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Articles & Testimony
Countering Terrorism in a Period of Great Power Competition
To rebalance limited resources, meet great power challenges, and continue forecasting diverse terrorist threats, the U.S. government will need to invest more in capabilities such as machine learning and AI.
September 2024
◆
Matthew Levitt
Brief Analysis
Boosting Military Support to Ukraine Can Help Deter Iran
From facilitating a no-fly zone over Ukraine to interdicting Iranian missile transfers, Washington and its allies have various means of answering the latest strategic shift in the war.
Sep 25, 2024
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Anna Borshchevskaya
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
New Exposé on Sudani PMO Eavesdropping Is Suppressed, But Archived Online
A second major report on the political surveillance scandal was quickly muted, in part because it was highly critical of Iranian Qods Force commander Esmail Qaani.
Sep 25, 2024
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Michael Knights
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Militia Spotlight
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Kataib Hezbollah in the Caucasus: One to Watch
Unconfirmed but detailed reporting on potential Iraqi terrorist cells in Uzbekistan and Kazakhstan should be a wake-up call to monitor Kataib Hezbollah's external operations more closely.
Sep 24, 2024
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Hamdi Malik
Michael Knights
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Militia Spotlight
Articles & Testimony
Reminder: The Hostages (or: Why an ‘All for All’ Deal Doesn’t Help Them)
The impasse in negotiations boils down to a choice between getting the hostages out or staying in Gaza—and Netanyahu has seemingly picked the latter.
Sep 24, 2024
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David Makovsky
Brief Analysis
Improving Egypt-Israel Relations in the Shadow of Gaza
In addition to addressing each country’s concerns about border sovereignty, smuggling, and other irritants, Washington should emphasize the longer-term need to return to the peace treaty’s military limitations after the Gaza war.
Sep 24, 2024
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David Schenker
Assaf Orion
Articles & Testimony
Russia’s Middle East Space Offensive
Moscow’s space cooperation with Tunisia could complicate U.S. attempts to develop norms for space travel, communication, and exploration.
Sep 24, 2024
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Anna Borshchevskaya
Sabina Henneberg
Brief Analysis
A New Religious Strategy for Effective Peacebuilding in the Middle East
A leading Muslim thinker explains how religious figures can play a truly effective role in regional peacebuilding by questioning the embedded norms that fuel intercommunal violence, including in the Israeli-Palestinian conflict.
Sep 23, 2024
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Yahya Cholil Staquf
Brief Analysis
The Death of (Another) Hezbollah Lifer
Like his recently killed predecessor, Ibrahim Aqil had a long history of murdering Americans, Europeans, Israelis, Lebanese, and others perceived as obstacles to Hezbollah’s ambitions, and his experience as a military and terrorist commander will be difficult to replace.
Sep 23, 2024
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Matthew Levitt
Articles & Testimony
Will Hezbollah Choose to Keep Its Word—or Its Arsenal?
The group must decide between walking back its threat to northern Israel or risking the loss of its advanced missile capabilities, which Iran regards as a crucial insurance policy.
Sep 23, 2024
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Hanin Ghaddar
Articles & Testimony
Israel and Hezbollah Are Escalating Toward Catastrophe
Both sides have major incentives to avoid a wider conflict, but they’ll need help escaping the traps they laid for themselves.
Sep 23, 2024
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Dana Stroul
Articles & Testimony
How Exploding Pagers Can Lead to Calm Along Israel-Lebanon Border
Washington should push to negotiate limited border understandings now—it makes little sense to open a larger, more catastrophically destructive conflict if the outcome is likely to end up at the same place.
Sep 22, 2024
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Robert Satloff
Articles & Testimony
UAE President’s White House Visit Is About Much More Than Mere Formalities
Besides strengthening both countries’ economies, the visit represents a new model of international partnership where traditional alliances intersect with cutting-edge innovation.
Sep 21, 2024
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Nickolay Mladenov
Articles & Testimony
The Houthi Takeover of Yemen Is 10 Years Old. It Must Not Reach 20
The Gulf states were right about the Houthi threat and the West was wrong, so another large-scale confrontation is inevitable.
Sep 21, 2024
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Michael Knights
Articles & Testimony
Israel Sends Hezbollah Twin Messages
Israel’s cloak-and-dagger pager ploy was extraordinary, but will it change the group’s calculus?
Sep 21, 2024
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Matthew Levitt
Brief Analysis
MbZ Visits Washington: Meeting Agendas and Regional Implications
The Emirati leader will likely focus on the future of bilateral economic and technological integration, but discussions will also cover sensitive matters such as great-power concerns over China and Russia, regional nuclear proliferation, and a potential role for his country in postwar Gaza.
Sep 20, 2024
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Simon Henderson
Elizabeth Dent
Video
Brief Analysis
Understanding Jihadist Governance: Contending with a Diverse Problem Set
Three experts discuss the findings of a new Washington Institute compilation on jihadist governance, highlighting several of the case studies and data points explored in the book.
Sep 19, 2024
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Devorah Margolin
Matthew Bamber-Zryd
Aaron Y. Zelin
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Free and Fair? Setting Expectations for the KRI’s October Elections
Elections in which Kurdish voters can authentically choose their leaders are not only what Kurdish citizens deserve; they increase the likelihood that the KRG will address the myriad concerns about its governance.
Sep 18, 2024
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Winthrop Rodgers
Maps & Graphics
Articles & Testimony
Profile: Saraya al-Jihad
A low-profile Iraqi militia that is deeply linked with Iran's Qods Force and plays important roles in storing advanced conventional weapons provided by Tehran and suppressing Iraqi moderates.
Sep 18, 2024
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Sary Mumayiz
Abdullah Hayek
Ameer al-Kaabi
Michael Knights
Hamdi Malik
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Militia Spotlight: Profiles
Brief Analysis
Middle East Developments Overshadow the IAEA Conference
Iranian missiles for Russia, Houthi attacks on Israel, and North Korea’s surprise display of centrifuges have quickly changed the atmosphere of the nuclear agency’s annual meeting.
Sep 17, 2024
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Simon Henderson
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