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Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Militia Propagandists Comment on Tsurkov Kidnapping
The March kidnapping has been widely attributed to Kataib Hezbollah, while most militia commentators link the incident to supposed Israeli spying.
Jul 7, 2023
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Hamdi Malik
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Militia Spotlight
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Infighting Between Northern Hashd Units Requires IRGC-QF Mediation
Iran's senior Revolutionary Guard operator in Kirkuk and religious-political leader Ammar al-Hakim were recently brought in to mediate between feuding state-paid militias.
Jul 6, 2023
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Michael Knights
Amir al-Kaabi
Hamdi Malik
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Militia Spotlight
Articles & Testimony
Why a Weak Abbas Is Dangerous for Israel
To restore security and expand the Abraham Accords, Washington and its allies must take urgent steps to keep the PA from collapsing, such as organizing donor pressure to appoint a reformist prime minister and increasing employment opportunities for younger Palestinians who no longer see a reason to refrain from violence.
Jul 6, 2023
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Dennis Ross
Ghaith al-Omari
Brief Analysis
Wagner vs. Russia’s Defense Ministry in the Middle East
Russia’s domestic military crisis could hold significant consequences for its regional operations, from heightening the risk of clashes with U.S. forces in Syria to putting a public face on its destabilizing activities in Libya.
Jun 29, 2023
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Anna Borshchevskaya
Ben Fishman
Andrew J. Tabler
Brief Analysis
Turkey’s Growing Ukrainian and Russian Communities
For nationals on both sides of the fight, the Ukraine war has transformed Turkey from a popular summer destination to a longer-term safe haven or permanent home on the Mediterranean.
Jun 28, 2023
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Sude Akgundogdu
Collin Trissel
Brief Analysis
Iranian Reactions to the Wagner Standoff in Russia
Iranian officials are keenly aware that Putin’s crisis parallels their own vulnerabilities, so they will likely step up their efforts to cement the bilateral security relationship and obtain Russian weapons and technology.
Jun 28, 2023
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Farzin Nadimi
Brief Analysis
More Emirati Military Involvement in Somalia Could Help Curb al-Shabab
The United Arab Emirates has much to offer if it chooses deeper military involvement in the fight against al-Shabab, but it would need to coordinate closely with other actors, especially the United States, to optimize its contribution.
Jun 27, 2023
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Ido Levy
Articles & Testimony
Global Ambitions and Tunisia’s Crisis Could Spur Algeria to Rethink Its Non-Intervention Policy
By involving Algiers in enhanced multilateral efforts, Washington can nudge it toward more effective strategies abroad while simultaneously improving Tunisia’s political and economic situation.
Jun 27, 2023
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Sabina Henneberg
Brief Analysis
The Future of Repatriation from Northeast Syria
From potential SDF trials to Assad’s steady normalization, the widening number of “known unknowns” has increased the urgency of taking action on Islamic State detainees.
Jun 26, 2023
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Devorah Margolin
Articles & Testimony
A New Iran Nuclear Deal Might Be on the Horizon
Washington can still avoid war, but not unless it balances blandishments and rewards with credible threats.
Jun 23, 2023
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Dennis Ross
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
The Danger of Violent Escalation in the West Bank
The West Bank is rapidly becoming Israel’s most active front, with terrorist incidents increasing, extremist settler groups rampaging in response to the murder of Jews, and near-daily clashes becoming more intense as Israeli forces arrest armed youths planning further attacks.
Jun 23, 2023
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Ehud Yaari
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Egypt’s Approach to Conflict in Sudan: A Simmering Crisis
With no end in sight, the Sudan conflict will put significant pressure on Egypt's economic, political, and security infrastructure.
Jun 23, 2023
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Anthony Skinner
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
New Poll Shows Lebanese Frustrations with Government, Iran, and Other Powers
New polling results from Lebanon emphasize ways in which the country’s public is frustrated domestically and at key Hezbollah ally Iran, while expressing mixed views of other powers.
Jun 22, 2023
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Catherine Cleveland
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Salvaging the Safer: The UN’s Plan to Avert Environmental Disaster in Yemen
Washington has done much to advocate and fund the crucial salvage operation, but now it needs to make sure the combatants do not turn the replacement vessel into another political tool.
Jun 22, 2023
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Noam Raydan
Maps & Graphics
In-Depth Reports
Cash Cabal:
How Hezbollah Profits from Lebanon's Financial Crisis
The Lebanese economy requires an urgent overhaul, and the international community must press for deep reforms.
Jun 22, 2023
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Samara Azzi
Hanin Ghaddar
Video
Brief Analysis
Lebanon's Prospects for Leadership, Reform, and Change: A Conversation with Samir Geagea
The head of the country’s largest parliamentary bloc discusses the ongoing political crisis, the role of U.S. sanctions, how a new president could limit Hezbollah’s domestic hegemony, and more.
Jun 21, 2023
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Samir Geagea
Articles & Testimony
Perpetual Deadlock Is Limiting Libya’s Potential
Oil is flowing and warring factions are not actively warring, but this illusion of stability can disappear at any time unless further steps are taken to produce a legitimate government.
Jun 17, 2023
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Ben Fishman
Articles & Testimony
Saudi Arabia’s Golf Game Is About a Lot More Than Golf
The headline sports deal holds wider implications for normalization with Israel, nuclear proliferation, and Saudi modernization, among other pressing bilateral issues.
Jun 18, 2023
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Dennis Ross
Articles & Testimony
How the Caesar Act Restricts Normalisation with Syria
The landmark legislation has played a critical role in the evolution of American sanctions, and follow-on congressional restrictions will largely prevent any efforts to bring Assad back into the economic fold.
Jun 17, 2023
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Andrew J. Tabler
Matthew Zweig
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Profile: Federal Commission of Integrity
Iraq's Federal Commission on Integrity had been taken over by a Sudani-appointed Badr judge, who is now well-positioned to block investigations of corruption undertaken by Coordination Framework factions.
Jun 19, 2023
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Michael Knights
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Militia Spotlight: Profiles
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