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Brief Analysis
Iran’s ‘Resistance’ Bloc Rises amid New U.S. Sanctions
Hardliners see the latest pressure as proof that defiance works better than compromise—an attitude they are likely to change only if the pressure intensifies.
Oct 29, 2018
◆
Mehdi Khalaji
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Gorran: A Party of Words, not Deeds
Among the opposition parties operating in Iraqi Kurdistan, the largest is the Gorran Movement (Movement for Change). Founded in 2009 by Nawshirwan Mustafa, former Deputy Secretary of the Patriotic Union of Kurdistan (PUK), the Gorran movement advocates for reform measures and its members have vowed to fight against corruption, nepotism
Oct 29, 2018
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Hawkar Abdullah Azeez
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
New Polls Show Most Gazans Want Israeli Jobs, Not Hamas Mobs
Over the past weekend, the Hamas rulers of Gaza took one old and two new steps. They launched more incendiary balloons at Israeli villages; they condemned Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu’s official visit to Sultan Qaboos in Oman; and they equated the Pittsburgh synagogue massacre to the “terror” of “Israeli occupation.”
Oct 29, 2018
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David Pollock
Brief Analysis
Iran’s Economy Is Stagnating Even Before New U.S. Sanctions Hit
The impact of imminent sanctions will be magnified by the economy’s recent struggles, and Tehran’s bad financial policies will only make matters worse.
Oct 29, 2018
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Patrick Clawson
Articles & Testimony
A Window of Opportunity Has Just Opened in Iraq. Will the U.S. Act?
The triumvirate of leaders to emerge from this year’s elections are strongly associated with nonsectarian, pragmatic government.
Oct 27, 2018
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Bilal Wahab
Brief Analysis
Netanyahu Visits Oman
The high-profile nature of the meeting reaffirms Israel’s success in developing ties with Gulf states, as well as the independent character of Oman’s leader.
Oct 26, 2018
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Simon Henderson
Assaf Orion
Brief Analysis
Iran’s Anti-Western ‘Blueprint’ for the Next Fifty Years
Khamenei’s latest guidelines for Iranian culture and governance focus on resisting any efforts to reform the regime’s decisionmaking tendencies.
Oct 24, 2018
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Mehdi Khalaji
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Why Hariri Has More to Lose and Hezbollah More to Gain in the New Lebanese Government
On May 24, in the aftermath of the parliamentary elections held earlier that month, Lebanon’s incumbent Prime Minister Saad Hariri was tasked with forming the next cabinet. Nonetheless, while Hariri’s Future Movement remains the biggest Sunni-led party in the Lebanese government, Hezbollah and its allies were able to win the
Oct 22, 2018
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Mona Alami
Brief Analysis
What Does Khashoggi’s Murder Tell Us About the Saudi Power Structure?
The prospect of MbS ruling for decades was once thought to portend stability for the kingdom, but that judgment now seems premature.
Oct 22, 2018
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Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
Why Does Hezbollah Want Lebanon’s Health Ministry?
Iran’s economic problems have reportedly decreased the flow of financial patronage to the group, forcing it to seek another slush fund at home.
Oct 19, 2018
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Hanin Ghaddar
Brief Analysis
Delicate Diplomacy in Western Sahara
As the UN mulls the future of the peacekeeping mission, Washington should proceed cautiously in encouraging negotiations to avoid undermining essential alliances.
Oct 18, 2018
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Sarah Feuer
Articles & Testimony
Why the Release of Pastor Andrew Brunson Is a Good Sign for U.S.-Turkey Ties
Differences remain between Trump and Erdogan, but the two leaders are now talking again about vital issues such as Russian missile purchases, Syrian jihadists, and the Gulen movement.
Oct 18, 2018
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Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
Sisi’s Anti-Israel Rhetoric: New Speeches, Old Problems
Despite broadening official cooperation between the two states, he is increasingly embracing the old approach of telling Egyptians that Israel is the enemy.
Oct 17, 2018
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Haisam Hassanein
Articles & Testimony
Of Course Saudi Arabia’s Leader Doesn’t Fear U.S. Fury. We Give Him Everything He Wants.
With friends like these in Washington, no wonder the crown prince believes he can get away with outrageous actions.
Oct 17, 2018
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Simon Henderson
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Gaïd Salah and the Future of the Algerian Army
As the question of succession dominates public concerns in Algeria, divisions between Algerian President Bouteflika’s supporters and opponents have deepened among political, military, administrative, and economic elites. Intractable political conflicts resulting from the inability to decide over who holds the power of veto for succession have characterized the fourth term
Oct 16, 2018
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Abdelillah Bendaoudi
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Syria’s War is Not Over
Conversations on the future of Syria have increasingly shifted to reconstruction and ‘the day after,’ with international calls for an end to the Syrian regime, significantly weakened as a result of years of war and suffering. During an October 2 seminar on conflict mediation in Sweden, UN Special Envoy for
Oct 16, 2018
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Mohamad Kamal al-Labwani
Articles & Testimony
Russia Giving Syria the S-300 Is More Message Than Menace
The system’s familiarity and potentially minimal, nonintegrated deployment mean that U.S. and Israeli pilots have little to fear from Moscow’s announcement.
Oct 16, 2018
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Anna Borshchevskaya
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
How Is the Saudi Public Likely Responding to the Crisis over Khashoggi’s Disappearance? The Popularity of Riyadh’s “Reformist Repression”
The mysterious and deeply troubling disappearance of noted Saudi political commentator Jamal Khashoggi at the Saudi consulate in Istanbul has refocused attention on the paradox of Saudi “reformist repression.” Secretary of State Mike Pompeo’s arrival in Saudi Arabia highlights the seriousness of this episode, and if Saudi agents were indeed
Oct 16, 2018
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David Pollock
Articles & Testimony
Khashoggi Case Could Be Death of U.S.-Saudi Friendship
The crisis casts doubt on whether Western officials can continue excusing the crown prince’s domestic authoritarianism.
Oct 15, 2018
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Simon Henderson
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Haftar on Algeria: Testing the Waters
In a September meeting with local dignitaries in Libya, Field Marshal and head of the Libyan National Army Khalifa Haftar accused the Algerian army of exploiting the state of war in order to enter Libya. Haftar claimed to have communicated his objections to Algerian authorities, adding that “Algeria is not
Oct 15, 2018
◆
Ahmed Marwane
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