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Articles & Testimony
Who Lost Ergenekon:
The View from Washington
When the Ergenekon case started in 2007 based on allegations of a coup plot against the Justice and Development Party, or AKP, government, Washington agreed: "this is serious stuff." Three years, two hundred arrests, hundreds of house raids and wiretaps and a 5,800-page indictment later, with no verdict in sight
Mar 7, 2010
Brief Analysis
After the Elections:
Prospects for Democratic Consolidation in Iraq
On March 5, 2010, Washington Institute experts Michael Knights, J. Scott Carpenter, and Ahmed Ali addressed a special Policy Forum luncheon to discuss Iraq's March 7 elections and their implications for U.S. policy. Dr. Knights is a Lafer fellow and interim director of the Military and Security Studies Program at
Mar 5, 2010
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Michael Knights
J. Scott Carpenter
Ahmed Ali
Articles & Testimony
Turkey's Republic of Fear
Last week's arrests in Turkey of dozens of high-ranking military officers mark the country's latest step toward authoritarianism. Neither Europe nor the United States can afford to ignore Turkey's transformation. Since coming to power in 2002, the ruling Islamist Justice and Development Party (AKP) and ultra-conservative Fethullah Gulen Movement have
Mar 5, 2010
Articles & Testimony
Hezbollah's Penance:
The Shiite Militia Works to Rebuild Its Tarnished Image
Last week in Damascus, just days after the highest ranking visit from a U.S. official in years, Syrian President Bashar Assad hosted a state dinner for his Iranian counterpart Mahmoud Ahmedinajad. Welcoming Ahmedinajad so close on the heels of the U.S. diplomatic good will gesture was a pointed Syrian slight
Mar 5, 2010
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David Schenker
Articles & Testimony
Middle East Peace:
Ground Truths, Challenges Ahead
On March 4, 2010, David Makovsky, Ziegler distinguished fellow and director of The Washington Institute's Project on the Middle East Peace Process, testified before the Senate Committee on Foreign Relations on the urgency of promoting "top-down" negotiations if the Israeli-Palestinian peace talks are to regain momentum. Mr. Chairman, Ranking Member
Mar 4, 2010
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David Makovsky
Brief Analysis
Closing Loopholes:
Another Vital Aspect of Sanctions on Iran
In the coming weeks, the United States and its allies will attempt to push additional Iran sanctions through the UN Security Council. Defense Secretary Robert Gates has indicated that "the United States and like-minded countries" could also impose at least some additional sanctions on their own. Although stronger sanctions are
Mar 4, 2010
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Michael Jacobson
Articles & Testimony
Endangered Democracy
All bets are off in Turkey. Its Islamist ruling coalition faces the secular courts and the military in a final showdown for Turkey's soul. In the balance hangs Turkey's immediate future. Will it move closer to the liberal democracies or away from them? Turkish politics have been riven by tension
Mar 4, 2010
Brief Analysis
After Iraq's Elections:
A New Government by September?
The campaigns for the March 7 parliamentary elections have proven to be the most competitive in recent Iraqi history. Hundreds of parties and other entities are fielding thousands of candidates to vie for 325 seats. The contest has been heated, vibrant, and, at times, controversial and violent. Yet the ups
Mar 3, 2010
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J. Scott Carpenter
Ahmed Ali
Articles & Testimony
Hope on the Nile
In the most interesting development in Egyptian politics in years, former International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) head and Nobel Peace Prize winner Mohamed ElBaradei is eyeing an improbable challenge to six-term incumbent president Hosni Mubarak -- or his son Gamal -- in September 2011. While Egyptian law and Mubarak's authoritarian
Mar 2, 2010
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David Schenker
Brief Analysis
Dinner in Damascus:
What Did Iran Ask of Hizballah?
On February 26, Syrian president Bashar al-Asad hosted Iranian president Mahmoud Ahmadinezhad and Hizballah leader Hassan Nasrallah for a dinner in Damascus. Nasrallah is a routine guest in the capital, but the timing of this high-profile trip -- just a week after the United States dispatched Undersecretary of State William
Mar 2, 2010
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David Schenker
Matthew Levitt
In-Depth Reports
The Missing Lever:
Information Activities against Iran
The time has come for policymakers to consider previously unexploited tools of leverage, including U.S. soft power.
Mar 1, 2010
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Michael Eisenstadt
Brief Analysis
Al-Qaeda's Safe Havens
On February 25, 2010, Seth Jones, Andre Le Sage, and Thomas Krajeski addressed a special Policy Forum luncheon at The Washington Institute regarding al-Qaeda safe havens in Afghanistan, Pakistan, Yemen, and Somalia. Dr. Jones is a political scientist at the RAND Corporation and an adjunct professor in Georgetown University's Security
Mar 1, 2010
Articles & Testimony
Incremental Sanctions Make a Nuclear Iran More Likely
In its most recent report, the IAEA acknowledged what many observers have asserted for years -- that Iran is developing a nuclear weapon. Whether this is the result of new evidence, or merely the willingness of the agency's new director-general to heed the existing evidence, is beside the point. The
Feb 28, 2010
Articles & Testimony
What's Really behind Turkey's Coup Arrests?
For the last several decades, the Turkish military was untouchable; no one dared to criticize the military or its top generals, lest they risk getting burned. The Turkish Armed Forces were the ultimate protectors of founding father Kemal Ataturk's secular legacy, and no other force in the country could seriously
Feb 26, 2010
Brief Analysis
Israel 2010: Strategic Threats, Strategic Opportunities
Ehud Barak, former prime minister and Israel's most decorated soldier, delivered the 2010 Zeev Schiff Memorial Lecture on Middle East Security.
Feb 26, 2010
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Ehud Barak
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Zeev Schiff Memorial Lectures
Articles & Testimony
Turkey's Turning Point
Turkey's Islamist ruling coalition faces the courts and military in a showdown for the nation's future. Will Turkey move closer to the liberal democracies or away from them? This tension has riven Turkey since its founding as a secular state by Ataturk. But the strains are peaking now. The ruling
Feb 26, 2010
Articles & Testimony
Patriotic Union of Kurdistan: Revival or Mere Survival?
While all Iraqi political factions are competing strongly in lead up to the March 7 parliamentary elections, in Iraqi Kurdistan the internal competition is especially intense. In particular, the Patriotic Union of Kurdistan (PUK, the more secular and less tribal of the two major Iraqi Kurdish political parties) stands to
Feb 25, 2010
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Ahmed Ali
Brief Analysis
Resistance and Rockets:
Hamas Targeting of Israeli Civilians
Recently, Hamas has gone to extraordinary lengths to prove that it did not attack civilian targets in Israel during the December 2008 to January 2009 Gaza conflict. But a review of the organization's own media -- including the website of its military arm, the Izz al-Din al-Qassam Brigades ( www.qassam.ps)
Feb 25, 2010
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Jeffrey White
Brief Analysis
Dubai:
On the Front Line of U.S. Iran Policy
Willingly or not, Dubai has been thrust onto the front line of diplomacy aimed at curbing Iran's nuclear ambitions and terrorism sponsorship. The January 20, 2010, assassination of Hamas gunrunner Mahmoud al-Mabhouh on its soil was a reminder of the emirate's longstanding trade and commercial links with Iran -- he
Feb 25, 2010
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Simon Henderson
Articles & Testimony
Assessing Turkish Foreign Policy under AKP
The AKP's handling of foreign policy is one of the areas that generates most intense domestic debate and international scrutiny of Turkey's ruling party. Turkey's traditional allies have been somewhat neglected as the AKP has pursued a more enthusiastic policy toward anti-Western states. Soner Cagaptay examines what this policy has
Feb 24, 2010
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