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Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
The United States Shouldn’t Replicate Slip-ups in Sudan
The international community was caught off-guard by the almost miraculous, peaceful, youth-driven revolution in Sudan, which successfully triggered the overthrow of a brutal dictator. A country so-often overlooked by the rest of the world suddenly dominated news outlets, took over social media, and grabbed the attention of governments around the
Aug 13, 2019
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Nasreldin Wali
Brief Analysis
Hezbollah’s Lebanese Allies Can Be Contained
The group’s local partners complied when U.S. officials warned them to back off a recent political smear campaign, but more should be done to expose and exploit their rifts.
Aug 13, 2019
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Hanin Ghaddar
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Half of Palestinians Still Want All of Palestine—But Most Would Compromise for Less
Palestinian public opinion clearly distinguishes between perceived rights and realities. Results from a new poll conducted June 27-July 15 show very mixed views on long-term peace issues among Palestinians in the West Bank, Gaza, and East Jerusalem. The “two-state solution” has lost majority support. Yet if that option were available
Aug 13, 2019
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David Pollock
Brief Analysis
Time to Change Course on the UN’s Lebanon Policy
Serious change is required to avoid decisions that accommodate Hezbollah’s ends, ways, and means, and a vital first step is to look at current policy mechanics with a clear eye.
Aug 13, 2019
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Assaf Orion
Articles & Testimony
MbS and MbZ: Could Yemen Crisis End the Saudi-UAE Partnership?
The relationship is being tested, and the knock-on effects could roil the region from the sands of Libya to the Strait of Hormuz.
Aug 13, 2019
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Simon Henderson
Articles & Testimony
The Men Responsible for the AMIA Bombing Are Known—and Still at Large
Twenty-five years later, some of the perpetrators hold senior positions within the Iranian and Hezbollah leadership, where they continue to oversee international terrorist plots.
Aug 12, 2019
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Matthew Levitt
Brief Analysis
Turkey’s Rising Wave of Social Protests
This year’s Istanbul election and last year’s move to a presidential system have unified and galvanized the opposition, raising questions about Erdogan’s next move.
Aug 12, 2019
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Soner Cagaptay
Articles & Testimony
Iran’s Expanding Militia Army in Iraq: The New Special Groups
Tehran-backed militias must be monitored more closely on a host of destabilizing activities, though policymakers should be careful not to lump them in with the many PMF factions that don't support Iran.
Aug 9, 2019
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Michael Knights
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
How Jordan Can Deal with Jordanian ISIS Fighters Still in Syria
Interest in the issue of terrorist repatriation has returned to the forefront of media coverage in recent weeks, especially after Iraq tried and sentenced to death eleven French nationals who had joined ISIS, causing an eruption of angry official and popular reactions in France. The legal challenges of repatriation and
Aug 9, 2019
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Saud Al-Sharafat
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Oil’s Impact on Tensions in Southern Yemen
In mid-July 2019, a group of leaders and dignitaries in Hadramout, Southern Yemen held a consultative meeting to discuss the security situation, public services, and oil production in the Hadramout region. Hadramout is the largest governorate in terms of area and holds 80 percent of Yemen’s oil reserves, making it
Aug 9, 2019
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Muneer Bin Wabar
Brief Analysis
U.S. Safe Zone Deal Can Help Turkey Come to Terms with the PKK and YPG
Checking the YPG’s ascendance in Syria could bring the PKK back to the negotiating table, ultimately making Turkey more amenable to Kurdish enclaves across the border.
Aug 7, 2019
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Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
Netanyahu’s Tougher Election Math and the Specter of Succession
A key rival could affect Netanyahu’s ability to form a coalition or even retain control over his party, but his track record of winning elections and playing wild cards cannot be discounted.
Aug 6, 2019
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David Makovsky
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Defying Stereotypes, New Poll Shows Gazans More Moderate than West Bankers
The latest survey conducted by the Palestine Center for Public Opinion, June 27-July 15, 2019, indisputably confirms this highly counter-intuitive finding from other recent polls: on many issues related to Israel, the two million Palestinians in Gaza actually voice significantly more moderate opinions than do the roughly equal Palestinian population
Aug 5, 2019
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David Pollock
Brief Analysis
Growing Anti-Syrian Sentiment in Turkey
Refugees are being blamed for the country’s economic and social troubles, resulting in online hate speech, vigilante violence, and further pressure on the government to change the status quo in north Syria.
Aug 5, 2019
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Soner Cagaptay
Articles & Testimony
Inside Hezbollah’s American Sleeper Cells: Waiting for Iran’s Signal to Strike U.S. and Israeli Targets
If hostilities break out with the United States, Tehran may try to minimize risk to its most important assets in the Middle East by drawing on black ops units further abroad instead.
Aug 4, 2019
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Matthew Levitt
Brief Analysis
Houthis Kill Top UAE-Backed Separatist Yemeni Commander
Coming just weeks after Abu Dhabi's drawdown from the anti-Houthi fight, the provocative attack could be a pivotal moment for Yemen’s future.
Aug 1, 2019
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Elana DeLozier
Brief Analysis
Bahrain’s Perception Problem
New demonstrations, executions, and diplomatic quarrels threaten to undermine the island’s efforts to improve its pro-Western profile amid the Iran crisis.
Jul 30, 2019
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Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
Twenty Years Under King Mohammed VI (Part 2): Foreign Policy Developments
The king has invested considerable diplomatic capital in Africa, Europe, the United States, and China, but the longstanding Western Sahara dispute remains a source of tension with neighboring Algeria.
Jul 29, 2019
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Sarah Feuer
Reda Ayadi
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
New Palestinian Poll Reveals “Wait and See” View of Trump Peace Plan
A new poll by the Palestine Center for Public Opinion, taken June 27-July 19, indicates that the majority of Palestinians in the West Bank and Gaza oppose their leaderships’ preemptive rejection of the Trump administration’s peace plan—despite widespread popular disapproval of the current U.S. president. The survey also shows a
Jul 27, 2019
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David Pollock
Brief Analysis
The Road Ahead on Iran Policy: Toward a Multilateral Strategy
Iran’s recent actions in the region challenge the core interests of many American allies, and rallying those partners around shared objectives would give U.S. policy a better chance of success.
Jul 26, 2019
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Michael Singh
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