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Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Sunni Lebanon: An “Oddity” at Risk
In successive polls, approval of the United States within the Sunni Lebanese community has rated consistently high—a fact that stands in contrast with low numbers in other Sunni Arab populations. Certainly, part of the discrepancy reflects internal Lebanese politics. Sunni Lebanese view Washington, together with Riyadh and Paris, as backers
May 8, 2019
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Hassan Mneimneh
Brief Analysis
Iran’s Six Potential Nuclear Steps
Hoping to pressure Europe into providing more concessions, Tehran may threaten to reduce its commitments under the nuclear deal, but can it avoid escalation with Washington while doing so?
May 7, 2019
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Omer Carmi
Brief Analysis
Why Erdogan Will Win in Istanbul, and What This Means for Turkish Democracy
Despite the opposition’s resilience, the president can use any number of legal, political, or foreign policy tools to ensure his candidate wins this time around, no matter the reputational costs.
May 7, 2019
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Soner Cagaptay
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Co-Opting Politics in Morocco
Morocco was one of the few countries in the Arab World partially spared by the upheaval of the Arab Spring. However, recent regime changes in Algeria and Sudan, along with continued domestic discontent, suggest that Morocco should reexamine its prior response to its domestic version of the Arab Spring—the 20
May 7, 2019
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Mohamed Chtatou
Articles & Testimony
U.S.-Iran, Israel-Gaza Turn Mideast into a Danger Zone Again
American ships and bombers are arriving in the Gulf at a time when nerves are raw and various players are making risky escalation wagers.
May 6, 2019
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Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
Khamenei’s Breaking Point: How to Get Iran Back to the Negotiating Table
The chances of extracting substantial concessions from the current regime are not great, but the odds fall to zero if Washington withholds security assurances or waits for the inevitably chaotic transition period.
May 2, 2019
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Mehdi Khalaji
Articles & Testimony
A Real Plan to End the War in Yemen
If the battle lines stay where they are now, with the capital and largest port still out of government control, then the Iranian-backed Houthis will effectively have won the war.
May 2, 2019
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Michael Knights
Kenneth Pollack
Barbara Walter
Articles & Testimony
The U.S. and Saudi Arabia Can’t Get a Divorce
Even amid growing exasperation over Riyadh’s behavior, realities on the ground and in the global economy show why the relationship is still crucial.
May 1, 2019
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Dennis Ross
Audio
In-Depth Reports
Inside the Trump Administration's Middle East Peace Effort: A Conversation With Jared Kushner
Watch a keynote conversation between White House senior advisor Jared Kushner and Institute executive director Rob Satloff.
Apr 29, 2019
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Jared Kushner
Robert Satloff
Articles & Testimony
The Soviets’ Unbreakable Code
Rather than acknowledge history and face the future, the Russian government keeps celebrating a past in which the people were suppressed, secrecy was championed, and fear nurtured.
Apr 27, 2019
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Anna Borshchevskaya
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Making Sense of Iraq's PMF Arrests
By highlighting the hypocrisy of recent ‘housecleaning’ campaigns, Washington can show the Iraqi public that Iran’s Shia militia networks offer no genuine solution to rampant corruption.
Apr 26, 2019
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Phillip Smyth
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Ahead of Ramadan, Yemen’s Economy is Increasingly Dire
For Muslims, the month of Ramadan marks one of the most expensive periods of the year. Many families will spend up to twice their normal expenditures during the month of Ramadan. The end of the holiday requires further spending in order to purchase clothes and other holiday items for Eid
Apr 25, 2019
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Muneer Bin Wabar
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Congress Can Still Help Shape the Endgame in Syria
Advisers advised, Congress criticized, and ground partners pleaded with President Donald Trump when he decided to rapidly withdraw the roughly 2,000 U.S. troops stationed in Syria. This policy ticked off a box, fulfilling yet another campaign promise to “get out of Syria” and bring U.S. service members home, even if
Apr 25, 2019
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Erica Hanichak
Jameson Cunningham
Brief Analysis
Israel’s Armistice with Hamas, Growing Tensions with Abbas
Releasing the U.S. peace plan could accelerate recent Palestinian political dynamics, with Hamas consolidating its position via ceasefire and reconstruction aid while the PA continues isolating itself.
Apr 24, 2019
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Ehud Yaari
Brief Analysis
Proceeding with Caution in Western Sahara
Given growing uncertainties in other North African states, Washington should avoid any sudden moves on the Sahara file even as it builds on the momentum of recent talks.
Apr 23, 2019
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Sarah Feuer
Articles & Testimony
More Money at the Gas Pump May Be the Price of Pressuring Iran
President Trump may be counting on the fact that U.S. voters oppose both higher gas prices and another war, but in the end he may have to pick one or the other.
Apr 23, 2019
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Simon Henderson
In-Depth Reports
A Fifty-Year Reign? MbS and the Future of Saudi Arabia
Sudden Succession Essay Series
Whether the young Saudi crown prince ultimately ascends to the throne will entail plenty of plot twists, but it also holds serious implications for the kingdom, the region, and U.S. interests.
Apr 22, 2019
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Simon Henderson
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Sudden Succession Essay Series
Brief Analysis
Renewing the Iran Sanctions Waivers (Part 2): Energy and Afghan Trade
Washington should phase out the oil waivers carefully and prevent Chabahar port from becoming an escape valve for Iran.
Apr 22, 2019
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Patrick Clawson
Brief Analysis
Renewing the Iran Sanctions Waivers (Part 1): Nuclear Activities
Neither blanket extension nor wholesale cancellation is the best course, but several of the expiring waivers would serve U.S. interests if properly—and publicly—revised.
Apr 22, 2019
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Patrick Clawson
Articles & Testimony
Does Designation of the Revolutionary Guards Make a Difference?
The handful of new tools in question could expose Iraqi officials to sanctions and criminal liability given Baghdad's energy dependency on Iran.
Apr 18, 2019
◆
Matthew Levitt
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