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Articles & Testimony
The Great Middle Eastern War of 2019
Far from simply replaying the 2006 Lebanon war, the next conflict on Israel’s northern frontier will likely involve many more actors on multiple fronts, raising unprecedented challenges for escalation management.
Aug 20, 2018
◆
Nadav Ben Hour
Michael Eisenstadt
Video
Brief Analysis
Turkey Sanctions: Navigating a Historic Bilateral Crisis
Three experts examine the past drivers and near-term consequences of Washington’s rapidly escalating diplomatic conflict with Ankara.
Aug 17, 2018
◆
Amanda Sloat
Max Hoffman
Steven Cook
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Kurdish Cultural Freedoms are Possible in Syria—But Not Political Autonomy
From their establishment in 1957 up to the present time, Kurdish political movements in Syria have focused on demanding national rights for the Kurds, couching cultural rights within a package of political demands. With the outbreak of the Syrian revolt in 2011, the emergence of armed conflict, and the resulting
Aug 16, 2018
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Hussain Zaidou
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Iraq Needs a Leader with Vision
Since the fall of Saddam Hussein’s regime, the Iraqi state has successfully weathered a series of security crises that united the public against a common enemy. For example, during the war with the Islamic State of Iraq and Syria (ISIS), Iraqis from different backgrounds joined forces and rallied behind the
Aug 16, 2018
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Hamzeh Hadad
Muhammad Al-Waeli
Brief Analysis
Setting Limits on the Saudi Air Campaign in Yemen
The United States can greatly reduce civilian deaths by asking the Saudis to cease non-battlefield airstrikes in return for greater U.S. support on defensive arrangements.
Aug 16, 2018
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Michael Knights
Brief Analysis
Iran's Passive Defense Organization: Another Target for Sanctions
Despite its nominal defense role, the NPDO has helped the regime repress citizens online, a function that Washington should counter with sanctions.
Aug 16, 2018
◆
Farzin Nadimi
Articles & Testimony
Turkey’s Economy May Be in Freefall, But Erdogan’s Base Believes He Can Do No Wrong
The president has cultivated an adoring crowd of inflexible ‘Erdoganists’ who feed on the politics of resentment and reject Ataturk’s pro-Western legacy entirely.
Aug 16, 2018
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Soner Cagaptay
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
'Futurism' is Shaping up as an Alternative to Islamism, and It May Need to Be Protected from Its Champions
The nation-state system in the Middle East is almost a century old and has now witnessed the rise and fall of four “grand narratives”—Modernism, Arab Nationalism, Revolutionary Socialism, and Islamism. These were frameworks that shaped cultural and political understandings of current conditions, as well as the path towards the narratives’
Aug 16, 2018
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Hassan Mneimneh
Articles & Testimony
Iran Is Throwing a Tantrum but Wants a Deal
Defiant warnings aside, Tehran will eventually negotiate with President Trump—as long as Vladimir Putin mediates.
Aug 15, 2018
◆
Dennis Ross
Brief Analysis
Khamenei Attacks Moderates as Source of Iran's Problems
Hardliners have been exploiting the recurrent unrest as an excuse to lambaste the government’s economic track record, interfere with its prerogatives in various sectors, and double down on the Supreme Leader’s 'resistance' strategy.
Aug 15, 2018
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Mehdi Khalaji
Articles & Testimony
Royal Family Politics Could Resolve Saudi Spat with Canada
The king has refused to be sidelined during the crown prince’s other recent instances of overreach, so he may intervene in this episode as well.
Aug 15, 2018
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Simon Henderson
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Seeing Saudi Changes Up Close: A Week's Worth of Surprises
The Saudi kingdom’s grinding proxy war against Iran and its allies in Yemen, its long-delayed decision to grant women the right to drive, and most recently its bizarre feud with Canada over arrested Saudi dissidents have all captured international attention and propelled much heated discussion about the country’s internal affairs
Aug 13, 2018
◆
David Pollock
Video
Brief Analysis
Iraq, Iran, and U.S. Strategy: A Trip Report
Three experts offer insights gleaned from their post-election fieldwork and high-level meetings in Baghdad and the Kurdistan Regional Government.
Aug 10, 2018
◆
Geneive Abdo
Nussaibah Younis
Michael Knights
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Assessing Jordan’s National Strategy to Combat Violent Extremism
In mid-December 2016, a terrorist cell carried out an operation in southern Jordan that began in the desert town of Qatraneh and culminated at the historic site of the Kerak Castle. The attack left four terrorists, four police personnel, three gendarmes, two civilians, and one Canadian tourist dead and dozens
Aug 10, 2018
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Saud Al-Sharafat
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
In Southern Iraq, Iran’s Intentions Backfire
Iraqi media is currently reporting that the Basra protests—which have spread to Wasit, Maysan, Dhi Qar, and Karbala provinces—resulted solely from the energy crisis and rising unemployment. However, the truth is that these major economic and political crises emerged as a result of the increase of Iranian influence in Iraq
Aug 9, 2018
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Haitham Numan
Brief Analysis
Women, Minorities, and Military Aid to Egypt
As the next deadline for FMF disbursement approaches, the administration should remember that U.S. law requires it to consider Cairo’s recent track record on human rights.
Aug 9, 2018
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Amy Austin Holmes
Articles & Testimony
Iran's Deadly Diplomats
As investigators dig more deeply into a recent plot, they will soon confirm that it is not a rogue action, but rather the action of a rogue regime.
Aug 8, 2018
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Matthew Levitt
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
How Lessons from Algeria Can Shape Iraq
After its military defeat in Iraq, the Islamic State (IS) has transformed from a governing entity to a scattered organization. Nonetheless, due to the worldwide spread of extremism, it is still necessary to combat the group’s ideology, which can easily be developed and spread by other extremist organizations. Luckily, the
Aug 8, 2018
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Abdelillah Bendaoudi
Articles & Testimony
A Horrible Game Changer
Washington's frustration regarding UNRWA reform and budgetary issues is understandable, but cutting off aid indefinitely will only destabilize Gaza and Jordan.
Aug 8, 2018
◆
Ghaith al-Omari
Articles & Testimony
U.S. Sanctions Could Hurt Turkish Economy but Strengthen Erdogan
An economic meltdown may simply push his supporters to dig in on a worldview that posits unending Western assaults against the Turkish nation and wider Muslim community.
Aug 7, 2018
◆
Soner Cagaptay
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