming to speak in the name of Islam began in the mid-1980s, when the Algerian government began exploring ways to implement economic reforms and
Feb 5, 1998
In-Depth Reports
Decision Making in Asad's Syria
Pages: 45
Feb 1, 1998
PeaceWatch/PolicyWatch Anthology 1997
Feb 1, 1998
Brief Analysis
Current Iraqi Military Capabilities:
An Assessment
With the Clinton administration warning that its patience with Iraq is wearing thin and that military strikes could be just around the corner, it is useful to revisit the question of Iraq's current ability to respond militarily to a new round of conflict. Barely a Paper Tiger. The Iraqi armed
Jan 29, 1998
◆
Kenneth Pollack
Brief Analysis
Iranian Links to International Terrorism:
The Khatemi Era
On January 7, 1998, Iran's President Khatemi told America-via CNN-that terrorism "should be condemned . . . and we condemn every form of it in the world." Khatemi also "denied categorically" reports that Iranian officials abroad regularly engage in acts of surveillance against Americans. These are encouraging words. However, a
Jan 28, 1998
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