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Articles & Testimony
The Saudi-Russia Oil Fight Is the Last Thing the Economy Needs in a Pandemic
Both governments have gone “crazy” in the fast-moving price war, but the White House is apparently divided on who to blame and how much to get involved.
Apr 1, 2020
◆
Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
Syria’s Three Governments Confront the Coronavirus
The rebel administration in Idlib and the Kurdish-led government in the northeast have been more proactive and transparent than the Assad regime, but their populations still need urgent, direct international aid—without the UN’s imprimatur if necessary.
Apr 1, 2020
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Aaron Y. Zelin
Oula A. Alrifai
Brief Analysis
Hezbollah’s Corona Quagmire: An Opportunity to Empower the LAF
Now that Hezbollah realizes its efforts to hide virus cases won’t work anymore, Washington should urge Beirut to put LAF medical and border-control personnel to work without resorting to a full state of emergency.
Mar 31, 2020
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Hanin Ghaddar
Articles & Testimony
Sanctions Relief Isn’t Necessary to Assist Iran’s Coronavirus Response
Washington can facilitate aid without fundamentally altering the sanctions infrastructure, in part by clarifying the rules on allowable humanitarian trade, expanded NGO activities, and Tehran’s existing financial options.
Mar 31, 2020
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Katherine Bauer
Dana Stroul
Articles & Testimony
Love Thy Neighbor: Saudi Arabia Needs Regional Help to End the War
After five years of fighting in Yemen, Riyadh has been left to deal with the conflict largely on its own, but the Gulf states will need to band together again if they hope to facilitate another transition of the sort seen in 2011.
Mar 31, 2020
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Elana DeLozier
Articles & Testimony
U.S. Policy in the Middle East Amid Great Power Competition
Viewing regional issues through this broader strategic lens will require Washington to accept painful trade-offs and take a tougher stance with difficult allies.
Mar 30, 2020
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Michael Singh
Brief Analysis
How to Serve U.S. Interests by Saving Kurdistan’s Economy
Unless Washington intervenes with cost-effective, forceful measures, Iraqi Kurdistan could be the first Middle Eastern economy to implode under the pressure of coronavirus and low oil prices.
Mar 30, 2020
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Michael Knights
Brief Analysis
Gantz’s Gamble
In the name of Israeli unity, the former Blue-White leader has opted to detonate his bloc and allow Netanyahu to remain in power until next year, with uncertain consequences for domestic politics, West Bank annexations, and other issues.
Mar 27, 2020
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David Makovsky
Brief Analysis
With COVID-19, Iran’s Dependence on China Grows
Beijing has steadily become Tehran’s economic ventilator, diplomatic prop, and military enabler, and the Iranians need this backstop now more than ever.
Mar 27, 2020
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Kevjn Lim
Brief Analysis
Khamenei Securitizes the Pandemic as the IRGC Mulls Regional Action
With the regime leadership accusing the United States of using bioweapons and fomenting other hateful disinformation, the potential for violence against U.S. forces and interests will likely escalate.
Mar 27, 2020
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Farzin Nadimi
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
The Egyptian Response to Coronavirus: Denial and Conspiracy
The coronavirus pandemic currently sweeping the world and is a new contagious disease caused by severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2), which scientists believe originated from a mutated virus carried by bats and originated in Wuhan, China December of last year. As of March 27, more than 549,105 cases
Mar 27, 2020
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Mohamed Abdelaziz
In-Depth Reports
The Outlook for Turkish Democracy:
2023 and Beyond
Over nearly two decades, Turkey’s Recep Tayyip Erdogan has managed to strengthen his hold on power despite numerous political reconfigurations. With the next presidential election scheduled for 2023, many figures within his camp are already maneuvering for leverage while the opposition mulls how to defeat him. Among his potential rivals
Mar 26, 2020
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Nick Danforth
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Idlib May Become the Next Gaza Strip
Given the military situation on the ground and the overriding interests of each party, the jihadist-run rebel pocket will likely be further reduced into a small, overpopulated border strip north of the M4 highway.
Mar 26, 2020
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Fabrice Balanche
Fikra Forum
Most Palestinians Want to Work With Israel Against Coronavirus, Though Nearly Half Think it Is Deliberately Spread
The coronavirus outbreak is having a major effect on Israeli personal and public life, but has a lesser effect so far on the Palestinians next door in the West Bank and Gaza. Even so, an extraordinary public opinion poll conducted in those territories right in the midst of this medical
Mar 25, 2020
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David Pollock
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
A Year Since Baghuz, the Islamic State Is Neither Defeated nor Resurging (Yet)
Although attack statistics have declined, the continued lack of stable governance in Diyala and Deir al-Zour shows that Washington and its partners have not absorbed the lessons provided by previous insurgencies.
Mar 25, 2020
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Aaron Y. Zelin
Brief Analysis
Israel’s Political Battle Goes to Court
The dispute over voting for a new speaker of parliament is the latest front in determining who will form the next government, with the Supreme Court entering the fray as Netanyahu maneuvers to stay in power.
Mar 24, 2020
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David Makovsky
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Post-uprising Iraq: New Players and New Realities
The past several days have witnessed a great deal of political movement in Iraq as a result of the country’s remarkable current situation. As usual, the actions of Iraq’s traditional political players have remained unclear—and, like the end of a thriller, many possibilities for Iraq’s political future remain open, though
Mar 24, 2020
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Munqith Dagher
Brief Analysis
Khamenei’s Nowruz Speech in a Time of Coronavirus
His remarks focused on inspiring the nation to stay strong in the face of the crisis while refusing to trust U.S. aid, though without mentioning his normal laundry list of foreign policy issues.
Mar 23, 2020
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Omer Carmi
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Despite Political Turmoil and Coronavirus, Iraq’s Protest Movement Continues
With neighboring Iran one of the most severely affected areas of coronavirus, Iraqi authorities are also confirming rising infections and deaths despite closing the border between the two states.
Mar 23, 2020
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Azhar Al-Rubaie
Maps & Graphics
In-Depth Reports
Honored, Not Contained:
The Future of Iraq's Popular Mobilization Forces
In this detailed Policy Focus, meant as a primer for Iraqi and international agencies, leading scholars examine the current status of Iraq's Popular Mobilization Forces.
Mar 23, 2020
◆
Michael Knights
Hamdi Malik
Aymenn Jawad Al-Tamimi
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