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In-Depth Reports
A Tale of Six Tribes: Securing the Middle Euphrates River Valley
THE ISLAMIC STATE is now largely defeated militarily, with the U.S.-backed Syrian Democratic Forces taking the eastern bank of the Euphrates River and a mosaic of largely Iran- and Russia-supported Assad-regime forces taking areas west of the river. As anti-IS operations wind down and the Trump administration considers its options
Jun 21, 2018
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Andrew J. Tabler
Articles & Testimony
Four Things to Watch in Turkey's Elections
The formation of a large opposition block and other electoral dynamics are clouding Erdogan’s longer-term political future.
Jun 21, 2018
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Soner Cagaptay
Articles & Testimony
OPEC Nations, Including Iran, Subject to Moscow-Riyadh Decisions
The cartel’s latest meetings may solidify a Saudi-Russian axis on oil, and could portend future diplomatic cooperation and military sales as well.
Jun 21, 2018
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Simon Henderson
Articles & Testimony
Could Russia Flip Egypt?
For too long, U.S. policymakers have tailored their approach toward Cairo as if Washington were the only player in the sandbox.
Jun 21, 2018
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Anna Borshchevskaya
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Will U.S. Policy Allow IS to Reemerge?
When asked at a March 28th press conference whether he still favored pulling U.S. troops out of Syria, President Donald Trump responded to the question with the statement “I want to get out. I want to bring our troops back home. I want to start rebuilding our nation.” At a
Jun 21, 2018
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Abdelillah Bendaoudi
Articles & Testimony
There Is Hope for Democracy in Turkey, Even If Erdogan Wins Again
Three ascending candidates are whittling away at Erdogan's base, posing a long-term challenge to his rule even if they can't unseat him in this election.
Jun 20, 2018
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Soner Cagaptay
Articles & Testimony
Erdogan Enters Turkish Elections with More Power but Less Support
The president will probably become even more authoritarian in the coming months, knowing that a majority of citizens would vote him out in a fair election.
Jun 20, 2018
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Soner Cagaptay
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Electoral Reform: What’s Really Needed in Iraq
Among accusations of elections fraud and the burning of a warehouse storing half of Baghdad’s ballot boxes, Iraq’s electoral process appears to have experienced a dramatic challenge to its credibility. However, Iraqi voters’ disaffection with the polling process is longstanding and was openly expressed through a major boycott of the
Jun 19, 2018
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Lina Musawy
Articles & Testimony
Saudi Reform and Security Through a Gulf Lens
Encouraging more liberal policies remains difficult when America’s Gulf partners believe certain reforms run counter to their security interests.
Jun 19, 2018
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Lori Plotkin Boghardt
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Thomas Parker’s Response to David Pollock’s “Iran, Israel, Syria, and the U.S.: Views From China"
David Pollock’s thoughtful item on Chinese views of the Middle East reminded me of my periodic discussions with Chinese officials over the years on the same subject. Overall, China has a negative opinion of the U.S. role in the region—though Beijing’s views are sometimes nuanced and occasionally outright positive. Why
Jun 19, 2018
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Thomas Parker
Articles & Testimony
A Path Forward for Team Trump on Israel and Gaza: Follow Nickolay Mladenov's Lead
Using the money cut from UNRWA to restore electricity, water, and sewage treatment in Gaza could help prevent another conflict and reopen peace diplomacy.
Jun 18, 2018
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Dennis Ross
Brief Analysis
Iran's Vulnerabilities to U.S. Sanctions (Part 2): Working Smarter, Not Harder
Pending policy decisions on reimposing sanctions will give Washington opportunities to calibrate its arsenal of measures against illicit Iranian financial activity.
Jun 18, 2018
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Katherine Bauer
Articles & Testimony
If a Trump-Iran Summit Happens, Ayatollah So
With little risk for the United States, making the offer would provide an opportunity to restate important non-nuclear demands and show the Iranian people their leaders’ true priorities.
Jun 18, 2018
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David Pollock
Articles & Testimony
Arab Leaders Need to Play a More Prominent Role on Peace-Making Than They Ever Have Before
By securing regional buy-in for a new peace plan before making it public, Washington has a much better chance of getting the Palestinians back to the negotiating table.
Jun 15, 2018
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Dennis Ross
Brief Analysis
Iran’s Vulnerabilities to U.S. Sanctions (Part 1): Finding the Weak Spots
The regime’s most vulnerable point is its precarious banking system, whose persistent mismanagement, capital shortfalls, and lack of transparency have already sparked public protests.
Jun 14, 2018
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Patrick Clawson
Articles & Testimony
Quarter-Million Lives at Risk in Latest Battle for Yemen
Now that the operation has begun, bipartisan congressional threats to sever U.S. military assistance because of humanitarian concerns will be tested.
Jun 14, 2018
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Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
In Search of a New Patron, the KRG Turns Back to Moscow
As the Iraqi Kurds reach out to Russia, the Kremlin’s sway over their politics and energy resources is growing.
Jun 14, 2018
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Anna Borshchevskaya
Bilal Wahab
Articles & Testimony
No Going Back:
The UAE's Strategic Move in Hodeidah Should Bring to a Close the First Phase of Yemen's War
Despite significant logistical and diplomatic challenges, liberating the port is vital to providing more humanitarian relief and meeting coalition war aims.
Jun 14, 2018
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Michael Knights
Brief Analysis
Jordan’s Economic Protests: Repackaging Reform
A new government, delayed tax hikes, and extra Gulf aid can alleviate unrest for now, but such measures cannot mask the kingdom’s fundamental need for unpopular economic reforms.
Jun 13, 2018
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Ghaith al-Omari
Ben Fishman
Articles & Testimony
Yemen Is Not a Sideshow
Curbing Iran's foreign meddling and ending the cycle of destructive fighting will require greater political engagement by the Trump administration.
Jun 12, 2018
◆
Barbara A. Leaf
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