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Brief Analysis
UNRWA Funding Cutoff: What Next?
Despite the attendant risks and public outcry, Washington’s decision to halt all aid to the agency could spur some reform without drastically affecting its core humanitarian services.
Sep 6, 2018
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James G. Lindsay
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Sanctions May Lead to Regime Change in Iran, but What Then?
The continually escalating war of words between Iran and the United States suggests that the Middle East will have much at stake in the coming months as sanctions take effect. The U.S. administration has made repeated assertions that “regime change” and “military action” against Iran are not on the agenda
Sep 6, 2018
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Abdelillah Bendaoudi
Brief Analysis
IRGC Navy Leadership Change May Not Signal Imminent Behavior Change
Despite the appointment of a radical anti-American commander, Iran’s naval forces are unlikely to resume frequent provocations without a strategic shift at the very top of the regime.
Sep 5, 2018
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Farzin Nadimi
Articles & Testimony
Afghanistan Central to Pompeo’s Meeting with Pakistani PM
President Trump is likely expecting some progress to emerge from this week’s diplomacy, but ongoing concerns with Islamabad’s stances on terrorism, Iran, and other issues mean he shouldn’t hold his breath.
Sep 4, 2018
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Simon Henderson
Articles & Testimony
The al-Qaeda of Today Has Changed Since 9/11 and the U.S Must Adapt
Washington needs to do a better job of defeating the group's local political strategy and fighting the war holistically.
Sep 4, 2018
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Daniel Green
Articles & Testimony
Hezbollah’s Criminal and Terrorist Operations in Europe
As authorities consider correcting a past mistake and designating the group in its entirety, long-held assumptions about its European activities must be put to rest.
Sep 2, 2018
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Matthew Levitt
Articles & Testimony
The Rise of the Cyber-Mercenaries
What happens when private Middle Eastern firms have cyberweapons as powerful as those owned by governments?
Sep 1, 2018
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Neri Zilber
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Contextualizing Jihad and Takfir in the Sunni Conceptual Framework
The concepts of jihad and the charge of unbelief on a Muslim or non-Muslim known as takfir have evoked mixed and dreaded reactions among many in Western countries, where the concepts often make headlines and are presented without context to those who may not have personal interactions with mainstream interpretations
Aug 31, 2018
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Robert Rabil
Articles & Testimony
Hezbollah’s International Presence and Operations
An in-depth look at the terrorist group's ongoing activities in a multitude of countries, and the steps that government agencies are taking to counter them.
Aug 31, 2018
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Matthew Levitt
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Contextualizing Jihad and Takfir in the Shi’a Conceptual Framework
The nuances of jurisprudential difference between Sunni and Shi’a concepts of jihad have been more or less shaped by the history of the Shi’a community and by the approach of the Shi’a religious scholars to politics. Though the Shi’a concept of jihad has not infrequently aligned with that of Sunnism
Aug 31, 2018
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Robert Rabil
Brief Analysis
Taking It Slow at Jordan’s Nasib Border Crossing with Syria
Besides raising security concerns, rushing to reopen the crossing would yield far fewer economic benefits than implementing recommended IMF reforms.
Aug 30, 2018
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Ben Fishman
Brief Analysis
Iran’s Response to Sanctions? Ignore Them
The current Iranian narrative—that economic problems stem from domestic mistakes rather than foreign pressure—complicates the U.S. policy of using sanctions to force change.
Aug 29, 2018
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Patrick Clawson
Articles & Testimony
Trump Wants to Help Israel by Cutting Aid to Palestinians. Why Are Some Israelis Worried?
Top IDF officials believe cuts could deepen the economic crisis in the West Bank and Gaza, put thousands of Palestinians out of work, and ultimately lead to violence.
Aug 29, 2018
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Neri Zilber
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Protests in Southern Algeria: Causes and Repercussions
Protesters in the Algerian province of Ouargla took unprecedented action late last month and boycotted a concert on July 27 by holding communal evening prayers at the concert venue. The protesters hoisted placards condemning the marginalization, exclusion, and discrimination practiced against them for decades. These developed into calls for broader
Aug 29, 2018
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Ahmed Marwane
Brief Analysis
Breaking the Stalemate in the Egypt-Ethiopia Dam Dispute
Cairo needs Washington's help to avoid a drastic, potentially destabilizing water shortage while advancing the negotiations with Ethiopia.
Aug 28, 2018
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Barak Barfi
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Former Saudi and Iranian Diplomats Agree: The Region is Stuck
Saudi Arabia and Iran are not often presented as being ‘in dialogue.’ Yet on January 29, 2018, two former Saudi and Iranian diplomats discussed a host of key issues at the Joint Special Operations University in Tampa, Florida. Prince Turki al-Faisal Al-Saud of the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia and Ambassador
Aug 27, 2018
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Andrew Ledford
Banafsheh Keynoush
Brief Analysis
Saudi Arabia’s Confusing Signals
A further delay in the Saudi Aramco sell-off adds to a growing picture of policy unpredictability.
Aug 24, 2018
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Simon Henderson
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Druze Communities Face a Regional Decline in Influence
August 26, 2018 — Regional turmoil has forced the generally secretive Druze minority into the limelight. With its leaders losing the influence that has so far protected the community, the Druze must take seriously the threat of disappearing altogether.
Aug 24, 2018
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Mona Alami
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Tel Aviv Protests: While Arabs and Jews Unite, Fake News Divides
On the night of August 11, tens of thousands of Arab-Israelis and Jewish-Israelis marched from Rabin Square to the plaza of the Tel Aviv Museum in central Tel Aviv, protesting the recently passed Nation State Law. The demonstrators held up placards demanding equality, justice, a repeal of the law, and
Aug 23, 2018
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Neri Zilber
Brief Analysis
Syrian Refugees in Turkey
The continued difficulty of integrating so many displaced people could make Ankara more amenable to a political solution that ends the war and allows large numbers of them to return home.
Aug 22, 2018
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Soner Cagaptay
Maya Yalkin
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