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Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Sultan’s Landmark Speech to the Majlis Oman: A Window into Oman’s Economic Reforms
Haitham spoke both as a sovereign and as a prime minister accounting for progress.
Nov 27, 2023
◆
Jonathan Campbell-James
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Profile: Ansar Allah al-Awfiya (19th PMF Brigade)
One of the top Iraqi proxies for Iran's IRGC-Qods Force, this Sadrist breakaway faction has long garrisoned the Syrian border and killed Iraqi protesters to demonstrate its loyalty.
Nov 27, 2023
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Ameer al-Kaabi
Michael Knights
Hamdi Malik
◆
Militia Spotlight: Profiles
Articles & Testimony
Putin’s Alignment in Middle East Should Signal to Israel It’s Time for a Change of Allegiance
As Russia leans into support for Israel’s enemies, officials should look for ways to show Moscow that the threat of escalation goes both ways—including through outreach to Ukraine.
Nov 27, 2023
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Anna Borshchevskaya
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Militia Hair-Pulling Over Who Are "The Truest Muqawama"
Amid their ceasefire in solidarity with events in Gaza, Iraqi "resistance" leaders went back to their old habits of diminishing each other and spilling their secrets, with interesting results.
Nov 26, 2023
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Hamdi Malik
Michael Knights
◆
Militia Spotlight
Brief Analysis
Balancing U.S. Relations in North Africa Without Undermining the Abraham Accords
The Biden administration needs to tread carefully in engaging Algeria, since preserving UN negotiations on Western Sahara and protecting Morocco’s crucial relations with Washington and Israel are paramount to U.S. regional interests
Nov 22, 2023
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Sabina Henneberg
Amine Ghoulidi
Articles & Testimony
How the Washington Post Turned a Feel-Good Story into an Anti-Israel Attack
Despite not taking the time to speak with Israeli officials or even verify key details on the ground, reporters proceeded with a heavily slanted piece that raised further questions about the paper’s wartime editorial policies.
Nov 21, 2023
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Robert Satloff
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Turkish Drone War Damages SDF Infrastructure in NE Syria, Restricts Counterterrorism Efforts
The international community and the Global Coalition should pressure Turkey to cease its drone attacks and help to address the destruction of facilities and infrastructure installations.
Nov 21, 2023
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Mazloum Abdi
Brief Analysis
Will an Iraqi Front Open in the Hamas-Israel War?
The risky tit-for-tat strikes between U.S. and militia forces are one symptom of a wider competition between rival actors in Iraq—one that American and European officials should work together on containing.
Nov 21, 2023
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Bilal Wahab
Selin Uysal
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
The United States Is Rapidly Losing Arab Hearts and Minds Through Gaza War, While Competitors Benefit
According to new polling, the percentage of six Arab publics who believe America has had a positive role in the war amounts to just 7%.
Nov 21, 2023
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Munqith Dagher
Karl Kaltenthaler
Articles & Testimony
Houthi Ship Seizure, OPEC+ Meeting, and COP28 Plans Could Spike Oil Prices
As Iran-backed proxies continue targeting Israeli and U.S. interests, mounting public anger in the Gulf states might spur leaders to announce production cuts at this week’s cartel meeting.
Nov 20, 2023
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Simon Henderson
Articles & Testimony
Iraq’s Delicate Balancing Act With Iran and the U.S.
Despite reassuring U.S. officials during recent meetings, it is unclear whether Prime Minister Sudani can indefinitely placate an angry public or prevent Tehran’s militia proxies from further escalating the situation.
Nov 19, 2023
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Bilal Wahab
Maps & Graphics
Articles & Testimony
OFAC Designates Iraqi Militiamen (Part 1): Kataib Hezbollah Commanders
Washington has signaled that its patience is wearing thin with the group's pivotal role in two dozen attacks on U.S. forces in Iraq and Syria in a month.
Nov 17, 2023
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Michael Knights
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Militia Spotlight
Maps & Graphics
Articles & Testimony
OFAC Designates Iraqi Militiamen (Part 2): KSS and Abu Ala al-Walai
Kataib Sayyid al-Shuhada's designation for terrorist activities is long overdue, reflecting its important ongoing role in attacks on U.S. forces in northern Iraq and eastern Syria.
Nov 17, 2023
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Michael Knights
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Militia Spotlight
Articles & Testimony
Gaza War Shows Heightened Risk of Escalation in the Region
Although Washington and its partners have kept the war from spreading so far, the lack of clear rules on some fronts—particularly Syria—has created a dangerous environment in which any actor might inadvertently cross someone’s red lines.
Nov 17, 2023
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Andrew J. Tabler
Video
Brief Analysis
Iranian Escalation in Iraq and Syria: Implications and U.S. Options
Four experts discuss what Washington can do about the latest spike in militia attacks against U.S. bases and local partners—even as they try to sustain the counterterrorism mission against the Islamic State.
Nov 17, 2023
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Michael Knights
Wladimir van Wilgenburg
Devorah Margolin
Andrew J. Tabler
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Iraqi Civil Society and the Funding Crisis
Financial support for NGOs is a lifeline for their survival and sustainability. For its part, the Iraqi government should realize that a strong civil society benefits the government, as NGOs can be a vital contribution to governance efforts and societal support.
Nov 16, 2023
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Abdulsalam Medeni
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Jewish Extremist Violence in the West Bank Could Trigger a Second Front
The combination of highly motivated young extremists on the ground, supportive far-right politicians back home, and ineffective local security measures may stoke a full-scale uprising if authorities continue to look the other way.
Nov 16, 2023
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Neomi Neumann
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Profile: Liwa Abu Fadl al-Abbas
One of the most well-established Iraqi volunteer militias to fight for Iran and the Assad regime, both in the Syrian civil war and during various anti-U.S. actions.
Nov 16, 2023
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Abdullah Hayek
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Militia Spotlight: Profiles
Articles & Testimony
Explaining Recruitment to Extremism: A Bayesian Hierarchical Case-Control Approach
A study on who joins extremist and terrorist movements and why, offering new quantitative methods to approach the problem.
Nov 16, 2023
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Aaron Y. Zelin
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Iran Potentially Expanding Its Air Defense Axis in Lebanon and Syria
Tehran is seemingly redoubling its efforts to equip Hezbollah and other regional allies with advanced air defense systems, which could affect Israeli and U.S. calculations in the Gaza war and beyond.
Nov 15, 2023
◆
Farzin Nadimi
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