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Articles & Testimony
Jared Kushner’s All-or-Nothing Mistake in the Middle East
If the administration wants its peace plan to break the peace process paradigm, it must suggest immediately achievable and flexible short-term goals.
Jul 2, 2019
◆
David Makovsky
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
A Humanitarian Time Bomb in Idlib
As the latest regime offensive continues, hundreds of thousands of civilians are fleeing to overcrowded border camps, furthering Assad’s strategy of emptying as much of the Sunni Arab population as possible.
Jun 28, 2019
◆
Fabrice Balanche
Brief Analysis
Past U.S.-Iran Confrontations Hold Lessons for Current Crisis
Despite its measured approach thus far, Tehran may come to view the latest showdown as an existential conflict with an irresolute adversary, warranting greater risk-taking on its part.
Jun 27, 2019
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Michael Eisenstadt
Brief Analysis
Khamenei Will See Sanctions on Him as a Direct Challenge to the Revolution
The Supreme Leader regards his rule as the central feature of the Islamic Revolution, so the latest White House order will seem like a shot at the entire system.
Jun 27, 2019
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Patrick Clawson
Mehdi Khalaji
Articles & Testimony
Democrats Can Show Trump the Way to Avoid War with Iran
The regime’s economic pain is real, so it may eventually be willing to talk about extending the nuclear deal’s sunset provisions and limiting its military infrastructure in Syria.
Jun 26, 2019
◆
Dennis Ross
Video
Brief Analysis
The Istanbul Revote: What Happens Next?
Four experts discuss the opposition's landslide victory and its implications for Turkish politics generally and President Erdogan's future specifically.
Jun 26, 2019
◆
Soner Cagaptay
Lisel Hintz
Kemal Kirisci
Alan Makovsky
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Exploring Russia’s Humanitarian Intervention in Syria
From September 2015, Russia’s military intervention into the Syrian civil war succeeded in turning the conflict’s momentum from the opposition back to the Syrian government. However, in the past few years Russia has simultaneously undertaken a quieter intervention in the Syrian conflict through humanitarian institutions. While there has been a
Jun 25, 2019
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Marika Sosnowski
Paul Hastings
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
With the Internet Blackout in Sudan, Knowledge Is Power
The current blackout fits the regime's wider pattern of attempting to guarantee its survival by restricting access to information.
Jun 25, 2019
◆
Yousra Khalil
Articles & Testimony
Bahrain’s Bid for Middle East Peace Role May Come Up Short
The guest list at the scaled-down meeting continues to shrink, while the tension caused by recent Iranian escalation looms in the background.
Jun 25, 2019
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Simon Henderson
Articles & Testimony
Erdogan’s Presidential System Isn’t Working. The Istanbul Election Shows Why.
Turkey is too diverse demographically, too big economically, and too complicated politically to be governed from a presidential palace.
Jun 24, 2019
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Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
Resolving the PA Funding Crisis, But Not in Bahrain
Rather than pinning false hopes on the Manama conference, the international community should focus on reforming the Paris Protocol and convincing the Palestinians to resume revenue transfers from Israel.
Jun 24, 2019
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Katherine Bauer
Brief Analysis
Bahrain’s Hopes and Fears for the Peace Conference
Although the island may reap diplomatic kudos and economic benefits for hosting such a high-profile event, the potential reactions of domestic sectarian communities and nearby Iran remain a concern.
Jun 24, 2019
◆
Simon Henderson
Video
Brief Analysis
Assad's Thinking: How Did Syria Get Here, and Where Does the Regime Want to Go Now?
Former American and French ambassadors discuss the regime's calculus and preview the upcoming U.S.-Russia summit in Jerusalem. Watch video or read a summary.
Jun 21, 2019
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Michel Duclos
Robert Ford
Brief Analysis
Now That Morsi Is Gone, Sisi Should Ease His Crackdown
The resilient Muslim Brotherhood is only feeding off Cairo’s repression campaign, which cannot ensure stability indefinitely given the government’s failures on other fronts.
Jun 21, 2019
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Barak Barfi
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
The Gulf Crisis Is a Messaging Nightmare—With No Success in Sight
Nearly two years have lapsed since what was supposed to be a political blitzkrieg against Qatar metastasized into economic and geo-strategic trench warfare. Through effective counter-measures—and despite considerable financial drain—Qatar has seemingly been able to withstand the harsh diplomatic and logistic constraints imposed by Saudi Arabia and the United Arab
Jun 21, 2019
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Hassan Mneimneh
Articles & Testimony
The Dilemma of an Imperfect Ally
There are no optimal options in the current Yemen war, but U.S. policymakers should seize the opportunity to bring Gulf governments into NATO-like agreements that avoid such dilemmas in the future.
Jun 20, 2019
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Elana DeLozier
Brief Analysis
Death of Divisive Morsi Could Unite Egypt’s Opposition
His deep unpopularity made it difficult for many actors at home and abroad to criticize the current government, but Washington still stands to lose rather than gain if it comments on the matter.
Jun 20, 2019
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Haisam Hassanein
Brief Analysis
Iran-Backed Militias Test the Credibility of Iraq’s Prime Minister
Rockets continue to fall on American facilities, part of a deliberate effort to keep Baghdad from making Iraq a neutral crossroads in the region.
Jun 19, 2019
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Michael Knights
Articles & Testimony
Don’t Dismiss the Bahrain Conference. It Can Help Palestinians.
Emphasizing stabilization efforts now while at least mentioning Palestinian statehood just might give the Trump peace plan a chance later.
Jun 19, 2019
◆
Dennis Ross
Articles & Testimony
The Middle East and the U.S.-China 'Trade War'
The price of oil is often directly related to global economic prospects, so Washington’s tariff tiff with Beijing could hit regional states doubly hard.
Jun 19, 2019
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David Pollock
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