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Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Russia’s Syrian Refugee Conference Highlights Just How Far Away a Solution Is
After years of military cooperation in a conflict that has displaced millions of Syrians, the Assad regime and Russia arranged for a two-day conference that began on November 11 in Damascus, which they presented as a means to move forward on the issue of Syrian refugees and displaced persons. In
Dec 7, 2020
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Omar Abu Layla
Articles & Testimony
Is OPEC Finally Beginning to Unravel?
Drastically lowered revenues, changing energy markets, political squabbling, and a new U.S. administration may eventually break the cartel’s cyclical status quo.
Dec 4, 2020
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Simon Henderson
Articles & Testimony
Russia’s Soft Power Projection in the Middle East
Moscow conducts far more soft-power activity in the region than one might suspect, using subversive and opaque versions of the same tools employed by the West.
Dec 4, 2020
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Anna Borshchevskaya
Maps & Graphics
In-Depth Reports
Turkey's Opposition vs. the AKP: Measuring Messaging
Challengers to Turkey’s President Recep Tayyip Erdogan are proliferating, with two breakaway parties drawing particular notice. In December 2019, Ahmet Davutoglu, who served under Erdogan as foreign minister and then prime minister, formed Gelecek (Future) in an attempt to resurrect a gentler version of the Justice and Development Party (AKP)
Dec 4, 2020
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Soner Cagaptay
Reilly Barry
Brief Analysis
Iran Vies for More Influence in Iraq at a Budget Price
Tehran aims to earn hard currency for its relatively cheap military hardware, ideally boosting its leverage in Baghdad at a fraction of the cost that the United States has been spending there.
Dec 3, 2020
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Farzin Nadimi
Brief Analysis
Iran’s New Nuclear Law: Negotiating Tactic, Domestic Political Tool, or Both?
The seemingly provocative legislation is as much theater as reality given the parliament’s relatively small role in foreign policy.
Dec 3, 2020
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Mehdi Khalaji
Video
Brief Analysis
The Counterterrorism Role of Homeland Security Investigations
A closer look at the inner workings of HSI, a little-known agency with unique authorities that are instrumental in solving numerous terrorism cases every year.
Dec 3, 2020
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Louis Rodi
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Counterterrorism Lecture Series
Fikra Forum
Maps & Graphics
Fikra Forum
Lebanon Poll Shows Drop in Hezbollah Support, Even Among Shia; Plurality Back Israel Boundary Talks
Lebanese support for Hezbollah continues to decline and protests remain popular, according to November 2020 polling in Lebanon.
Dec 1, 2020
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David Pollock
Brief Analysis
Washington Pushes to End the Qatar Rift
Successful diplomacy could enhance Arab normalization with Israel and boost U.S. efforts to counter Iran, but it is unclear if Riyadh wants to bargain now or wait for Joe Biden.
Dec 1, 2020
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Simon Henderson
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
The Rise of Kata’ib Hezbollah’s Hegemonic ‘Resistance’
The Iraq-based Kata’ib Hezbollah (KH) is diligently and meticulously working to achieve hegemony among Iran-backed 'resistance' militias in Iraq. The group is positioning itself as the 'true resistance' faction and obliging other Iran-backed groups to follow its lead. In order to achieve this goal, KH is operating on military and
Dec 1, 2020
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Hamdi Malik
Articles & Testimony
Forecasting U.S.-UAE Relations Under the New Biden Administration
From addressing Iranian threats to mending rifts with Qatar and Turkey, the sound bilateral partnership on regional issues will likely thrive in the Biden era, albeit with some marginal adjustments by both governments.
Dec 1, 2020
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David Pollock
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
With the Assad Regime Undaunted by Sanctions, Biden Should Consider Broader Regional Pressure
On July 29, Wassim al-Qattan—a Syrian businessman who owns several Damascus-based companies and who received construction contracts to develop Syrian regime-owned malls and hotels around the city celebrated on Facebook what he called his latest “National Medal.” “How profound we feel today as we receive the third package of medals
Nov 30, 2020
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Kenneth R. Rosen
Brief Analysis
The Counterterrorism Role of Homeland Security Investigations
Join a live webcast with a senior HSI official, a little-known agency with many unique authorities that is instrumental in solving numerous terrorism cases every year.
Nov 30, 2020
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Louis Rodi
Brief Analysis
Khamenei Speech Sets the Boundaries of Engagement with the West
In his first major address since Joe Biden’s election, the Supreme Leader downplayed the prospect of negotiating an end to U.S. sanctions, instead urging Iranian officials to focus on increasing the country’s self-reliance and solving its deep economic problems.
Nov 30, 2020
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Omer Carmi
Articles & Testimony
Who Killed Mohsen Fakhrizadeh, Iran's Nuclear Chief? Israel Is the Likely Suspect
The operation’s professionalism and complexity suggest the involvement of Israeli personnel; either way, an Iranian security clampdown is inevitable.
Nov 27, 2020
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Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
Houthi Terrorism Designation More Likely to Deliver Famine and Entanglement Than Leverage
To stave off a potential humanitarian disaster in Yemen, keep communication lines open, and avoid getting drawn into the war, the Trump administration should not designate the Houthis.
Nov 25, 2020
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Elana DeLozier
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Israel at a Crossroad: What Is the Desired Policy Towards Renewed Negotiations with Iran?
A new Biden administration in the United States could mean a return to negotiations between Iran and the international community over its continued nuclear development. In the case of such negotiations, Israel will have to choose whether it wants to handle these negotiations like it handled negotiations for the JCPOA
Nov 24, 2020
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Danny Citrinowicz
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
How a Haditha-Haifa Pipeline Would Benefit Iraq
In the midst of ongoing conflict in the Middle East, which partially stems from competition for energy sources, the role of energy transportation lines like pipelines in regional geopolitics can be a double-edged sword. While often a source of conflict and disagreement, the role of pipelines in the region appears
Nov 24, 2020
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Mahdi Al-Bannai
Articles & Testimony
Saudi-Israeli Diplomacy Progresses Amid Looming Middle East Challenges
The reported meeting between the crown prince and Netanyahu will likely shift normalization into the fast lane, but much can happen to slow, stop, or even reverse it.
Nov 24, 2020
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Simon Henderson
Multimedia
Brief Analysis
Israeli President: Biden Should Help 'Build Confidence' Between Israelis, Palestinians
Watch video or read a transcript of President Rivlin's post-election interview with the executive director of The Washington Institute, along with remarks by King Abdullah II of Jordan.
Nov 23, 2020
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Reuven Rivlin
Robert Satloff
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