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Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Asaib Ahl al-Haq and Badr Fall Out Over Controlling the New Parliamentary Speaker
AAH conspired with a politicized judiciary to remove the speaker but failed to coordinate the replacement with Badr.
Jan 29, 2024
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Hamdi Malik
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Militia Spotlight
Articles & Testimony
Beijing’s Passive-Aggressive Middle East Policy
The real threat to U.S. interests in the region isn’t rising Chinese influence, but the erosion of Washington's influence.
Jan 28, 2024
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Michael Singh
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Profile: Hashemite Tribes Regiment
With support from Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps, this regiment aims to create a more cohesive force capable of opposing the U.S.-backed SDF on the eastern banks of Syria's Euphrates River.
Jan 26, 2024
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Kyle Robertson
Abdullah Hayek
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Militia Spotlight: Profiles
Brief Analysis
The Future of U.S.-Turkish Ties: A New Relationship, Not a Reset
Despite the welcome news on Sweden, the old Turkey is not coming back, but Erdogan’s apparent shift to legacy-building mode will give Washington opportunities to leverage his influence abroad.
Jan 26, 2024
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Soner Cagaptay
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
How Iran-Backed Groups Control the Arabic Language Sphere on X
Until Twitter’s moderation policies are strictly enforced and moderation loopholes addressed, coordinated efforts will continue to target independent anti-Hezbollah and anti-Hamas voices on X/Twitter while effectively sharing their own messaging, thus ensuring that in the Middle East, Iran-backed actors maintain their grip on the site.
Jan 26, 2024
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Samara Azzi
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Cairo: Stuck between Securing the Red Sea and Avoiding a Perception of Support for Israel
Despite economic losses, Egypt is still hesitant to participate in any direct military operations to deter the Houthis. Cairo believes that it is more appropriate to work towards ending the military operations in the Gaza Strip and launching a political process, rather than opening a new front to expand the conflict in the Middle East.
Jan 26, 2024
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Mohamed Maher
Mohamed Farid
Maps & Graphics
In-Depth Reports
How Hamas Manipulates Gaza Fatality Numbers:
Examining the Male Undercount and Other Problems
International media and NGOs have repeated the group's figures without caveats, giving credence to suspicions of Israeli misconduct and fueling accusations of war crimes and even genocide.
Jan 25, 2024
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Gabriel Epstein
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Can Iraq's Militias Imitate Houthi Successes at Sea?
The senior terrorist figure Abu Ala al-Walai is seemingly answering Iran's call for a maritime blockade on Israel, but is this a real threat or just a desperate effort to claim strategic influence before the Gaza war ends?
Jan 24, 2024
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Hamdi Malik
Michael Knights
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Militia Spotlight
Articles & Testimony
For All That Changed, Hamas Is Still Hamas
Two decades after a landmark study on the group, it is clear that Hamas leaders never truly strayed from their core principle of prioritizing Israel’s destruction over the well-being of fellow Palestinians.
Jan 22, 2024
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Matthew Levitt
Brief Analysis
Why Oil Prices Aren’t Spiking
Prices are set by multiple factors in today’s oil markets, so predicting shocks based on Middle East crises is not a sure bet.
Jan 22, 2024
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Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
Domestic Disagreements Limit Netanyahu’s Options with Washington
The Israeli cabinet’s internal differences over war priorities, the PA’s role, and Arab diplomacy are affecting relations with the White House.
Jan 19, 2024
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David Makovsky
Articles & Testimony
Iran’s Revolutionary Guard Deployed in Yemen
Tehran has previously been able to conduct a “hidden-hand operation” via the Houthis at a very low cost, but that price may now be set to rise if allied counter-strikes continue.
Jan 15, 2024
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Jay Solomon
Articles & Testimony
Will the U.S.-British Strikes Stop the Houthi Attacks on Red Sea Shipping?
The effectiveness of the joint operation is not year clear, but either way it almost certainly wasn’t the concluding episode in Iran’s long-running game of Gulf proxy warfare.
Jan 12, 2024
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Simon Henderson
Articles & Testimony
The War in Ukraine Is Far From Over
If Kyiv does not receive military assistance soon, it may find itself in something worse than a stalemate—the scales would tip decisively in Russia’s favor.
Jan 12, 2024
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Anna Borshchevskaya
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Kataib Hezbollah Reveals Plans for Expanded Regional Attacks
The militia's Abu Hussein wing continues to throw shade at other "resistance" groups and is now threatening U.S. bases in the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, and even Saudi Arabia.
Jan 11, 2024
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Ameer al-Kaabi
Hamdi Malik
Michael Knights
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Militia Spotlight
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Badr and Asaib Crack the Whip on Kataib al-Imam Ali in Basra
The group stepped on Badr's toes during a recent commemoration ceremony, giving a window into the local balance of power between Iran-backed militias.
Jan 11, 2024
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Ameer al-Kaabi
Michael Knights
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Militia Spotlight
Brief Analysis
The Red-Hot Blue Line
As the Israel-Lebanon frontier teeters on the brink, Washington and its partners need to urgently exhaust all diplomatic options to prevent war—but without resorting to false remedies or giving Beirut and the LAF a pass for their worsening collusion.
Jan 11, 2024
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Assaf Orion
Brief Analysis
David Pollock: A Retrospective
David’s endless optimism, insightful and entertaining anecdotes, and thoughtful comments on his colleagues’ work were all defining features of his time at The Washington Institute. His mentorship will undoubtedly continue to inspire the dozens of young professionals who worked with him, continuing his legacy.
Jan 11, 2024
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Catherine Cleveland
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
RSF’s Battle Successes in Sudan: The Consequences of Legitimizing Hemedti
The group’s success on the battlefield against the Sudanese armed forces is riven by Hemedti’s personal aspirations bolstered by regional players that see him as a new ally in a future Sudanese state.
Jan 10, 2024
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Areej Elhag
Articles & Testimony
There Is a Lot More Egypt Could Do for Gaza
Sisi’s red line against absorbing displaced Palestinians won’t budge, but Egypt can certainly host crucial initiatives that help them rebuild Gaza, train security personnel, desalinate water, and replace jobs Israel is no longer willing to provide.
Jan 9, 2024
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David Schenker
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