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Brief Analysis
The Pandemic’s Implications for Iran’s Nuclear Program
Although the leadership in Tehran seems preoccupied with the coronavirus, the international community must still watch out for any attempts to exploit the situation via clandestine nuclear activities.
Apr 14, 2020
◆
Omer Carmi
Brief Analysis
Opposing an IMF Loan to Iran: Not an Outlier, Not a Barrier to Aid
Washington often objects to loans that it deems insufficiently rigorous, but its blocking attempts usually fail—and Iran has no need for the funds anyway.
Apr 14, 2020
◆
Patrick Clawson
Articles & Testimony
Will the OPEC Agreement Work and, If So, How Long Will It Last?
The market appears to doubt that the deal will suffice, and royal family dynamics could push the oil crisis into further rounds.
Apr 13, 2020
◆
Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
The Faint Red Line: How the West Should Respond to the Syria Chemical Weapons Report
Europe and the United States can no longer dismiss the strategic and tactical relevance of the regime’s CW attacks, which have continued throughout the conflict and demand further military, diplomatic, and judicial action.
Apr 13, 2020
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Tobias Schneider
Theresa Lutkefend
Brief Analysis
Qaani’s Surprise Visit to Baghdad and the Future of the PMF
The commander’s trip was aimed at uniting Shia militias against the United States and domestic political rivals, but facts on the ground show that the post-Soleimani Qods Force is losing its touch in Iraq.
Apr 10, 2020
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Farzin Nadimi
Hamdi Malik
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
The Coronavirus Pandemic in Lebanon: Leveraging and Counter-Leveraging
Nassim Taleb used the term “black swan” as a metaphor for unexpected variables that challenge assumptions and approaches. In the span of a short few months, Lebanon has experienced two major “black swan” events, introducing more complexity into an already delicate and difficult political and social climate. The militant, pro-Iranian
Apr 10, 2020
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Hassan Mneimneh
Articles & Testimony
Coronavirus Proves America First Is the Wrong Answer to Today’s Global Challenges
Leadership does not require serving in the unsustainable role of international policeman, but it does entail American engagement and a sense of responsibility to other countries.
Apr 9, 2020
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Dennis Ross
Brief Analysis
Houthis Release Their Wish List for Ending the Yemen War
Reflecting just how emboldened the Houthis have become, their latest ceasefire document advocates maximalist positions on core issues while demanding that other actors foot the bill for reconstruction, reparations, economic recovery, and virus containment.
Apr 9, 2020
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Elana DeLozier
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Coronavirus Will Change Both Algeria’s Political System and Its Opposition
As U.S. President Donald Trump announced a state of emergency and France’s Macron declared that his country "is at war," Algerians were still waiting for an address from the recently inaugurated President Abdelmadjid Tebboune. The delay was indicative of Algeria’s particular challenges when dealing with the virus—the North African country
Apr 9, 2020
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Zine Labidine Ghebouli
Articles & Testimony
As Civil War Rages, Diplomacy Fails with Libya’s Haftar
For years, international mediators have insisted that there is no military solution to the war, but it is also time to recognize that there is no diplomatic solution with Khalifa Haftar.
Apr 9, 2020
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Ben Fishman
Brief Analysis
Iraq Goes from Zurfi to Kadhimi: U.S. Policy Implications
If Kadhimi’s nomination goes through, it would be good news for Iraq, but Washington’s troubled relationship with Baghdad still needs a radical strategic reset.
Apr 9, 2020
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Michael Knights
Articles & Testimony
The Coronavirus Pandemic Could Be the Key to Peace in Yemen
After years of failed attempts at talks and ceasefires, COVID-19 may be enough to push the Saudis, Houthis, and Yemeni government to the negotiating table.
Apr 9, 2020
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Elana DeLozier
Articles & Testimony
How the Islamic State Feeds on Coronavirus
The pandemic has shut down counterterrorism operations, and the group is relishing the extra breathing room in Iraq.
Apr 8, 2020
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Michael Knights
Brief Analysis
By Mobilizing to Fight Coronavirus, the IRGC Is Marginalizing the Government
From establishing new provincial headquarters to deploying hundreds of thousands of troops and militia personnel on emergency duty, the Guards are seemingly using the crisis as an opportunity to expand their power at the local level.
Apr 8, 2020
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Saeid Golkar
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Iraq’s Volatile Politics: Al-Zurfi’s Slim Chances at Becoming PM
The outbreak of coronavirus is just the most recent misfortune for Iraq, which is suffering a complicated political deadlock created by the October 2019 protests against Iraq’s political elites. Iraq’s political leadership has failed to lead the country for the last seventeen years, focusing satisfying the country’s competing political blocs
Apr 8, 2020
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Biner Aziz
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
While Iran Releases some Prisoners, Ahwazi and Other Prisoners Face Imminent Death
Iran’s coronavirus outbreak has left the government struggling to respond, to the point that the regime has announced the release of 85,000 prisoners to reduce the risk of coronavirus spread in overcrowded prisons. However, this amnesty policy has excluded a significant majority of Iran’s prison population, no less likely to
Apr 7, 2020
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Rahim Hamid
Mostafa Hetteh
Articles & Testimony
Benny Gantz Did the Right Thing by Putting His Country First
The Blue-White leader’s former allies have denounced him for caving to Netanyahu, but his conciliatory gesture is a sign of statesmanship, not weakness.
Apr 7, 2020
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Dennis Ross
David Makovsky
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Italy, Libya, and the Threat of Coronavirus
Since Italy first announced its first confirmed case of coronavirus in late January, the virus has spread throughout the country with unprecedented speed. Today, Italy has become one of the major epicenters of the pandemic as the number of confirmed cases and deaths continues to climb, though restrictive social distancing
Apr 6, 2020
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Ramy Aziz
Articles & Testimony
Trump Considers a Cameo Role in Saudi-Russia Oil Price Drama
The president’s latest statements on OPEC and the possibility of U.S. tariffs are ambiguous, but they suggest his growing exasperation with Moscow and Riyadh.
Apr 6, 2020
◆
Simon Henderson
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Kurdistan Region of Iraq and the Coronavirus Response–Lessons Learned
Since March 13, my family and I have been locked at home in the Kurdistan Region of Iraq (KRI), ordering all supplies and groceries via deliveries provided by the local supermarkets. As my neighbor Mr. Namiq, a public servant, put it: “Public daily routine has gotten complicated. [We have] a
Apr 3, 2020
◆
Biner Aziz
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