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Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Low Oil Prices Mean Greater U.S. Involvement Is Needed in the Gulf
During the first half of 2020, global markets saw a significant decline in crude oil prices as a result of the coronavirus pandemic. Though the price of crude oil has since stabilized at a little less than $40 a barrel, crude oil remains at just 40 percent of what it
Nov 5, 2020
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Ahmed Mansouri
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
How Mangled Dam Diplomacy Is Shaping Iraq’s Water Crisis
Failed international cooperation and an increase in dam construction is threatening Iraq's security.
Nov 4, 2020
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Austin Corona
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Sudanese-Israeli Normalization with a Popular Flavor
Sudan’s inclusion on the terrorism list has ended after President Trump signed an order to remove Sudan from the State Department’s list of state sponsors of terrorism on October 23, 2020. That decision followed Sudan’s formal agreement to take steps towards normalization with Israel in the wake of four-way talks
Nov 4, 2020
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Areej Elhag
Articles & Testimony
Russia and Turkey in Nagorno-Karabakh: A Recipe for Long-Term Instability
Neither Moscow nor Ankara is interested in genuine peace; they are using the disputed region to their own ends, and Russia remains the only actor who can talk to all sides.
Oct 30, 2020
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Anna Borshchevskaya
Brief Analysis
Israel Expands West Bank Settler Units: Where Demography Meets Geography
Given how attuned Netanyahu’s government is to political vicissitudes in Washington, the U.S. election results will likely determine whether Israel continues its trend of approving more construction outside the security barrier.
Oct 30, 2020
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David Makovsky
Basia Rosenbaum
David Patkin
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Iran’s Domestic Woes in Light of U.S. Pressure
Though the recent normalization deal between Israel and several Arab states certainly poses a new challenge to Iran, it is the unique combination of the past year’s events that is pushing the Islamic Republic towards an existential crisis.
Oct 30, 2020
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Firas Elias
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
The White Paper: When Structural Adjustment Comes to Iraq
The Iraqi government has recently released a white paper detailing economic and financial reforms meant to lift the country out of its current economic straits. The White Paper for Economic Reforms—written by the Crisis Cell for Financial and Fiscal Reforms, established in May to manage the country’s fiscal reforms—largely proposes
Oct 30, 2020
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Sardar Aziz
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
In Search of a Semi-Autonomous Region in Northeastern Syria
Before the coronavirus pandemic, I had travelled to northeastern Syria twice in twelve months. On my most recent trip in Manbij, I found myself walking wide-eyed into a hardware store like any I would have frequented at home in the United States. Various electrical conduits and fittings for outlet boxes
Oct 29, 2020
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Kenneth R. Rosen
Brief Analysis
How Does Indonesia View the Prospect of Normalization with Israel?
Jakarta’s domestic politics make normalization unlikely despite years of positive signals, but the United States should nevertheless urge it to consider incremental, mutually beneficial steps toward rapprochement with Jerusalem.
Oct 28, 2020
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Michael Singh
Ehud Yaari
Articles & Testimony
How Europe Keeps Losing Turkey
The EU has repeatedly gotten its policy toward Ankara wrong, inadvertently helping Erdogan at key points during the rise of his illiberal movement while creating preventable tensions over various regional and domestic issues.
Oct 28, 2020
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Soner Cagaptay
Raffaella Del Sarto
Articles & Testimony
Yitzhak Rabin Was Always a Realist. How Would He Have Handled the 2020 Mideast?
For starters, he would have used the new ties with Gulf states as a bridge to the Palestinians, not a bypass road.
Oct 28, 2020
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Dennis Ross
David Makovsky
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Ten Years Since the “Arab Spring”: Despair Has Not Become More Comfortable
Recent polling of Arab youth demonstrates the frustration that young Arabs continue to feel with their governments and at the lack of opportunities available to them, a decade after the Arab spring.
Oct 27, 2020
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Michael Milshtein
Brief Analysis
The Sudan Agreement: Implications of Another Arab-Israel Milestone
The latest deal shows how firm U.S. pressure, quiet contacts with Israel, and domestic political breakthroughs can help Arab governments advance normalization even in the face of popular opposition and past military conflict.
Oct 26, 2020
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Ehud Yaari
Brief Analysis
What Does Iran’s Supreme Leader Expect from the Next U.S. President?
Ayatollah Khamenei is wholly focused on preserving the political system he has so painstakingly built, but trends suggest a shaky Iranian future regardless of who wins the U.S. election.
Oct 23, 2020
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Mehdi Khalaji
Articles & Testimony
Back into the Shadows? The Future of Kata'ib Hezbollah and Iran's Other Proxies in Iraq
History may be repeating itself as Tehran develops new, smaller, and more secure Iraqi cells reminiscent of the formation of KH itself.
Oct 23, 2020
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Michael Knights
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
To Realize its Interests, Lebanon Must Navigate Away from Confrontation with Israel
On announcing the recent framework for Lebanese negotiations with Israel, mediated by the United States under the auspices of the UN, the Lebanese Speaker of Parliament Nabih Berri used language that marked a sharp departure from decades of vitriolic discourse aimed at the “Zionist Entity.” Berri repeatedly spoke of the
Oct 23, 2020
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Hassan Mneimneh
Fikra Forum
Maps & Graphics
Fikra Forum
Iraqi Early Elections May Not Be a Game Changer
While Iraqi elites seem to see the announcement of early elections as a major development, polling reveals that Iraqi public opinion is less optimistic about the moves ability to promise major change.
Oct 22, 2020
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Munqith Dagher
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Egypt's Parliamentary Election at Stake
Egypt’s upcoming elections are shining the spotlight on the parliament’s deteriorating performance and credibility.
Oct 22, 2020
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Mohamed Abdelaziz
Articles & Testimony
Turkish Foreign Policy Trends: An In-Depth Conversation
The director of The Washington Institute's Turkish Research Program speaks with French students about what Erdogan's recent policy thrust means for Europe and the United States.
Oct 22, 2020
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Soner Cagaptay
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Iran’s Fear of the Popular Figure: The Execution of Navid Afkari
Navid Afkari, a 27 year-old Iranian wrestling champion who won numerous medals, had rarely lost a fight in his life. There was, however, one struggle he could not win. Following torture and a forced confession, Navid was executed earlier this month following a verdict by the Iranian Supreme Court. Navid
Oct 21, 2020
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Nir Boms
Shayan Arya
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