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Brief Analysis
Iran’s Holiday Prologue to Exploiting Nuclear Loopholes
Although Tehran refrained from using its annual ‘Nuclear Day’ to threaten a wholesale breakout, it seems determined to push the West’s boundaries on centrifuge technology and other issues.
Apr 10, 2019
◆
Omer Carmi
Brief Analysis
The IRGC Designation Couldn’t Come at a Worse Time for Iran
The regime has repeatedly avoided precipitous responses to U.S. sanctions, and it will be even more risk-averse today due to its domestic flood crisis and fears of broader escalation.
Apr 9, 2019
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Omer Carmi
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
The Arab Minority in Israel and the Knesset Elections
Israel is holding its elections for the Knesset on April 9, the 21st parliamentary poll in the country’s history. Of an estimated 5.8 million citizens with voting rights, 16 percent are from Israel’s Arab minority, which makes up around a fifth of Israel’s total population. During the previous Knesset elections
Apr 9, 2019
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Khader Sawaed
Brief Analysis
Algeria’s Long Buildup to Mass Protests
The main drivers of the current crisis have been in play for many years, so Washington should focus on economic and security initiatives that can help Algeria regardless of which new leaders emerge.
Apr 9, 2019
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Sabina Henneberg
Articles & Testimony
IRGC Designation: From Visas to Symbolic Effects
The practical effects may be limited to minor issues such as visa regulations, while the symbolic implications are not in Tehran's favor.
Apr 8, 2019
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Patrick Clawson
Articles & Testimony
What Will IRGC Designation Actually Do?
The administration's message is not a new one, the FTO listing does not add much additional pressure, and the resultant risks to U.S. interests are significant.
Apr 8, 2019
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Matthew Levitt
Articles & Testimony
How Might Tehran Respond to IRGC Designation?
The regime or individual hardline elements could opt for a number of provocations, from detaining foreigners to launching disruptive naval and cyber operations.
Apr 8, 2019
◆
Michael Eisenstadt
Articles & Testimony
Saudi Aramco Reveals Its Financials—and More Secrets
The oil giant’s latest moves will help fund ambitious infrastructure projects, but the implications for foreign investment and economic diversification remain to be seen.
Apr 7, 2019
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Simon Henderson
Video
Brief Analysis
Bibi vs. Benny: A Conversation on the Eve of Israel's Elections
Three veteran political observers discuss the status of each campaign and what a victory by either side might mean for Israeli policy.
Apr 5, 2019
◆
Ehud Yaari
Tal Shalev
David Makovsky
Brief Analysis
After the Islamic State, Renewed Urgency for Religious Reform
The IS “caliphate” may have perished, but its ideology and capacity for future outbreaks will persist unless more vigorous reforms are instituted.
Apr 5, 2019
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Dina Al Raffie
Articles & Testimony
Erdogan Should Seize the Chance for Change in Turkey
The president seems pragmatic enough to recognize when he is beat and refocus his efforts on normalizing the severely polarized political system.
Apr 5, 2019
◆
Soner Cagaptay
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Yemen: Can Aid Alleviate Human Suffering?
Despite its relatively small size, Yemen is one of the most populous areas in the Arabian Peninsula, with a population of over 28 million. The number of people affected by the war in Yemen is correspondingly large: according to some estimates, more than 20 million people need humanitarian assistance and
Apr 3, 2019
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Muneer Bin Wabar
Brief Analysis
Bouteflika Resigns: Next Steps in Uncharted Territory
The accelerating pace of events calls for a careful U.S. response, since instability in Algeria could cause significant disruptions in North Africa, the Mediterranean, energy markets, and counterterrorism.
Apr 3, 2019
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Ben Fishman
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
A Renewed Maghreb Union Can Counter North Africa's Imminent Threats
On the thirtieth anniversary of the establishment of the Arab Maghreb Union, one cannot help but wonder about the lessons learned from the failure of this project of Maghreb integration. The union was a coherent, fully-fledged geographic and regional block that included more than a hundred million people from the
Apr 3, 2019
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Mohammed Issam Laaroussi
Articles & Testimony
Nuclear Issues Sharpen Focus on U.S.-Saudi Relations
Those who favor helping the Saudis develop their nuclear industry are running up against skeptics who fear Riyadh cannot be trusted with such capabilities.
Apr 2, 2019
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Simon Henderson
Articles & Testimony
How to Make Trump’s Israeli-Palestinian Peace Plan Work
Resuming conditional aid to the PA is the best way to bolster peace diplomacy, or help ensure stability if the process founders.
Apr 2, 2019
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Michael Singh
Brief Analysis
Iran’s Missile Defiance: Potential Threats to Europe, the Gulf, and Israel
Tehran can be expected to continue its provocations amid Western pressure on its missile activities, issuing further threats against U.S. allies and showing off new systems.
Mar 29, 2019
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Farzin Nadimi
Articles & Testimony
Golan Policy May Invite Israel’s Right to Annex West Bank Territory. That Would Spell Disaster.
If the Trump administration wants its peace plan to have any chance of success, it must announce soon that it will oppose any unilateral steps toward annexation.
Mar 29, 2019
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Dennis Ross
David Makovsky
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
A Turn Towards Idlib in Syria – Is the Goal to ‘Achieve Homogeneity’ in the Country?
Like any other country, Syria has its fair share of local quirks; almost every region is at the receiving end of bawdy jokes or even outright mockery. The same holds true for Idlib, whose inhabitants enjoy the rather dubious reputation—at least in Damascus—of being stubborn, somewhat backwards, and receptive to
Mar 29, 2019
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Daniel Gerlach
In-Depth Reports
The Center and the Right:
Examining Israel's Realigned Politics
In the Israeli elections scheduled for April 9, the old left-right fault lines will no longer apply. They have yielded to a center-right split, mirroring an increasingly conservative electorate, with recent data suggesting 63 percent of Israeli Jews identify with the political right. This makes the path for the centrist
Mar 28, 2019
◆
David Makovsky
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