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Fikra Forum
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Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
A Call for Peaceful and Constitutional Reform in Iraq
The current Iraqi political impasse offers an opportunity for moderate Iraqis to prevent the nation from slipping into a crisis that could be more dangerous than that brought about by the so-called ‘Islamic State’ — a crisis caused by the sectarianism of Iraq’s Islamist parties. It is time for Iraq’s
Aug 11, 2016
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Ghassan al-Atiyyah
Iran and Hezbollah Remain Hyperactive in Latin America
Although Hezbollah and its affiliates are highly unlikely to attack the Rio Olympics, the group's troubling activities in Brazil and neighboring countries should not be ignored.
Aug 11, 2016
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Matthew Levitt
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
The State of Sunni Discord in Iraq
As the battle to retake Mosul from ISIS approaches, it is time to prioritize questions of post-ISIS governance and political settlement. Integrating Sunni Arab leaders and communities in the political process is essential for long-term stability and preventing a resurgence of extremist movements. While civil society engagement promotes reconciliation on
Aug 11, 2016
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Omar Al-Nidawi
Articles & Testimony
The Kurds in Turkey: A Gloomy Future
As Turkey vies for influence in Syria and Iraq and stability across its borders with those countries, it will need to make peace with its own Kurdish community.
Aug 11, 2016
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Soner Cagaptay
Cem Yolbulan
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
The Next Iraq
The disintegration of Iraq’s borders and the displacement of its people force us to ask if Iraq has come to an end. If the old Iraq has come to an end but is to remain united, then what is its new identity? If it is to be divided, then where
Aug 10, 2016
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Haitham Numan
Brief Analysis
The Potential for Radiological Terrorism by al-Qaeda and the Islamic State
So-called dirty bombs would probably not produce large numbers of casualties but could yield big headlines, impose heavy costs, and terrorize more effectively than is possible with conventional explosive devices.
Aug 10, 2016
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Michael Eisenstadt
Omar Mukhlis
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Aleppo: Is the Turnaround Sustainable for the Rebels?
Anti-Assad forces can relish a victory, but their stated aspiration to hold the entire city should be taken with a grain of salt.
Aug 9, 2016
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Fabrice Balanche
Brief Analysis
Turkish-Russian Ties after the Erdogan-Putin Breakthrough
The Russian president will likely follow up today's meeting by offering to lift sanctions, along with other incentives, but the longer-term bilateral impact on political ties, especially in Syria, will remain unknown for some time.
Aug 9, 2016
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Soner Cagaptay
Articles & Testimony
How Donald Trump's Rhetoric on NATO Works to Vladimir Putin's Advantage
To the Russian leader, a wavering U.S. commitment to the alliance vindicates an approach based on bold action in Georgia, Ukraine, and Syria and increasing aggressiveness toward American forces.
Aug 7, 2016
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Michael Singh
Brief Analysis
Palestinian Local Elections: An Opportunity for Political Revival or a Game of Chicken
Despite optimism from some observers, the proposed Palestinian municipal vote could create a scenario that entrenches divisions and deepens the national political crisis.
Aug 5, 2016
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Ghaith al-Omari
Video
Brief Analysis
Prosecuting Assad: War Crimes, Mass Atrocities, and U.S. Policy
Three experts discuss the trove of documentation behind Syrian war crimes, U.S. pursuit of transitional justice for the Assad regime, and how prosecutions might proceed.
Aug 5, 2016
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Stephen J. Rapp
Ben Taub
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
The EU's Muddled Involvement in Mideast Affairs
If the Europeans continue to act independently of local actors' wishes, they could further complicate matters in a region already beset by daunting challenges.
Aug 5, 2016
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Ramy Aziz
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
The Cyber Dimensions of ISIS’s Occupation of Mosul
Mentally manipulating the Iraqi security forces by shaping the news and disseminating it online was one of the major pillars of ISIS’ strategy to occupy Mosul. The fall of Mosul on June 10 2014, followed by the fall of Nineveh and other Iraqi provinces, was especially notable for ISIS’s use
Aug 5, 2016
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Ali Aghuan
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Increasing Jordanian Involvement: The Benefits and Risks of a Modern "Greater Jordan"
Proponents of such a view are driven by an utter lack of alternatives amid intractable regional conflict.
Aug 5, 2016
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Mohammad Al Zghool
In-Depth Reports
Inside the Caliphate's Classroom:
Textbooks, Guidance Literature, and Indoctrination Methods of the Islamic State
Two years after the declaration of a caliphate by the Islamic State, the world has become well acquainted with the group's brutality, territorial expansion, apocalyptic narrative, and ability to stage large-scale terrorist attacks inside and outside the Middle East. Less discussed are IS textbooks and book-publishing activities. Our knowledge of
Aug 5, 2016
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Jacob Olidort
In-Depth Reports
The Transformation of Hezbollah by Its Involvement in Syria
In examining the military and political effects of Hezbollah's involvement in Syria, one sees that the group has paid a heavy price in blood and treasure, yet it has also achieved much. For an entity that has evolved from a small cadre of militants to a large guerrilla force to
Aug 4, 2016
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Nadav Pollak
Articles & Testimony
Iran's Plan to Expand Its Nuclear Program -- and Steps the U.S. Can Take to Deter It
In response to a recently publicized document describing Iran's nuclear intentions, the next U.S. administration should first make clear that being aware of Iran's plans is not the same as acquiescing to them.
Aug 4, 2016
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Michael Singh
Video
Brief Analysis
Energy and U.S. Middle East Policy in an Era of Plentiful Oil
Three experts discuss U.S. priorities in the Middle East, the potential upsides and downsides of increased American energy independence, and the consequences of low prices for various oil-producing states.
Aug 4, 2016
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Patrick Clawson
Simon Henderson
Helima Croft
Articles & Testimony
The Case for (Finally) Bombing Assad
If Russia does want to limit its involvement in Syria, the threat of limited strikes should persuade it to make the Syrian leader behave.
Aug 3, 2016
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Dennis Ross
Andrew J. Tabler
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Damascus Control Emboldens Assad Nationally
Without a real military threat to the capital, neither the Syrian leader nor Iran will accept a political transition, even if Russia agrees to one.
Aug 2, 2016
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Fabrice Balanche
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