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Brief Analysis
The IRGC May Try to Divert Iraq's Electricity Payments
As Baghdad prepares to send large back payments to Tehran, any misappropriation could threaten the flow of electricity to Iraq and bolster sanctioned entities in Iran.
Apr 5, 2018
◆
Michael Knights
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Who Holds the Key to Peace with Israel?
Why were the doors of peace with Israel closed? Why were they surrounded by walls casting accusations of treason and unbelief at all those who draw near, even though all the divinely-revealed scriptures – the Torah, the New Testament, and the Quran – confirm that the Jews are an authentic
Apr 5, 2018
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Abdulhameed Hakeem
Brief Analysis
Bahrain Enters the Oil Big League
The kingdom's discovery of a huge new oil field could change the economic and political fortunes of a key Gulf ally.
Apr 4, 2018
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Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
Iran's Support to Houthi Air Defenses in Yemen
In addition to preventing the entry of smuggled Iranian air-defense systems, Washington should work with the Saudi-led coalition to blunt the impact of evolving Houthi SAM tactics.
Apr 4, 2018
◆
Farzin Nadimi
Michael Knights
Brief Analysis
Turkish-Russian-Iranian Summit: Limits to a Tripartite Entente
Although any attempts at coordinated action will be hampered by historical rivalries and modern disagreements, Moscow and Tehran can still use the Ankara meeting to harm U.S. interests in Syria.
Apr 3, 2018
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Soner Cagaptay
Anna Borshchevskaya
Nader Uskowi
Brief Analysis
Tehran's Financial Woes Will Test U.S. Policy Resolve
Mike Pompeo and John Bolton will have ample opportunity to punish Iran through sanctions and other moves, but simply articulating clear, achievable U.S. goals could prove a formidable challenge.
Apr 3, 2018
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Jay Solomon
Brief Analysis
How Will Iran Prepare for Potential U.S. Withdrawal from the JCPOA?
Tehran seems to believe that President Trump will kill the deal next month, so it may start prepping its dormant nuclear facilities, sowing division between U.S. allies, or courting other global powers.
Apr 3, 2018
◆
Omer Carmi
Articles & Testimony
The Gaza Crisis and the Clash to Come
The spike in violence and threats of new sanctions will only exacerbate months of simmering tensions between Hamas and the Palestinian Authority.
Apr 3, 2018
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Ghaith al-Omari
Grant Rumley
Articles & Testimony
Gaza Protests Spark Deadly Violence Along Israeli Border
The recent clashes were intended as the first salvo in a longer-term border confrontation, so the potential for escalation is high.
Apr 3, 2018
◆
Ghaith al-Omari
Articles & Testimony
The May 1948 Vote That Made the State of Israel
It has long been accepted that Israel's founders settled two burning issues in closely decided votes just days before the state's birth, but that conventional wisdom is only half right.
Apr 2, 2018
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Martin Kramer
Brief Analysis
Sisi's Reelection and Egypt's Next Political Establishment
The president now has all the time he needs to continue restocking the political system with handpicked youths while snuffing out the opposition for good.
Apr 2, 2018
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Haisam Hassanein
Articles & Testimony
If Trump Walks Away from the Iran Deal, Tehran Will Win
Far from making Washington look tough, abandoning the JCPOA would ignore the real threat and empower Iran to continue seeking regional hegemony.
Apr 2, 2018
◆
Dennis Ross
Video
Brief Analysis
Evolution of the Palestinian Authority Security Forces
The PASF have become a dependable peace partner, but can they maintain stability amid U.S. aid cuts and imminent political storms?
Apr 2, 2018
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Neri Zilber
Ghaith al-Omari
Brief Analysis
Mismanagement Leaves Iran's Economy Vulnerable
Findings from a new IMF report imply that greater U.S. pressure would have considerable impact on the country's shock-prone economy.
Mar 30, 2018
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Patrick Clawson
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Do we need an Arab Index of Terrorism?
An index is a quantitative, statistical measurement tool by which observed events, trends, and natural and human phenomena are converted to units and numbers. It serves two basic purposes: first, to identify the size of the problem and accurately measure it in order to grasp the current situation; and second
Mar 29, 2018
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Saud Al-Sharafat
In-Depth Reports
Beyond Security: Steps Toward Warmer Egypt-Israel Relations
Nearly four decades after Egypt and Israel signed their peace treaty, security cooperation between the former foes is arguably stronger than ever. Limited economic cooperation also prevails through Qualifying Industrial Zones, areas in which Egyptians manufacture products using Israeli materials, thereafter exporting the goods to the United States duty-free. Yet
Mar 29, 2018
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Haisam Hassanein
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
2018 Iraqi Elections: Three Observations Doubts the Effectiveness of the Next Government
In May 2018, Iraqis will again dip their forefingers in that purple ink and choose their representatives for Parliament. Unlike previous elections, this election has a unique taste of importance as it comes right after the declaration of victory against IS (Islamic State) in Iraq. The next parliament will form
Mar 29, 2018
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Ali Adnan Mohammed
Articles & Testimony
Iranian Clergy Versus Democracy
With neither reform nor revolution likely to succeed in the near future, the Islamic Republic's essential flaws may become fatal.
Mar 29, 2018
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Mehdi Khalaji
Articles & Testimony
Putin's Dictatorship—and Antisemitism
The Russian leader has long exploited anti-Jewish politicians and rhetoric to further his own authoritarian goals.
Mar 29, 2018
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Anna Borshchevskaya
Maps & Graphics
In-Depth Reports
State with No Army, Army with No State
Evolution of the Palestinian Authority Security Forces, 1994–2018
No institution embodies the move toward Palestinian self-determination quite like the Palestinian Authority security forces (PASF). Created in the wake of the Oslo Accords, the PASF encompasses a collection of gendarmerie, police, intelligence, and civil defense services that has played a crucial role, for both good and ill, in every
Mar 27, 2018
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Neri Zilber
Ghaith al-Omari
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