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Brief Analysis
Centering Iraq Policy on Human Rights and Fair Elections
The surest way to counter Iran’s malign influence is to proactively focus on human rights issues that the new prime minister can actually affect, such as organizing free elections and preventing further violence against protestors.
Feb 4, 2020
◆
Michael Knights
Brief Analysis
Continuity vs. Overreach in the Trump Peace Plan (Part 1): Borders and Jerusalem
If the latest U.S. effort winds up backing the Palestinians into a territorial corner from the outset, then Washington may not be able to move the process any closer to direct negotiations.
Feb 4, 2020
◆
David Makovsky
Brief Analysis
Continuity vs. Overreach in the Trump Peace Plan (Part 2): Security, Refugees, and Narratives
By granting Israel much more say over the sovereignty of a future Palestinian state and its ability to absorb refugees, the document may undermine the administration’s ability to build an international coalition behind its policies.
Feb 4, 2020
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Ghaith al-Omari
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
The Evolution of Iraq’s Protests: Excessive Force Pushes Protesters to Adapt
Iraq’s trifecta of unemployment, lack of public services, and corruption has been a prime motivating force fueling Iraq’s months of protests. And since the protests began, the young Iraqi protesters who took to the streets have discovered a fourth point of contention: the elite’s lack of accountability and willingness to
Feb 4, 2020
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Maryam Alhassani
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Pivoting to the KRG: Restructuring the U.S. Military Presence in Iraq
Since the start of the Iraq War in 2003, a defining element of American policy has been the importance of the political and territorial integrity of the Iraqi state. In light of the U.S. killing of Qassem Soleimani, subsequent retaliation from Iran, and continued violence in Iraq—most recently manifesting in
Feb 3, 2020
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Eric Bordenkircher
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
The Dangerous Consequences of U.S. Withdrawal from Iraq
The rapid escalation following the assassination of Iranian general Qasem Soleimani has threatened the already precarious state of U.S.-Iraq relations. Now, Iraq must decide how to respond, while considering the unintended consequences that any action will bring. At present, it seems the Iraqi government’s recent 170-0 vote—in the absence of
Feb 3, 2020
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Khairuldeen Makhzoomi
Minatullah Alobaidi
Articles & Testimony
A Steep Uphill Climb: Why Trump’s New Mideast Peace Plan Will Likely Harden the Israeli-Palestinian Divide
As currently constituted, the plan cannot be accepted by any Palestinian who cares about self-determination, but implementing some of its economic provisions might create room for negotiations down the road.
Feb 2, 2020
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Dennis Ross
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Arab Reactions to Trump’s Peace Plan: An Analysis and Recommendation
On Tuesday, the Trump administration released the political portion of the long-awaited Middle East Peace Plan, six months after its attempts to publicly involve Arab states through the peace plan workshop in Manama, Bahrain, which introduced a $50 billion Palestinian investment and infrastructure proposal. The eighty-page document named Jerusalem as
Jan 31, 2020
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Mohamed Abdelaziz
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Egypt’s Public Backs Israeli-Palestinian Compromise, Wants Good Ties with United States
As Cairo prepares to host an urgent Arab League meeting this weekend, called to address the new U.S. Israeli-Palestinian peace plan, results from a rare new Egyptian public opinion poll show two-thirds support “incentives for both sides [Israelis and Palestinians] to take more moderate positions.” And a narrower majority, among
Jan 31, 2020
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David Pollock
Brief Analysis
Syria’s Economic Crisis Sparks Rare Protests in Regime Territory
Besides highlighting Assad’s financial mismanagement, the recent unrest gives the international community a genuine opportunity to push for transition while bolstering the more prosperous local administration in the northeast.
Jan 31, 2020
◆
Oula A. Alrifai
Video
Brief Analysis
Shia Militias in Iraq, Syria, and Lebanon Post-Soleimani
Will the various regional militias once controlled by Qasem Soleimani continue to take sometimes-unwanted direction from Tehran after his death? Read or watch a spirited conversation with three experts.
Jan 30, 2020
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Michael Knights
Phillip Smyth
Hanin Ghaddar
Articles & Testimony
Trump’s Peace Plan Won’t Have a Chance Unless Israel Shows Restraint on Annexation
Undifferentiated settlement annexation will inevitably undermine Israel’s ability to separate from the Palestinians, making a one-state outcome more likely.
Jan 29, 2020
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Dennis Ross
David Makovsky
Video
Brief Analysis
The New Status Quo in Northeast Syria: Humanitarian and Security Implications
Three leading experts assess the current balance of power and its potential effects on counterterrorism, refugee resettlement, governance, economics, and other crucial issues.
Jan 29, 2020
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Wladimir van Wilgenburg
Gonul Tol
Dana Stroul
Articles & Testimony
Trump Peace Plan Attracts Some Gulf States, But Not Consensus Backing
Bahrain, Oman, and the UAE have evidently decided that good relations with the White House are more important than echoing Palestinian anger or appeasing Iran.
Jan 29, 2020
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Simon Henderson
Articles & Testimony
Revealed at Last: Trump’s Israeli-Palestinian Peace Deal to End All Peace
Despite the applause in some quarters, the plan may wind up fostering tense conditions that are ripe for Palestinian violence.
Jan 28, 2020
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Neri Zilber
Articles & Testimony
Soleimani Is Dead: The Road Ahead for Iranian-Backed Militias in Iraq
Iraqis have expressed broad political, religious, and public support for checking the militias more quickly, so the U.S. government should take several steps toward that end.
Jan 27, 2020
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Michael Knights
Brief Analysis
Tunisia Turns a Corner Against the Jihadist Movement
Fewer attacks and more prosecutions suggest the country’s integrated approach could eventually become a model for the region.
Jan 27, 2020
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Aaron Y. Zelin
Brief Analysis
Palestinian Reactions to the Trump Plan
The PA will likely limit itself to quick diplomatic thrusts in order to preempt Arab support and isolate Washington, but any Israeli annexation moves could trigger more drastic action.
Jan 27, 2020
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Ghaith al-Omari
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Moqtada al-Sadr and the International Coalition: Common Ground and Fault Lines
On January 24, 2020, Moqtada al-Sadr seized the reins of Iraqi politics. By taking charge of the Friday marches, he overshadowed the Iran-backed militias and showed up their comparative lack of numbers. Al-Sadr directed the protests away from the U.S. embassy, subsequently stating that embassies should be protected and all
Jan 27, 2020
◆
Michael Knights
Articles & Testimony
Here’s How the U.S. Can Pressure Lebanon’s New Government to Tackle Corruption
Designating corrupt businessmen and officials under the Global Magnitsky Act would offer a tangible response to the persistent anti-sectarian demands of Lebanese protesters.
Jan 26, 2020
◆
Hanin Ghaddar
Matthew Levitt
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