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Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Pushing Lebanon to Despair: The Hariri Tribunal Verdict and Iran’s Stranglehold
The nuanced verdict of the Special Tribunal for Lebanon, announced Tuesday, August 18, 2020, provides a further opportunity for Iranian proxies to strengthen their stranglehold on Lebanon. As a state and society, Lebanon is already in the midst of a new phase of coerced transformation towards an abject dependence on
Aug 21, 2020
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Hassan Mneimneh
Brief Analysis
Iran’s Cautious Response to Washington’s Snapback Threat
Instead of playing hardball, the entire regime is seemingly embracing the more prudent approach of disregarding the U.S. threat and exploiting the resultant diplomatic clash for political gains.
Aug 21, 2020
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Omer Carmi
Articles & Testimony
The Role of Russian Private Military Contractors in Africa
Moscow’s growing use of international legal loopholes in Libya, Sudan, and other countries gives it a worrisome template for chipping away at the global order without confronting the United States directly.
Aug 21, 2020
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Anna Borshchevskaya
Articles & Testimony
The Israel-UAE Deal Proves the One-State Solution Is Delusion
Far from producing a melting pot of coexistence and equality, forcing Israelis and Palestinians into a single state would only inflame the conflict and trigger an endless struggle over dominance.
Aug 20, 2020
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Isaac Herzog
Michael Herzog
Brief Analysis
New Egyptian Legislation Aims to Reduce Al-Azhar’s Authority
The latest twist in the long battle for control over Egypt’s religious realm could have profound implications for the state’s ability to regulate—and thus reform—Islamic discourse.
Aug 20, 2020
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Sarah Feuer
Articles & Testimony
Training Better Arab Armies
American security force assistance missions to Arab states have had only limited success, in large part because they do not train local units to fight in a manner well-suited to their cultural preferences and operational requirements.
Aug 20, 2020
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Michael Eisenstadt
Kenneth Pollack
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
How Gulf Arab “Exasperation” with Endless Conflict Led to UAE-Israel Normalization
Individuals and groups in the Gulf Arab countries—especially Saudi Arabia, the UAE, and Bahrain—have repeatedly expressed interest in Israel and frustration with Palestinian leadership over the last few years. These statements reflect a growing loss of patience with the prolonged Palestinian-Israeli dispute, along with a new attribution of the conflict’s
Aug 20, 2020
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Yoel Guzansky
Yohanan Tzoreff
Articles & Testimony
The Gulf’s Calculus on UAE-Israel Deal
Why did the United Arab Emirates decide to establish formal diplomatic ties with Israel? How much was Iran a factor?
Aug 19, 2020
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Barbara A. Leaf
Brief Analysis
Normalization Is Making Cairo Uncomfortable
The UAE’s deal with Israel may render Egypt a junior partner in future peace diplomacy, aggravating its existing frustration over years of financial dependence on the small Gulf state and a string of foreign policy setbacks.
Aug 19, 2020
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Haisam Hassanein
Brief Analysis
Oman’s Sultan Devolves Some of His Powers to New Cabinet
In a series of royal decrees that imply a sharp focus on the economy, Sultan Haitham delegated key powers to various ministries for the first time while trimming and professionalizing the government.
Aug 19, 2020
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Elana DeLozier
Audio
Decision Points Podcast: Season 2
Crucial Leaders in Arab-Israeli Relations
The second season of the Decision Points podcast with host David Makovsky focuses on key Israeli and Arab leaders.
Aug 19, 2020
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David Makovsky
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Decision Points Podcast
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Iraq-U.S. Strategic Dialogue: Finding Agreement within Contention
After much anticipation, the White House confirmed in an official August 2 statement that a meeting between the Iraqi Prime Minister Mustafa al-Kadhimi and U.S. President Donald Trump will take place this week to discuss “challenges posed by the coronavirus pandemic as well as security, energy, and economic issues.” The
Aug 18, 2020
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Farhad Alaaldin
Articles & Testimony
Putting the UAE-Israel Agreement in Its Proper Perspective
Like all good policy decisions, the deal emerged from the enlightened self-interest of the key parties, but the stakes are not as high as with Israel’s previous two Arab peace treaties.
Aug 18, 2020
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Robert Satloff
Brief Analysis
The Beirut Disaster: Implications for Lebanon and U.S. Policy
Experts discuss the deadly Beirut explosion as it relates to the Lebanese political system, Hezbollah hegemony, and foreign aid.
Aug 18, 2020
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Saleh Machnouk
Hanin Ghaddar
Matthew Levitt
Articles & Testimony
Why the Israel-UAE Agreement Is Actually a Very Big Deal
It shows the Palestinians that their longstanding paradigm for isolating Israel has failed, partly due to converging regional interests, and partly because it was based on incorrect assumptions.
Aug 18, 2020
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David Makovsky
Brief Analysis
The Normalization Deal Splits the Gulf States—for Now
Some Gulf governments have welcomed the paradigm-changing Israel-UAE agreement while others have not, and those who follow Abu Dhabi’s path will do so based on their own interests and timetables.
Aug 18, 2020
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Elana DeLozier
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Immunity through Impunity: Hypocrisy and Systemic Racism in Iran’s Legal System
Iranian leadership has callously exploited hot button issues for decades, capitalizing on the plight of regional groups like Palestinians and Shia minorities in the Gulf while maintaining a particular international focus on African American issues in the United States. Iranian officials, most notably Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei, make relentless speeches
Aug 17, 2020
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Aaron Meyer
Rahim Hamid
Brief Analysis
Lessons of the UAE Breakthrough: How We Got Here, and Why the U.S. Role Remains Central
Statements and actions by Israel and the UAE show how much regional decisionmaking is still shaped by U.S. assurances that enable parties to calibrate their cost-benefit analyses—an approach that could serve as a template for potential future Israel-Gulf ties.
Aug 17, 2020
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David Makovsky
Brief Analysis
Kadhimi Visits Washington: Broadening the U.S.-Iraq Relationship
The visit and follow-on meetings present an opportunity to not only reaffirm the strategic partnership, but also move beyond outdated paradigms that view Iraq solely as an arena for countering terrorism and pushing back against Iran.
Aug 17, 2020
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Dana Stroul
Bilal Wahab
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
The Syrian People and the Implications of Caesar’s Law in the Siege of Assad
The ramifications of the application of the Caesar Civilian Protection Act, known as the Caesar Act, are becoming apparent in the wave of fear and anxiety that hit Syrian and Arab businessmen and traders who deal with the Syrian regime and who fear international sanctions that have begun to affect
Aug 14, 2020
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Ishtar Al Shami
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