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Articles & Testimony
Will Qatar's Diplomatic Exile Spark the Next Great War?
The Sunni Gulf powers have long been spoiling for a fight with Iran, and this could be just the excuse they need.
Jun 5, 2017
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Simon Henderson
Articles & Testimony
The Scramble for Eastern Syria
Washington's best option is to let the Assad regime expend its energy pushing out toward the Euphrates while preparing for the advance to stall, as it appears likely to do.
Jun 3, 2017
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Andrew J. Tabler
Military Victory in Mosul Likely to Lift P.M. Abadi's Reelection Campaign
Without a concrete plan for the aftermath of the city's fall, a very complex multilateral conflict may soon erupt in northern Iraq.
Jun 2, 2017
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Bilal Wahab
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Syria’s Christians: A Personal Story of a Stolen Legacy
Depending upon whom you talk to, anywhere from six to sixteen ethnic groups constitute the Syrian population, with the main six groups being: Sunni Muslim; Shiite Muslim (Alawite and Ismaili); Christian; Druze; Kurd; Circassian; and the stateless Palestinian refugees and their descendants. The Christians are not foreign to the Syrian
Jun 1, 2017
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Lamis Khalilova
Brief Analysis
Contain Iran? Fine, But Answer These Questions First
Whatever understandings the Trump administration reaches after the Islamic State is defeated, it needs to be clear about the stakes: if America does not stop the Iranians in Syria and Iraq, they will soon emerge as the region's dominant force.
Jun 1, 2017
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James Jeffrey
Articles & Testimony
Trump, Qatar, and Shifting Sands in the Gulf
Some U.S. officials share Saudi and Emirati concerns about Qatar's policies toward Islamist groups, Iran, and other destabilizing regional forces.
Jun 1, 2017
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Lori Plotkin Boghardt
Brief Analysis
Preventing Allies from Fighting Each Other in Iraq's Disputed Areas
As the Islamic State attempts to regenerate in tense multiethnic areas, Washington should view Arab-Kurdish dispute resolution as an essential counterterrorism mission, not an uncertain nation-building enterprise.
May 31, 2017
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Michael Knights
Brief Analysis
Iran Tweaks Gulf-Qatar Rift
A row has erupted among GCC heavyweights only days after President Trump left Riyadh, potentially undermining the agreed policy of containing Iran.
May 30, 2017
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Simon Henderson
Articles & Testimony
The Cynical Conspiracy War on Egypt's Christians
The Muslim Brotherhood isn't behind the callous mass murder of Copts, but it's certainly fanning the flames of hatred.
May 27, 2017
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Eric Trager
Articles & Testimony
Trump's Trip: Shades of Bill Clinton
His first overseas tour signaled a possible return to traditional American foreign policy, but all the symbolism will mean little without tough follow-up diplomacy to back it up.
May 26, 2017
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James Jeffrey
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Growing Risk of International Confrontation in the Syrian Desert
Various players have been rushing to secure their spot in former Islamic State strongholds that will be strategically important to the next phase of the war.
May 26, 2017
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Fabrice Balanche
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Has Mohammed VI Succeeded in Reining in the Islamists?
May 25th, 2017 On his return from an extended African trip in March, Mohammed VI removed and replaced Prime Minister Abdelilah Benkirane with Saadeddine Othmani as head of government-designate. The Islamist party, realizing the seriousness of the situation, reviewed their political position and instructed Othmani to opt for malleability and
May 25, 2017
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Mohamed Chtatou
In-Depth Reports
The Trump Administration and Libya:
The Necessity for Engagement
With President Donald Trump participating in his first international summits, several of America's EU and Gulf allies will be considering the future of Libya. Trump's statement in April that he sees no role for the United States in Libya not only signaled a lack of interest in the fragile state
May 24, 2017
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Ben Fishman
Brief Analysis
Manchester Attack Highlights Foreign Fighters in Libya
Even as the Islamic State continues to lose territory, its evolution in Libya since 2014 should convince Western authorities not to underestimate its capacity for directing lethal attacks abroad.
May 24, 2017
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Aaron Y. Zelin
Did Trump Give Erdogan License to Kill PKK Militants Inside Iraq?
A Turkey expert reads between the lines of the latest meeting between the two presidents, assessing whether policy changes are afoot on Syria, the Kurds, and other issues.
May 24, 2017
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Soner Cagaptay
Trump Mideast Trip Marks a Shift from Obama
A veteran U.S. diplomat assesses President Trump’s message during his first regional tour and the implications for U.S. foreign policy.
May 24, 2017
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Dennis Ross
Brief Analysis
To Stop the New Hezbollah, Think Regionally
Despite setbacks in Syria, and anxieties over a potential future conflict with Israel, the group has substantially widened its reach in recent years.
May 24, 2017
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Hanin Ghaddar
Brief Analysis
The Trump Effect in Bahrain
The latest crackdown by Bahraini security forces, which came two days after President Trump's friendly conversation with King Hamad, could raise tensions on the island and with Iran.
May 23, 2017
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Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
Trump Builds Rapport in Israel; Policies to Come?
Publicly at least, the president's first trip to Israel focused on symbolic rapprochement rather than policy pressure, but at some point the administration will need to clarify its next steps on the peace process and Iran.
May 23, 2017
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David Makovsky
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
A Change of Power: Morocco after Benkirane’s Ouster
March 23, 2017 In mid-March, the Moroccan King Mohammed VI invoked Article Forty-Seven of the 2011 Constitution to remove President Abdelilah Benkirane from his post. The king asked the career politician from relatively modest means in Rabat-Salé to step down despite appointing him for a second term, his party winning
May 23, 2017
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Colette Apelian
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