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Brief Analysis
Continued Houthi Strikes Threaten Saudi Oil and the Global Economic Recovery
Saudi Arabia used what Congress might consider “offensive weapons” to successfully defend major oil terminals, but a much more devastating attack is inevitable if Houthi missile and drone attacks persist.
Mar 12, 2021
◆
Michael Knights
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Sustained Counterterrorism Efforts Remain Key to Preventing Attacks in Jordan
The pandemic has not ended terrorism in Jordan, and ISIS is still a significant threat.
Mar 11, 2021
◆
Saud Al-Sharafat
Articles & Testimony
Our Presence in Iraq Remains a Vital US National Security Interest
American withdrawal would doom efforts against the Islamic State, undermine confidence in Baghdad, exacerbate Iraq's economic crisis, and deliver the country completely to Tehran.
Mar 11, 2021
◆
David Schenker
Video
Brief Analysis
The Struggle for Peace in Syria: A Decade of Decisionmaking
Two former U.S. ambassadors and a Syrian opposition official examine the many diplomatic, geopolitical, and humanitarian lessons the conflict holds for the Biden administration.
Mar 11, 2021
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Bassma Kodmani
Robert Ford
James Jeffrey
Brief Analysis
Reshaping U.S. Force Posture in the Middle East
By adjusting carrier rotations, ISR capabilities, headquarters locations, and other key aspects of its posture, the Biden administration can contribute to regional security and self-sufficiency while still shifting toward great-power competition.
Mar 10, 2021
◆
Christine McVann
Articles & Testimony
Biden’s Iran Policy So Far: Beware the New, Non-Nuclear Options
Instead of giving Tehran free carrots, the administration should adopt a clear transactional stance, such as approving sanctions relief only if militias stop their missile and drone attacks against Saudi Arabia.
Mar 10, 2021
◆
David Pollock
Articles & Testimony
Addressing Iran’s Weaponization Work Will Fortify the Nuclear Deal
Allowing Tehran to whitewash its nuclear activities and sites would set a terrible precedent for other nations who might be tempted to pursue a covert weapons program.
Mar 9, 2021
◆
Jay Solomon
Articles & Testimony
Competitive, Competent, Conservative: Internationalism After Trump
It is unclear whether those who seek to carry on his foreign policy legacy will embrace wan realism, amoral nationalism, or a more successful conservative internationalism, but either way a clear-eyed evaluation of U.S. challenges and options is crucial.
Mar 8, 2021
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Michael Singh
Articles & Testimony
How Should Joe Biden Respond to Russia’s Middle East Strategy?
Washington has prioritized counterterrorism for years and is only now shifting to great-power competition, but Moscow has never lost sight of geopolitics, and its actions in the region should be seen through that lens.
Mar 8, 2021
◆
Anna Borshchevskaya
In-Depth Reports
Rethinking U.S. Efforts on Counterterrorism:
Toward a Sustainable Plan Two Decades After 9/11
The shift away from a U.S.-led military posture will require that Washington repair its damaged credibility with allies abroad. A major task at home will be disentangling counterterrorism budgets from the military budgets on which they have long been grafted.
Mar 8, 2021
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Matthew Levitt
◆
Transition 2021
Articles & Testimony
Attack on Saudi Oil Facility Means New Headache for Biden
One obvious remedy involves asking Riyadh to end its production cutback, but any such request could be complicated by the administration’s recent friction with the crown prince.
Mar 8, 2021
◆
Simon Henderson
Video
Brief Analysis
Middle East Policy from Trump to Biden: Views from Inside the State Department’s Near East Bureau
The former assistant secretary of state in charge of the Middle East portfolio from 2019-2021 discusses his time in office and how the region’s challenges and opportunities are evolving at the start of the Biden administration.
March 10, 2021
◆
David Schenker
Robert Satloff
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
The Erbil Rocket Cell: Insights from Haidar Hamza al-Bayati's Confession
The video offers potentially significant insights into the detainee and his description of being recruited by Kataib Sayyid al-Shuhada.
Mar 7, 2021
◆
Michael Knights
◆
Militia Spotlight
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
KH Publicly Leads Calls for Escalation Against U.S. Presence
After being struck by U.S. forces, Kataib Hezbollah dropped the pretense of the coordination committee and acted unilaterally.
Mar 7, 2021
◆
Hamdi Malik
◆
Militia Spotlight
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
A New “Working” Agenda to Solve the Syrian Puzzle
There are several steps the Biden administration can take to strengthen its allies in Syria and promote a peaceful solution.
Mar 5, 2021
◆
Ammar Musarea
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Palestinian Elections: How Real, and with What Results
Members of the political class and the general public are increasingly anticipating and expecting that Palestinian elections will take place due to an unusual convergence of interests between PA president Mahmoud Abbas (Abu Mazen) and Hamas.
Mar 5, 2021
◆
Michael Milshtein
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
The Pope’s Visit to Najaf: Reflecting on Iraq’s Legacy of Religious Divisions
Given our perpetual crises, we Iraqis rarely look back. But unless Iraqis collectively understand the past and decide how to avoid repeating its mistakes, we are bound to pay these crimes forward as we have in the past.
Mar 5, 2021
◆
Bilal Wahab
Brief Analysis
NATO in Iraq: Not a Surge
NATO stands ready to increase its commitment in a slow and steady manner consistent with Baghdad’s needs, but careful communication will be crucial, as will a more strategic discussion on how to combine different assistance efforts.
Mar 5, 2021
◆
Michael Knights
Pierre Morcos
Brief Analysis
Lebanon's Predicament: Political Stagnation and Economic Collapse in a Hezbollah-Dominated State
Three Lebanese experts explore Beirut’s precarious politics, Hezbollah’s continued ability to evade accountability, and the Biden administration’s options.
Mar 5, 2021
◆
Makram Rabah
Ali al-Amin
Alia Mansour
Brief Analysis
Assad Is Giving Biden Every Reason to Prioritize Syria
Even if the growing regional and geopolitical stakes were not sufficient on their own, the regime’s domestic negligence, illegitimacy, and criminality provide ample reason to shake up Washington’s approach.
Mar 3, 2021
◆
Aaron Y. Zelin
Oula A. Alrifai
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