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Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Iran’s Evolving Strategy in Eastern Syria
The Iranian model of creating and supporting proxy groups is consistent across the “Shia Crescent,” but recently Tehran has begun employing new and troubling tactics that threaten to only expand their influence.
Jul 18, 2024
◆
Omar Abu Layla
Brief Analysis
Israel and the ICJ: Comparing International Court Cases During the Gaza War
The current cycle of legal actions involving Israel is unprecedented in scope and politicization, but governments are still better off engaging with the process and lodging their objections there than dismissing it outright.
Jul 18, 2024
◆
Alexander Loengarov
Video
Brief Analysis
Opportunities and Risks with Iran's New Government
Three experts discuss the domestic and foreign implications of Masoud Pezeshkian’s presidential election victory—including the need to temper any expectations that he is able or willing to pursue substantial change.
Jul 18, 2024
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Patrick Clawson
Holly Dagres
Saeid Golkar
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Akram Kaabi Shown Pretending to Assemble a Drone Fired at Israel
The Harakat Hezbollah al-Nujaba leader released a corny video for Ashura in which he pretended to help with a drone attack on Israel.
Jul 17, 2024
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Michael Knights
◆
Militia Spotlight
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Atabat Leader from al-Muthanna Takes on Iran-Backed Militia Interests
The commander of Iraq's influential "shrine militias" signaled that the religious establishment is still willing to push back against the Coordination Framework and Tehran's other "resistance" proxies.
Jul 16, 2024
◆
Ameer al-Kaabi
Michael Knights
◆
Militia Spotlight
Articles & Testimony
A Globally Integrated Islamic State
Tracking and accurately assessing the shifts in the group’s activities and command structure over the past five years is crucial to containing the evolved threat.
Jul 15, 2024
◆
Aaron Y. Zelin
Brief Analysis
Demise of Syria’s “Second Lady” Shakes Up the Assad Regime
Although separating fact from fiction inside the Assad regime is often difficult, Luna al-Shibl’s death is likely a harbinger of further internal changes at a sensitive international juncture.
Jul 15, 2024
◆
Erik Yavorsky
Andrew J. Tabler
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Injecting New Blood into Militias: The Gradual Takeover of Iraqi Higher Education by the Popular Mobilization Forces
By firmly resisting the takeover of higher education by pro-Iran faculty and students, the United States can prevent the militias from recruiting the next generation of fighters.
Jul 12, 2024
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Jawad Mahdi
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
How a Defunct U.S. Initiative from 2004 Continues to Fuel Anti-Americanism in Turkey
Regional backlash against Washington’s unilateral interventionist policies, viewing the region only through security lenses, lack of social, economic, and cultural policies, and U.S. support for authoritarian regimes has created the conditions for conspiracy theories such as BOP.
Jul 11, 2024
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Hasim Tekines
Maps & Graphics
In-Depth Reports
Jihadist Governance and Statecraft
In this anthology, contributors discuss the policy challenges associated with an emerging phenomenon, but disabuse readers of any notion that jihadist governance and statecraft should be equated with political moderation.
Jul 10, 2024
◆
Devorah Margolin
Aaron Y. Zelin
◆
Jihadist Governance and Statecraft
Video
Brief Analysis
Countering Chinese and Russian Influence in North Africa
The U.S. ambassador to Tunisia joins three Washington Institute experts to discuss the evolution of great power competition in North Africa.
Jul 10, 2024
◆
Joey Hood
Anna Borshchevskaya
Ben Fishman
Grant Rumley
Brief Analysis
Talking Nicely with Pezeshkian While Postponing Major Steps
Iran’s new reformist president will need time to generate consensus at home before making any significant foreign policy moves; Washington should do the same.
Jul 9, 2024
◆
Patrick Clawson
Articles & Testimony
How the EU’s Plan to Replace Russian Gas Exposes Challenges in Algeria’s Energy Sector
A promising cross-Mediterranean initiative has run into political challenges, burdensome investment laws, methane leaks, and other hurdles.
Jul 4, 2024
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Sabina Henneberg
Noam Raydan
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Are the Houthis Attacking Ships in the Mediterranean?
Direct strikes from the Yemeni group are unlikely at the moment, but a more aggressive Hezbollah could alter the threat picture.
Jul 3, 2024
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Noam Raydan
Farzin Nadimi
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Maritime Spotlight
Articles & Testimony
Europe Can Still Make a Difference in the Middle East
The challenge is to find a common line that accounts for different national positions on regional issues while still promoting a coherent foreign policy.
Jul 2, 2024
◆
Ehud Yaari
Video
Brief Analysis
Hezbollah-Israel Escalation: Prospects for War
A former Israeli military planner joins three experts to discuss each side’s current calculus and the U.S. policy implications if they opt for war or a truce.
Jul 2, 2024
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Matthew Levitt
Hanin Ghaddar
David Schenker
Assaf Orion
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Nujaba and AAH Argue Over Whether Asaib Is Still a Resistance Player
Asaib Ahl al-Haq cannot seem to decide whether it has detached from anti-U.S. militancy or not, causing other militias to tie themselves in rhetorical knots over the group's public credentials.
Jul 1, 2024
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Hamdi Malik
◆
Militia Spotlight
Brief Analysis
What If Gaza’s “Day After” Converges with the Day After Abbas?
If the PA leadership collapses under the weight of Israeli pressure and West Bank deterioration, the result could be a destabilizing reset in the Palestinian arena and a postwar void in Gaza.
Jul 1, 2024
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Neomi Neumann
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Four U.S.-Designated Terrorist Groups Rush to Support Judge Faeq Zaidan
Iran-backed militias were quick to defend the judge after he was accused of being a tool for Iranian influence.
Jul 1, 2024
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Amir al-Kaabi
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Militia Spotlight
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Addressing the Inequality and Despair Driving Kurdish Migration to Europe
Only by working to address internal issues can the KRI hope to stem the tide of both irregular migration and the loss of its most valuable human capital.
Jul 1, 2024
◆
Ruwayda Mustafah
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