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Articles & Testimony
Living Long Enough to See Yourself Become the Villain: The Case of Abu Muhammad al-Maqdisi
Recent developments in Syria indicate that the jihadi movement is splitting once again, as a prominent ideologue begins to form a third pole at odds with both al-Qaeda and the Islamic State.
Sep 9, 2020
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Aaron Y. Zelin
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Independence in Southern Yemen: An STC Perspective
With the failure to implement the Riyadh Agreement, Yemen’s Southern Transitional Council calls for independence as the best means of ensuring south Yemen’s peace and stability.
Sep 8, 2020
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Abdulsalem Mused
Brief Analysis
Russian-Iranian Tensions in Deir al-Zour
To prevent the two rivals from expanding their influence in east Syria, the coalition needs to exploit their simmering disunity, empower its partners on the ground, and establish stronger ties with select tribal and community leaders.
Sep 4, 2020
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Oula A. Alrifai
Ali Alleile
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Egypt’s Nominee for WTO Director-General Is the Technocratic Candidate Needed for Reforms
An impactful global election is on its way amid mounting tensions between the United States and China, with the seat for Director-General of The World Trade Organization (WTO) up for reelection. The last day for its current head—Director-General Roberto Azevedo—was August 31, marking an early end to his term. Geopolitical
Sep 2, 2020
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Sarah Elzeini
Fadel Yacoub
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Israel and the UAE on Iran: Shared Foe, Different Perspectives
Given past developments, the UAE’s and Israel’s recent announcement of normalization in exchange for shelving annexation plans should come as no great surprise, even if the timing was unexpected. There remains, however, frequently understated differences between one aspect of this relationship often assumed to be a common denominator: Jerusalem’s and
Sep 1, 2020
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Danny Citrinowicz
Brief Analysis
Saudi Military Chief Accused of Corruption
The general’s firing will prompt speculation about changes in Yemen policy and royal family opposition to the crown prince.
Sep 1, 2020
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Simon Henderson
Video
Brief Analysis
European Counterterrorism in the COVID Era: Views from Europol
A senior Europol official discusses the increasingly complex radicalization and terrorism situation facing Europe, and how the pandemic is creating new risks on both fronts.
Sep 1, 2020
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Wil van Gemert
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Counterterrorism Lecture Series
Articles & Testimony
Why Russia’s Great Power Game in Iraq Matters
Moscow’s quietly growing influence will only prop up the country’s anti-American forces and worsen its struggles with corruption and ethnosectarian tension.
Aug 31, 2020
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Anna Borshchevskaya
Brief Analysis
Normalization Can Inject New Life into the Arab Peace Initiative
With careful diplomacy, blunt discussion of national interests, and reciprocal steps on the ground, a group of like-minded Arab states could advance Palestinian-Israeli peacemaking while still preserving the API’s core.
Aug 31, 2020
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Ghaith al-Omari
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
The UAE-Israel Peace Agreement: An Opportunity for Peace in the Region?
The announcement of a peace deal between the United Arab Emirates and Israel has earned praise from several governments as a step towards peace. Nonetheless, the "Arbaham Accords," as the deal is known, can only lead to greater reconciliation if the relevant actors take appropriate steps. So far, the reaction
Aug 31, 2020
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Mohammed Dajani
Articles & Testimony
Peace for Warplanes?
How domestic and foreign disputes over the potential sale of F-35 jets to the UAE could complicate the country's normalization deal with Israel.
Aug 31, 2020
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Neri Zilber
Articles & Testimony
Breaking Hezbollah’s ‘Golden Rule’
Many details regarding the modus operandi of the group's external terrorist operations wing are being made public here for the first time, including communications techniques, travel patterns, training programs, pay scale, and more.
Aug 31, 2020
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Matthew Levitt
Brief Analysis
Iran Flaunts New Missile and Jet Engine Technology
Although many of the recently unveiled systems are foreign copies or have unproven capabilities, they show a substantial indigenous development capacity that will only accelerate once the UN ban on weapons sales is lifted—even if past sanctions snap back into action.
Aug 28, 2020
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Farzin Nadimi
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Arab Anti-Normalization Laws: A Regional Sketch
On August 6, 2020, U.S. Democratic Senator Cory Booker and Republican Senator Rob Portman co-introduced the "Strengthening Reporting of Actions Taken Against the Normalization of Relations with Israel Act of 2020.” The bill calls on the U.S. Secretary of State to report annually on instances of Arab government retribution for
Aug 28, 2020
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Joseph Braude
Mostafa El-Dessouki
Articles & Testimony
Why Instability in Belarus, Khabarovsk, and Lebanon Creates Problems Putin Doesn’t Want
Current events in Lebanon may seem remote compared to protests closer to Russia, but the situation in Beirut directly affects Moscow’s policy in Syria and its evolving status as a regional player.
Aug 27, 2020
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Anna Borshchevskaya
Maps & Graphics
In-Depth Reports
The IRGC Lifts Off:
Implications of Iran's Satellite Launch
In April 2020, the IRGC launched its first domestically made satellite, the Nour-1, into orbit. The launch showed the risks of lifting arms restrictions on Iran, a move supported by potential weapons trade partners Russia and China but vehemently opposed by the United States. Ending the embargo could facilitate Tehran’s
Aug 27, 2020
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Farzin Nadimi
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Sudan-Israel Relations: Ensuring Civilian Buy-In During a Democratic Transition
In a recently announced move, Secretary of State Mike Pompeo visited Khartoum yesterday as part of his broader tour through the region, including visits to Israel, Bahrain, and the UAE. The Israel-UAE normalization deal sparked the series of diplomatic visits. In the wake of these developments, international observers wondered if
Aug 26, 2020
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Areej Elhag
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Inside the Kadhimi Visit to Washington D.C.
Last week, Iraqi Prime Minister Mustafa al-Kadhimi led a large cabinet delegation to Washington D.C. for new sessions of the U.S.-Iraq Strategic Dialogue, topped off by the first Iraqi prime ministerial visit to the White House in over three years. During the visit, I spoke to most of the Iraqi
Aug 26, 2020
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Michael Knights
Brief Analysis
Beyond the Ceasefire in Libya
Publicly committing to a ceasefire is a positive development, but many details still need to be resolved with active U.S. support, especially security arrangements in central Libya and the speedy resumption of oil exports.
Aug 25, 2020
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Anas El Gomati
Ben Fishman
Articles & Testimony
The Role of Russian Private Military Contractors in Africa
Moscow’s growing use of international legal loopholes in Libya, Sudan, and other countries gives it a worrisome template for chipping away at the global order without confronting the United States directly.
Aug 21, 2020
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Anna Borshchevskaya
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