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Articles & Testimony
Has Trump Finally Lost Patience with the Saudis?
Whatever combination of factors spurred the latest withdrawal of U.S. military equipment from the kingdom, the administration is tempting fate given Iran’s ongoing challenges and shifting tactics in the Gulf.
May 8, 2020
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Simon Henderson
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Emerging Risks and Reforms: The KRG’s Challenges in Building a Post-Coronavirus Economy
As the world navigates a state of economic paralysis, Middle Eastern nations are struggling to address the various consequences of a global downturn—including the precipitous drop in oil prices. As a region that is heavily dependent on oil production for economic survival, the Kurdistan Region of Iraq (KRI) is especially
May 7, 2020
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Biner Aziz
Brief Analysis
What Turned the Battle for Tripoli?
A boost in Turkish drones and air defense systems enabled forces in Tripoli to establish local air superiority and ease pressure on the capital, leaving each side’s foreign patrons with tough choices about whether to escalate further or take steps to halt the fighting.
May 6, 2020
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Ben Fishman
Conor Hiney
Articles & Testimony
On Annexation, Netanyahu Must Choose a Lasting Legacy
The prime minister no longer needs to lean on the transactional politics of partisan campaign promises, so history will judge him harshly if he keeps pursuing policies that threaten Israel’s peace prospects and Jewish identity.
May 5, 2020
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David Makovsky
Dennis Ross
Brief Analysis
Lebanon's Crises Offer a Chance to Address Hezbollah Violations in the South
The UN’s latest report makes clear that the dangerous situation will not improve on its own, compelling the international community to find new ways of addressing the group’s violations and the role that the Lebanese government and military play in enabling them.
May 5, 2020
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Assaf Orion
In-Depth Reports
Palestinian Politics After Abbas
Sudden Succession Essay Series
Throughout his tenure as leader of the Palestinian Authority, Mahmoud Abbas has studiously avoided grooming a successor, instead consolidating his control over numerous Palestinian entities and sidelining officials he perceived as threatening to his rule. When he eventually exits the scene, Abbas will leave many leadership roles to be filled—including in the PLO, Fatah movement, and national security agencies.
May 5, 2020
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Ghaith al-Omari
Ehud Yaari
◆
Sudden Succession Essay Series
Brief Analysis
Hezbollah Takes Aim at Lebanon’s Central Bank and Telecom Sector
By exploiting the public’s anti-corruption sentiment, the group's leaders are looking for an excuse to seize control of additional sectors and replace the country’s financial system with their own corrupt, cash-based economy.
May 4, 2020
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Hanin Ghaddar
Brief Analysis
Coronavirus on the Israeli-Palestinian Scene (Part 2): The Gaza Strip
Hamas authorities have taken various measures to stave off the pandemic, but Gaza’s major healthcare shortfalls, deep economic problems, and high risk of wider infection could lead to violent flare-ups with Israel.
May 1, 2020
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Michael Herzog
Ghaith al-Omari
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Iran Changes the Rules of the Game with Satellite Launch
On April 22, Iran announced the successful launch of its first Noor satellite into orbit by the IRGC after several previous failed attempts, a feat confirmed by NORAD. Despite the practical and scientific importance of this achievement, no less important is that the launch demonstrates Iran’s ability to manufacture the
May 1, 2020
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Munqith Dagher
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Federalism Is the Answer to Peacebuilding in South Yemen
On April 25, the Southern Transitional Council (STC) announced a declaration of self-rule in Aden, breaking from the Hadi government in the most recent development in Yemen’s years long civil war. However, it is already struggling to cope with the first real challenge in managing the outbreak in COVID19 cases
Apr 30, 2020
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Olfat Al-Dubai
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Egypt’s Bitter Options in the Face of Coronavirus
In early April, demonstrations erupted in the village of al-Hayatem in Egypt’s Nile Delta to protest the decision to impose a lockdown on the village after the appearance of cases of COVID-19 there. The scene was chaotic and even absurd as security forces wavered between a desire to follow orders
Apr 30, 2020
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Maged Atef
Video
Brief Analysis
Arab Health Officials Discuss Fighting COVID-19
Three senior officials from Iraq, Jordan, and Saudi Arabia share a behind-the-scenes look at each country’s efforts to contain the pandemic.
Apr 30, 2020
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Jaafar Allawi
Saad Jaber
Abdullah Algwizani
Articles & Testimony
Covid-19 and Middle East Proxy Wars: The Storm Before the Calm?
Although the pandemic’s full regional consequences remain murky, some early trends are becoming clear, from caution among certain proxy patrons, to escalation among others, and a looming financial crunch for all.
Apr 29, 2020
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David Pollock
Brief Analysis
Saudi Leverage Not Enough to Achieve Peace in Yemen
Riyadh’s negotiation efforts in Yemen’s north and south have faltered, raising questions about its ability to single-handedly shepherd the country toward peace.
Apr 29, 2020
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Elana DeLozier
Articles & Testimony
Saudi Prince’s Vision Marred by Oil Price—and a Death
The combo of local opposition to a high-tech urbanization project and oil market volatility has cast a shadow over Riyadh’s long-term economic plans.
Apr 29, 2020
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Simon Henderson
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Terrorism and Coronavirus: Hyperbole, Idealism, and Ignorance
Marked variously by idealism, hyperbole, factionalism, and ignorance, Islamist extremist and terrorist groups’ views of the coronavirus pandemic, along with their preparations to exploit it on a global scale, boil down to an attempt to create more propaganda and gain new recruits. In certain cases, leaders are prioritizing conducting of
Apr 28, 2020
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Mohamed Mokhtar Qandil
Brief Analysis
Coronavirus on the Israeli-Palestinian Scene (Part 1): The West Bank and East Jerusalem
The outbreak has temporarily shifted the two sides from squabbling over the ‘deal of the century’ to cooperating against the ‘pandemic of the century,’ though bitter political differences continue to cause tensions.
Apr 28, 2020
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Michael Herzog
Ghaith al-Omari
Brief Analysis
Iran’s Eurasian Wager
Many aspects of Iranian engagement with the Eurasian Economic Union seem paltry, but the bloc offers a semblance of assured trade, diplomacy, and counter-Western alignment that could still be meaningful to Tehran amid multiple crises.
Apr 27, 2020
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Kevjn Lim
Maps & Graphics
In-Depth Reports
Iran's Evolving Approach to Asymmetric Naval Warfare:
Strategy and Capabilities in the Persian Gulf
In an April 22 tweet, President Trump spoke of instructing the U.S. Navy to destroy any Iranian gunboats that "harass our ships at sea." Aside from whether it departed from existing U.S. rules of engagement, the statement highlighted a persistent reality: the military threat posed by Iranian forces in the
Apr 24, 2020
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Farzin Nadimi
Brief Analysis
State of Jurisdiction: The International Criminal Court and the ‘Situation in Palestine’
The question of whether the ICC is able to proceed with cases against Israeli and Palestinian officials may hinge on fuzzy international legal criteria and competing arguments by sympathetic governments.
Apr 24, 2020
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Alexander Loengarov
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