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Articles & Testimony
What Obama and Trump Share That Divides Them From Their Parties on Foreign Policy
President Barack Obama and Donald Trump present a study in contrasts: the former a cerebral progressive, the latter a brash populist. Yet for all their differences, the similarities in the two men's foreign policy outlooks are striking. Two common themes emerge from Obama's series of interviews with Atlantic journalist Jeffrey
Apr 7, 2016
◆
Michael Singh
Brief Analysis
Amman's Showdown with the Muslim Brotherhood
By continuing to pressure the old-guard Brotherhood and cultivating more friendly Islamist factions, the palace seems intent on pursuing an ambitious counterradicalization strategy, but it still hopes to avoid a major confrontation.
Apr 6, 2016
◆
David Schenker
Brief Analysis
After the 'Pullout': Putin's Military Options in Syria
If Washington continues to employ inadequate military pressure, Russia and its supposedly 'withdrawn' forces will have several paths to bolster their position in Syria while undermining U.S. credibility and influence.
Apr 6, 2016
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Anna Borshchevskaya
James Jeffrey
Brief Analysis
Iran Locks Itself Out of the International Financial System While Blaming Washington
Out-of-date Iranian banking practices and rank deception have made international banks leery of risking their reputations.
Apr 5, 2016
◆
Patrick Clawson
Brief Analysis
Potential U.S. Clarification of Financial Sanctions Regulations
Proposals for clarifying or relaxing certain U.S. financial restrictions would be a cumbersome way for Iranian trading partners to access U.S. dollars, but would give Iran modest, unreciprocated benefits.
Apr 5, 2016
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Katherine Bauer
Articles & Testimony
Iraq: Are Shia Leaders Ready for Sectarian Healing?
Recent trips to Iraq indicate that the struggle against the Islamic State has rekindled the possibility of sectarian cooperation.
Apr 5, 2016
◆
Michael Knights
Brief Analysis
Is Armenia the Next Turkish-Russian Flashpoint?
Although Turkey and Russia are unlikely to erupt into direct conflict, a regional hotspot like Armenia-Azerbaijan could drag Ankara into active engagement, giving the Kremlin ample room to exploit Turkey's sensitive position.
Apr 4, 2016
◆
Can Kasapoglu
Articles & Testimony
The Next President's Choices on ISIS
From continuing the status quo to deploying limited ground brigades, the next administration will inherit a range of feasible options, but only some would serve U.S. interests, and all of them come with formidable postwar questions.
Apr 3, 2016
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James Jeffrey
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
A New Iran for a New Middle East: Aligning Discourse and Behavior
March 31, 2016 In the aftermath of the P5+1 agreement with Iran, the Arab Middle East has been processing two widely conflicting messages from Tehran. The first message is a soft appeal for friendship directed at the global community as a whole, which is built on promise and good intentions
Mar 31, 2016
◆
Hassan Mneimneh
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
The Economic Dimension of Peace in Turkey
March 31, 2016 President Erdogan’s approach to securing the loyalties of Turkey’s Kurdish populace has taken many forms: granting Kurds stronger civil rights, extending the olive branch to the Kurdistan Worker’s Party (PKK) insurgency, and permitting the first pro-Kurdish party to gain Parliament seats in a country where political organizations
Mar 31, 2016
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Ben Sollenberger
Articles & Testimony
Rethinking How We Rethink Political Islam
Policymakers and scholars need to tread carefully when describing how Islamist groups relate to and influence one another in their ambitions and priorities.
Mar 31, 2016
◆
Jacob Olidort
Video
Brief Analysis
Terror in Europe: Combating Foreign Fighters and Homegrown Networks
Current and former officials from the United States and Europe examine next steps for counterterrorism efforts after the Brussels attacks.
Mar 31, 2016
◆
Matthew Levitt
Olivier Decottignies
Eric Rosand
◆
Counterterrorism Lecture Series
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Repercussions of the Saudi-Iranian Conflict on North Africa
March 31, 2016 The Iranian Shura Council and Assembly of Experts elections in February have resulted in gains for moderate reformists in a peaceful political contest. The elections’ contrast to the region’s political turmoil brings to mind the ironic words of British Parliamentarian Jock Bruce-Gardyne. In 1966, the politician described
Mar 31, 2016
◆
Nouh El Harmouzi
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Turkey’s Securitization of the Kurdish Issue: A Dangerous Strategy
March 31, 2016 The recent attack in Ankara, killing 34 people and injuring dozens more, has been quickly blamed on the PKK, even as a few days later the Kurdistan Freedom Falcons (TAK) a break-away faction of PKK, claimed responsibility. The attack was only the latest in a series of
Mar 31, 2016
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Maurizio Geri
Articles & Testimony
The Liberation of Mosul Has Begun
If the coalition-backed Iraqi and Kurdish governments make the right deals and send the right messages, the nascent campaign to retake the city could be very different from the military slogs in Tikrit and Ramadi.
Mar 30, 2016
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Michael Knights
Brief Analysis
Saudi Snub at the Nuclear Summit?
What with Yemen, Iran, Syria, and oil, U.S.-Saudi relations appear to have many dimensions these days, so there is little time for questionable diplomatic gestures that could complicate the imminent nuclear and GCC summits.
Mar 30, 2016
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Simon Henderson
Articles & Testimony
Strong Team Faces High Hurdles
Given the risks associated with further economic reform, Egypt's appointment of new and highly qualified cabinet ministers will not necessarily result in new policies.
Mar 30, 2016
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Eric Trager
Articles & Testimony
Growing Stress on Jordan
Although U.S. and Gulf assistance has been vital thus far, Jordan's expenses related to hosting refugees and securing the border outstrip what it is receiving.
Mar 30, 2016
◆
Robert Satloff
David Schenker
Video
Brief Analysis
The Syrian Kurds: Whose Ally?
Read a summary or watch video of this energetic debate on how Washington should balance vitally important relationships with Turkey and the Syrian Kurds in the fight against the Islamic State.
Mar 29, 2016
◆
Andrew J. Tabler
Soner Cagaptay
David Pollock
James Jeffrey
Articles & Testimony
Four Things to Watch During Turkish President Erdogan's Visit to Washington
Erdogan's interactions with President Obama could shed light on long-gestating proposals for retaking ISIS-held areas in northern Syria, as well as the status of recent bilateral tensions and the future of Turkish policy toward the Kurds.
Mar 29, 2016
◆
Soner Cagaptay
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