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Saudi Arabia: A Kingdom in Transition
A presentation on Saudi royal succession and evolving military relations, including key figures in the Pakistani defense and nuclear establishments, made by Simon Henderson to Harvard University's Belfer Center in May 2014.
May 20, 2014
◆
Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
Libya's Growing Risk of Civil War
Long-simmering tensions between non-Islamist and Islamist forces have boiled over into military actions centered around Benghazi and Tripoli, entrenching the country's rival alliances and bringing them ever closer to civil war.
May 20, 2014
◆
Andrew Engel
Articles & Testimony
The Muslim Brotherhood Thinks It's Winning Again
Given the Brotherhood's persistent and dangerous delusion, the existential struggle that has defined Egyptian politics since Morsi's removal will likely worsen.
May 19, 2014
◆
Eric Trager
Articles & Testimony
Proactive Measures: Countering the Returnee Threat
Governments across the Middle East and far beyond are already changing their policies to address the problem of jihadist returnees from Syria, highlighting the scope and seriousness of the threat.
May 18, 2014
◆
Aaron Y. Zelin
Jonathan Prohov
Brief Analysis
Iran and Bahrain: Crying Wolf, or Wolf at the Door?
The Bahraini government will need to distinguish better between protestors and terrorists if it wants Washington and other foreign partners to believe its claims of Iranian support for local militants.
May 16, 2014
◆
Matthew Levitt
Video
Brief Analysis
Morocco's Approach to Countering Violent Extremism
A Moroccan statesman discusses efforts to counter terrorism and violent extremism in one of the most stable parts of the region.
May 16, 2014
◆
Mohamed Salah Tamek
In-Depth Reports
Between Not-In and All-In:
U.S. Military Options in Syria
In light of the inability of diplomacy and sanctions to staunch the Syrian bloodletting, the Obama administration is reviewing its policy alternatives in Syria. This paper, and the associated briefing, provides an overview of U.S. military options, evaluating the pros and cons of each.
May 16, 2014
◆
Chandler Atwood
Joshua Burgess
Michael Eisenstadt
Joseph Wawro
Articles & Testimony
The Middle East's Forgotten Minority
The Syrian conflict is rattling the world of the Druze, an ethnic group that straddles national lines.
May 16, 2014
◆
Noam Raydan
Adam Heffez
Brief Analysis
Surprise Rotation of Saudi Defense Officials
An unexpected and unprecedented series of changes in the kingdom's military leadership raises questions about future Saudi strategy.
May 14, 2014
◆
Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
The Battle for Southern Syria Heating Up
Recent developments indicate a credible, previously unseen rebel threat to Damascus.
May 14, 2014
◆
Ehud Yaari
Brief Analysis
The Riddle of Succession in the Palestinian Authority
A cloud of uncertainty hangs over the road to Palestinian succession, and potential candidates will likely have to form ad hoc alliances that result in significant policy compromises on peacemaking and other issues.
May 14, 2014
◆
Ehud Yaari
Articles & Testimony
America Should Not Soften Its Nuclear Demands of Iran
As the next round of talks unfolds, U.S. officials should remember that a weak agreement could prove to be a strategic setback in the guise of a tactical success.
May 14, 2014
◆
Michael Singh
In-Depth Reports
Turkey's Presidential Prospects:
Assessing Recent Trends
If Erdogan hopes to become Turkey's first directly elected president, he will need to continue courting Kurdish voters and burnishing his economic and populist credentials.
May 12, 2014
◆
Soner Cagaptay
Articles & Testimony
John Kerry Doomed the Israeli-Palestinian Talks by Refusing to Consider a Transition Agreement
If the United States and the major donor nations endorsed a transition agreement, the conflict would become a dispute between two states, leaving the Palestinian leadership with little choice but to forge ahead toward a final-status solution.
May 12, 2014
◆
Ehud Yaari
Brief Analysis
Decision Time on the Israeli-Palestinian Peace Process:
U.S. Strategy Hits a Critical Juncture
As narratives about the root causes of the impasse in Israeli-Palestinian negotiations take shape, U.S. leaders have a major decision to make about whether to disengage from diplomacy or deepen involvement in less high-profile ways.
May 12, 2014
◆
Robert Satloff
Brief Analysis
Shabab al-Tawhid: The Rebranding of Ansar al-Sharia in Tunisia?
Security crackdowns will not be enough to eradicate jihadist networks in Tunisia and Libya, which have the patience and ideological conviction to weather drastic reorganization.
May 9, 2014
◆
Aaron Y. Zelin
Video
Brief Analysis
Israel vs. al-Qaeda: Emerging Challenges on Two Fronts
A CIA veteran and an Israeli security expert discuss the growing presence of al-Qaeda affiliates in Sinai and Syria.
May 9, 2014
◆
Ehud Yaari
Michael Morell
Video
In-Depth Reports
Israel's Evolving Terrorist Threats from Sinai to Syria
Israel and Jordan have together mounted a "well coordinated" effort to prevent the most extreme elements among the Syrian rebellion from dominating the southern front along both the Israeli and Jordanian borders, Middle East analyst Ehud Yaari told attendees at The Washington Institute's 2014 Weinberg Founders Conference. Yaari, the Institute's
May 8, 2014
◆
Ehud Yaari
Aaron Y. Zelin
Matthew Levitt
Video
In-Depth Reports
Israeli-Palestinian Relations: Top-Down and Bottom-Up
Israeli and Palestinian perspectives on recently collapsed peace talks offer hope for eventual progress, though publics and leaders on both sides will need to overcome barriers of mistrust and misunderstanding.
May 8, 2014
◆
Mohammed Dajani
Michael Herzog
David Pollock
Video
In-Depth Reports
Syria and Its Repercussions
Before Hezbollah's massive intervention in 2013, Bashar al-Assad's forces were nearing exhaustion, Syrian Opposition Coalition chief of staff Monzer Akbik said during a panel discussion at The Washington Institute's 2014 Weinberg Founders Conference on May 8. Assad was facing a catastrophic human-resources and materiel crisis, Akbik said, which the dictator
May 8, 2014
◆
Monzer Akbik
Hanin Ghaddar
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