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Brief Analysis
Bab al-Mandab Shipping Chokepoint Under Threat
Reports of Yemeni rebel mining activity are only the latest in a string of threats to international vessels transiting the narrow link between the Suez Canal and the Indian Ocean.
Mar 1, 2017
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Jeremy Vaughan
Simon Henderson
Articles & Testimony
Bureaucracy and Jihadism
Defeating today’s decentralized jihadi threat means treating the soil in which the weeds grow, not pulling them out one by one.
Mar 1, 2017
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Jacob Olidort
Articles & Testimony
Trump Needs Political-Military Plan for ISIS
While ignoring Turkey's concerns and going all in with the Syrian Kurds may seem like the best military option for defeating ISIS, bringing Ankara into the fold for a multilateral campaign is the best way of avoiding bigger problems down the road.
Mar 1, 2017
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James Jeffrey
Soner Cagaptay
Articles & Testimony
The 'End of the Beginning': The Stabilization of Mosul and Future U.S. Strategic Objectives in Iraq
An Iraq expert offers detailed advice on how the U.S.-led coalition can avoid another Islamic State comeback, explaining the cascade of negative effects that have followed previous American withdrawals.
Feb 28, 2017
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Michael Knights
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Turkey: Between Border Conflicts and Regional Expansion
Turkey has come to see the Iraqi city of Mosul as a representation of the geopolitical balance with other states in the region. The area Mosul is not only important for its size, population, and resources, but also for its location. Sitting on the border between Turkey and Syria, it
Feb 28, 2017
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Sadek Ali Hassan
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Iraq: In Need of a Force of Change
In Iraq, there are several significant laws applied by the federal and local governments, despite not originating in Parliament, which is the highest political and legislative institution in the country. Some of those laws are pertinent to fundamental individual freedoms, while others are ideologically oriented; a good example is the
Feb 28, 2017
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Khaled Sulaiman
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
To Kurdistan and Back: Iran's Forgotten Front
At a conference in Dahuk in the Kurdistan Region of Iraq a few weeks ago, I was intrigued to see the leader of the Kurdish Democratic Party of Iran (KDP-I) -- which the Tehran regime considers a subversive, terrorist group -- address the assembled notables. Sitting in the front row
Feb 28, 2017
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David Pollock
Articles & Testimony
Perceiving the Shia Dimension of Terrorism
By providing more effective governance and core services, Middle Eastern officials can prevent defeated terrorist groups from reemerging, but such efforts are largely futile without sustained U.S. and European military support.
Feb 28, 2017
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Hanin Ghaddar
Brief Analysis
Iran Keeps a Lid on Its Latest 'Great Prophet' Exercise
The restrained nature of this month's military demonstration could signal a combination of dynamics in Tehran: a reaction to the Trump administration's arrival, a shift in the regime's threat assessments, or continued internal political maneuvering.
Feb 28, 2017
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Farzin Nadimi
Articles & Testimony
Can Algeria's Fractured Islamists Retain Their Appeal as a Movement?
Ahead of parliamentary elections in May, Algeria’s fractious Islamist parties have announced unlikely new sets of electoral blocs. The confusing new coalitions are not just the latest iteration of the alphabet soup of Algeria’s Islamists. They also reflect the enduring limitations of Islamist party politics, which present an incomplete picture
Feb 27, 2017
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Vish Sakthivel
Brief Analysis
A Safe Zone in Southern Syria: Jordan's Role
At a time when Russia is firmly in the Syrian driver's seat and Assad shows no sign of going away, brokering a deal to establish a humanitarian buffer area would be one way to address Washington and Amman's pressing concerns about ongoing refugee flows.
Feb 27, 2017
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David Schenker
Articles & Testimony
Inside the Black Box of Israeli-Palestinian Talks
All sides failed in the most recent round of negotiations, but there was an opportunity for real progress -- take it from someone who was there.
Feb 27, 2017
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Michael Herzog
Articles & Testimony
Don't Block Fayyad at the UN
Doing so will make two conflicts harder to resolve, and rob Libyans of the opportunity to take advantage of Fayyad's considerable skills as an institution-builder and reformer.
Feb 24, 2017
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Ben Fishman
In-Depth Reports
Combating Terrorism and Alleviating Human Suffering in Syria
Syria Paper Explains How to Fight Terror, Stop Refugee Flow... In this new Transition 2017 paper, Institute expert Andrew J. Tabler argues that Syria remains de facto partitioned, making the establishment of safe zones in non-Assad-controlled areas the Trump administration's most expedient course of action. Moreover, it would further Washington's
Feb 23, 2017
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Andrew J. Tabler
Articles & Testimony
Escalation in Yemen Risks Famine, Collapse, Iranian Entrapment
Washington should not lend its support to any proposal that will make the Yemeni people long-term hostages to an Iran-enabled quagmire.
Feb 23, 2017
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Eric Pelofsky
Articles & Testimony
Why Two New Kurdistans Are Better Than One
The rise of the Islamic State brought the Kurds together, but its impending fall now threatens to tear them apart.
Feb 22, 2017
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Bilal Wahab
Articles & Testimony
How the United States Should Help Protect Jordan from the Chaos Next Door
A comprehensive look at the concrete steps the Trump administration can take to secure a vital ally that has shown signs of struggling under the weight of refugees and numerous other challenges.
Feb 22, 2017
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David Schenker
Brief Analysis
Hezbollah Losing Its Luster Under Soleimani
Many Hezbollah fighters believe their Iranian supervisor in Syria views them as easily replaceable Arab cannon fodder, and the resultant tension is generating disillusionment about Tehran's claims of pan-Shiite unity.
Feb 22, 2017
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Hanin Ghaddar
Brief Analysis
Middle Eastern Reactions to the U.S. Travel Ban
As the Trump administration prepares to revise its controversial entry restrictions, a sampling of quotes from officials around the region indicates that certain provisions will be a hard sell abroad.
Feb 22, 2017
In-Depth Reports
Rebuilding Alliances and Countering Threats in the Gulf
Paper Outlines Ways to Deepen Cooperation with Gulf States.... The Trump administration has an opportunity to reset, tighten, and maximize America's strategic relations with the Gulf states. For the United States, expanded security cooperation and coordination could be a force multiplier in campaigns to achieve key policy goals, such as
Feb 22, 2017
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Lori Plotkin Boghardt
Simon Henderson
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